While we wait for the second half of the season to begin tonight, I thought I'd offer this to you -- a chance to win a prize, and a way to express how you feel the second half is going to go.
The prize is a $50 gift card from Distant Replays, which is located in suburban Atlanta and specializes in retro sports clothing from many different sports.
The contest is very simple. Post your pick for how many wins the Cubs will have at the end of the 2008 regular season. Obviously, many people will have the same number. So for a tiebreaker, let's go with a stat from the player who has probably generated the most comments on this site this year -- Ryan Theriot. Tiebreaker: what will Theriot's final batting average be? And just in case two people have the same pick for both Cub wins and Theriot BA, we'll have a second tiebreaker -- Theriot's OBP.
Have at it, good luck, and at last, there will be a pregame thread up late this afternoon.
0 recs | 307 comments
I'll play your game, you rogue. /Connery
Cubs wins – 93.
Theriot BA – .284
Theriot OBP – .356
HereComesASpecialBoy - July 18, 2008
94 wins, theriot = .301/.367
kranskie - July 18, 2008
My predictions....
Cubs Wins 93
BA .292
OBP .368
BigJohnAZ - July 18, 2008
Ok, Al. I'll bite:
Wins: 96
BA: .302
OBP: .378
Kegler - July 18, 2008
Book it Danno
Cubs win 99
BA .311
OBP .381
Ivy Walls - July 18, 2008
Criswell Predicts
Wins: 89
BA: .277
OBP: .343
jasoniniowa - July 18, 2008
My guess
Cubs wins: 94
Theriot BA: .299
Theriot OBP: .370
simonuk - July 18, 2008
Cubs
W : 95
THERIOT BA : .303
THERIOT OBP: .393
mjk83 - July 18, 2008
Pulling out the crystal ball
Wins: 92
BA 274
0BP: 378
sdurst - July 18, 2008
Carmen Fanzone predicts:
Cubs Wins: 93
Riots BA: .296
Riots OBA: .371
carmen_fanzone - July 18, 2008
fun fun
Wins: 95
BA: .303
OBA: .382
polly - July 18, 2008
All righty then
Cubs wins: 92
Theriot BA: .295
Theriot OBP: .363
JohnM - July 18, 2008
Guess from 1008 W Waveland
96 Wins
Theriot Avg .312
Theriot OBA .386
Cubbinstrongsince86 - July 18, 2008
...
Wins: 97
BA: .315
OBP: .389
jtlight - July 18, 2008
Win
Cubs Wins: 95
Riots BA: .304
Riots OBA: .370
southloop - July 18, 2008
Here goes . . .
Cubs Wins: 93
Riots BA: .309
Riots OBP: .371
gwood - July 18, 2008
Bank on it
Wins- 91
Theriot BA- .287
Theriot OBP- .354
SouthsideCub - July 18, 2008
Here we go:
Cubs Wins: 100 (just looks good!)
Theriot’s BA: .307
Theriot’s OBP: .372
sackings108 - July 18, 2008
Out on a limb
Wins: 100
BA: .295
OBP: .368
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
okay
Wins: 99
Riots BA: 303
Riots OBP: 373
KingDave - July 18, 2008
My Guesses
Wins: 103
RT BA: .313
RT OBP: .364
ScottT - July 18, 2008
Go Cubs
Wins: 94
BA: .288
OBP: .348
Neifi Puppy - July 18, 2008
Here goes
Wins: 94
BA: .293
OBP: .362
Emelie - July 18, 2008
I love games.
Cubbie wins: 96
BA: .309
OBP: . 376
Bildo1805 - July 18, 2008
By the way...
cool store. I might buy something without the gift card (probably the point of this whole thing).
Bildo1805 - July 18, 2008
worth a shot
Cub wins 101
Theriot BA .307
Theriot OBP .362
pickupman21 - July 18, 2008
Cubs Wins 97
The Riot BA 291
The Riot OBP
Reed's Johnson - July 18, 2008
The riot OBP 359
Reed's Johnson - July 18, 2008
the riot
cubs wins: 92
BA: 289
OBP: 381
cubs2410 - July 18, 2008
Cubs wins – 100
Theriot BA – .307
Theriot OBP – .389
Gucci - July 18, 2008
Entry
Wins: 92
BA: .292
OBP: .368
cubbot - July 18, 2008
Lugnut!
Wins: 97
The Riot BA: .311
The Riot OBP: .365
Zeke - July 18, 2008
cubs wins
Cubs Wins 92
BA .306
OBP .378
coco - July 18, 2008
Woooooooooo
Wins: 98
Terry-O-Meter: .314
OBP: 381
And 50 years from now, they will look back and reminisce about that ‘08 team that launched the Cubs forward to 15 championships in 20 years. Yes. (this is my tiebreaker prediction, in case someone else copies my numbers)
TXCub - July 18, 2008
LOL
Hammer - July 18, 2008
OT:BCB
Anybody else’s BCB just get a major facelift? The sidebar looks very different and when you open a post, everything looks different. Anybody else?
McRipper - July 18, 2008
Nevermind
It’s back to normal. That was weird.
McRipper - July 18, 2008
What did it look like?
You should have taken a screen cap.
Al Yellon - July 18, 2008
I wanted to
but didn’t know how to do that. Basically, the whole right sidebar was blue and everything was spaced out real far. In the threads, all the avatars were on the left side under the posts and the sigs were not Italicized. It looked real funny. New posts did not come up yellow, but you could still use the Z function. It was weird.
McRipper - July 18, 2008
Strange.
Wonder if there’s an experiment going on.
Al Yellon - July 18, 2008
Here goes nothing
Wins: 97
Riot BA: .275
Riot OBP: .340
nji232 - July 18, 2008
Ala Peanut Butter Sandwiches!
Wins: 94
BA: 291
OBP: 326
digitalbenjamin - July 18, 2008
Truly LOL
I haven’t heard that phrase since the 4th grade!
CaliCub - July 18, 2008
Wins: 90
AVG: .300
OBP: .380
Anomalied - July 18, 2008
Hector's Picks
Wins: 97
Avg: .310
OBP: .384
HectorVillanueva - July 18, 2008
Wins: 97
BA: .282
OBP: .348
Ivy'sDad23 - July 18, 2008
Wins: 95
Theriot BA: .302
Theriot OBP: .374
Blue W - July 18, 2008
Picks
Wins: 96
BA: .301
OBP: .350
chr15 - July 18, 2008
Feeling bullish
Cubs = 98 Wins
Theriot BA = .311
Theriot on-base = .371
Curtain Jerker - July 18, 2008
Picks
Wins: 91
BA: .299
OBP: .339
jbowling13 - July 18, 2008
My Picks
Wins: 95
Riot BA: 304
Riot OBP: .368
berselius - July 18, 2008
WIns: 95
Riot BA: .295
Riot OBP: .371
Qixotl - July 18, 2008
SackMan's picks
Wins: 96
Riot BA: .298
Riot OBP: .381
SackMan - July 18, 2008
My Pics...
Wins – 97
Theriot BA: .307
Theriot obp – .381
Kasey
kaseyi - July 18, 2008
Because I'm nothing if not consistent...
...I’m going to just repeat my Theriot projections from the BCB Community Projection thread from this spring. Here goes:
Wins: 91
Theriot’s BA: .275
Theriot’s OBP: .342
Oh, and by the way, look what I came across in that aforementioned thread:
FAIL.
daver - July 18, 2008
fantastic
n/t
DartmouthCubsFan - July 18, 2008
From the mountaintop to our computers!
Of course, someone who has an opinion about everything is bound to be wrong sometimes.
Bildo1805 - July 18, 2008
ONEDEC'd
Thats good stuff….he even FAILED on the home runs.
I didnt see his prediction on this one, but do you blame him? (i want to roll on the floor laughing my #$#@$ A$$ off but I wont)
Hammer - July 18, 2008
I'll take a stab
Wins:94
Theriot BA: .309
Theriot OBP:374
bren - July 18, 2008
Hmmm
Wins: 96
BA: .304
OBP: .359
McRipper - July 18, 2008
My leap of faith for a Friday
Wins: 95
Theriot BA: .294
Theriot OPB: 369
JB 23 - July 18, 2008
John Q Freejazz sez:
Wins: 96
BA: .305
OBP: 380
John Q Freejazz - July 18, 2008
My Guess
Wins: 96
Theriot BA: .301
OBP: .362
AndHart120 - July 18, 2008
My Predictions
Wins: 99
Avg: .306
OBP: .365
DenverCub - July 18, 2008
Magic 8 Ball Says.......
Wins: 97
Avg: 286
OBP: .351
DartmouthCubsFan - July 18, 2008
Teh Winnar
Wins: 94
Avg: .298
OBP: .365
cubbieblue - July 18, 2008
My predictions
Cubs – 97 wins
Riot – .317 BA
– .405 OBP
Ihatethecards - July 18, 2008
Love Distant Replays
Wins: 95
Avg: .307
OBP: .374
ethicsmax - July 18, 2008
My Prediction
Wins: 92
Avg: 289
OBP: 361
Lou In Blue - July 18, 2008
Give it a shot
Wins: 94
Avg: .293
OBP: .374
ar_hawkins - July 18, 2008
Predicting the future
Wins: 93
Avg.: .292
OBP: .379
wrigley_boy - July 18, 2008
Prediction
Wins: 93
Avg: .297
OBP: .378
mrcub26 - July 18, 2008
Prediction
Wins: 97
Avg: .303
OBP: .380
jdb-44 - July 18, 2008
Riot
Cubs win 100
Theriot BA at .302
OBP at .368
Cubster - July 18, 2008
The amazing Kreskin says...
Wins: 101
Avg: .313
OBP:.378
El Borto - July 18, 2008
Theriot's pretty good
Cubs wins – 101
Theriot BA – .311
Theriot OBP – .375
pscrblazer - July 18, 2008
winning post
Wins: 95
Avg: .303
OBP: .374
cubswynn - July 18, 2008
It is spoken, Let it be done.
W – 99
BA – .297
OBP – .363
Jayo525 - July 18, 2008
Per Jeanne Dixon and Nancy Reagan
Cubs win 94 games
Theriot AVG .299
Theriot OBP .341
CaliCub - July 18, 2008
Good contest
Wins – 94
AVG – .301
OBP – .383
tcjhawk - July 18, 2008
Picks
Wins-97
Therior Avg- .309
Theriot OBA- .385
sheamcmurray - July 18, 2008
Contest
Cub wins: 94
Riot’s BA: .295
Riot’s OBP: .377
davenportblue - July 18, 2008
My Predictions
Cubs Wins: 97
Theriot BA: .298
Theriot OBP: .374
gmhaynes - July 18, 2008
Honesty compels me to say
Wins: 97
Avg: .300
OBP: .360
deadcatbounce - July 18, 2008
feeling completely optimistic today...
wins 97
avg .317
obp .382
davidalanu - July 18, 2008
Here we be
wins- 96
avg- .298
obp- .371
Grockcubs - July 18, 2008
Let's go with...
wins 94
avg 299
obp 369
iCub - July 18, 2008
Okay then
wins: 94
Riot’s BA: .294
Riot’s OBP: .363
Kinky Reggae - July 18, 2008
...
Wins: 97
AVG: .301
OBP: .379
waltetod - July 18, 2008
birthday picks
Wins: 94
Avg. .301
OBP. .380
gocubsgo22 - July 18, 2008
Well
Wins:98
Avg: .303
OPB: .373
jbertram - July 18, 2008
let's see....
96 wins
.292 BA
.354 OBP
Holy Cow - July 18, 2008
From Carolina
Cub Wins 94
Avg 301
Obp 386
carolinacub - July 18, 2008
Crap
Obp should be 368
carolinacub - July 18, 2008
Dang dyslexia
carolinacub - July 18, 2008
Stupid Lysdexia
Looks the same to me.
imgonephishin - July 18, 2008
Great T-Shirt I Once Saw
The number “96” and underneath it said “Dyslexic Pervert”.
CaliCub - July 18, 2008
Did you hear
about the dyslexic agnostic insomniac?
he stayed awake all night wondering if there is a dog
CyberCyclist - July 18, 2008
Dyslexics of the World Untie!
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
A dyslexic guy walks into a bra...
CyberCyclist - July 18, 2008
LOL
That’s good.
Ihatethecards - July 18, 2008
Did you hear about the dyslexic devil worshipper?
He sold his soul to Santa
OK, that’s the last one, I promise
CyberCyclist - July 18, 2008
Aim High
Wins: 99
AVG: .289
OBP: .369
imgonephishin - July 18, 2008
Onward & Upward!
Wins = 98
AVG = .309
OBP = .378
wrigley's ivy - July 18, 2008
I'll take a shot
96 wins
Theriot: .302/.365
wrigleyrocker12 - July 18, 2008
K25's
91/.288/.369
Kansas25 - July 18, 2008
Here's mine
95 Wins
.299 AVG
.378 OBP
LerxstCub - July 18, 2008
Awesome idea Al
95 Wins
.283 Average
.351 OBP
Wreckard - July 18, 2008
contest entry
Wins: 93
Theriot BA: .298
Theriot OBP: .373
lohroffc - July 18, 2008
My picks
Wins: 92
Theriot average: .296
Theriot OBP: .370
danimal15 - July 18, 2008
Goat Whisperer's Entry
Cubs wins: 95
Theriot BA: .291
Theriot OBP: .374
Goat Whisperer - July 18, 2008
My thoughts
Wins: 100
Theriot BA: .304
Theriot OBP: .397
Al: Carpal tunnel syndrome (jk)
nbt - July 18, 2008
Neifi says
Wins: 94
Avg: .289
OBP: .385
Neifi Perez - July 18, 2008
I pick
97 wins. Ryan Theriot hits .302. His OBP is .375.
Josh Timmers - July 18, 2008
theriot rules
108/.312/.382
krauze - July 18, 2008
108?
They’d have to go 51-16 from here on out.
danimal15 - July 18, 2008
So?
CyberCyclist - July 18, 2008
So that's pretty hard...
princefieldersdiet - July 18, 2008
It would be fun to watch, though!
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
Definitely
princefieldersdiet - July 18, 2008
TWSS
CyberCyclist - July 18, 2008
My pick.
Wins: 92
Avg: .284
OBP: .367
cmf0203 - July 18, 2008
here we go
Wins: 91
BA: .297
OBP: .368
Short4Fanatic - July 18, 2008
Why not?
Wins: 93
Avg: .303
OBP: .352
GateCity, VA Cubs Fan - July 18, 2008
I like free stuff
96
.310
.390
shake n bake - July 18, 2008
The Riot
Wins: 97
BA: .299
OBP: .371
sowsman - July 18, 2008
Predictions
Wins : 97
BA: .293
OBP: .370
salparadise23 - July 18, 2008
I like the riot
95 wins .318 BA .384 OBP
Wad - July 18, 2008
Just a Guess
Wins:96
BA:.311
OBP:.378
UTCUBS - July 18, 2008
My brilliant estimations
Wins: 96
BA: 306
OBP: 380
brokenland - July 18, 2008
Uhhh...shot in the dark
97 wins
BA: .314
OBP: .386
Archie - July 18, 2008
The Riot
Wins 97
BA 297
obp 357
cozmotaylor123 - July 18, 2008
Picks
98 wins
BA: .309
OBP: 391
dlee25 - July 18, 2008
Here I go
Cubs Wins 95
BA .315
OBP .364
Griff5479 - July 18, 2008
ok
Cubs Wins 97
BA .302
OBP .361
jajonez77 - July 18, 2008
My guesses
Cubs Wins: 96
Theriot’s BA: .304
Theriot’s OBP: .386
ak123 - July 18, 2008
w00t
Cubs Wins: 95
Theriot’s BA: .311
Theriot’s OBP: .390
drMeth - July 18, 2008
I must say...
...for all the Theriot hate routinely thrown around these parts, I’m seeing a remarkable amount of optimism regarding his numbers.
daver - July 18, 2008
Nobody ever hates on his BA and OBP
sackings108 - July 18, 2008
Also, almost everybody has predicted his BA to drop at least 15 points.
sackings108 - July 18, 2008
I think these numbers are very subtly pessimistic.
But I’d have to actually average up the BA from all the posts to be certain.
cwyers - July 18, 2008
Back-of-the-envelope...
...I took the average of the first ten respondents, and that came up to a .294 batting average. Presuming that Theriot ends up with 650 at-bats the rest of the season (and he’s on pace for around 300 more ABs this season, so that’s about right) he would have to bat .264 the rest of the way to bat .294 on the season.
These surveys tend to stabilize pretty quickly, so I’d say .294 is probably representative of the responses we’re seeing. BCB isn’t optimistic about Ryan Theriot as a group; BCB is expecting Ryan Theriot to fall off like a rock the rest of the year.
cwyers - July 18, 2008
Now for OBP.
Average of the first 10 respondents is .372. Theriot has 392 PAs so far this season, on pace for 730. 154 times on base, so his current OBP is .393. That works out to a .348 OBP to finish the season. Assuming his career ISO SLG rate of .084 the rest of the way – generous, I think, given that his ISO this season is .049), that leaves Theriot with a projected line of:
.254/.348/.348, OPS of .696, OPS+ of 80.
That’s the opposite of optimism.
cwyers - July 18, 2008
To be clear...
...that line is for rest-of-year only. As a group, our first ten forecasters are projecting Theriot to:
.294/.372/.378, .750 OPS, 94 OPS+
As an end-of-season total, again using Theriot’s career ISO. Using Theriot’s season to date ISO:
.294/.372/.343, .715 OPS, 86 OPS+
I’d probably split the difference between them, myself. Either way, I wouldn’t call it particularly optimistic.
cwyers - July 18, 2008
97W, .288BA, .358OBP
n/t
blackhawk24 - July 18, 2008
The Winner is....
Wins: 95
Avg: .298
OBP: .379
MikeOxbyg - July 18, 2008
Unless it's me
Our guesses are .001 off for both AVG and OBP.
LerxstCub - July 18, 2008
Drum roll.....
W: 101
BA: .306
OBP: .371
EJThunder - July 18, 2008
my guess ...
wins: 92
Avg: .278
OBP: 370
coral - July 18, 2008
The crystal ball says...
Wins = 95
BA = .287
OBP = .354
mondello58 - July 18, 2008
hmmm
Wins: 92
BA: .296
OBP: .369
bgsiggy - July 18, 2008
Wins – 101
BA – .306
OBP – .364
dahcar - July 18, 2008
easy...
96…
with a .312/.372
ALchc - July 18, 2008
Here goes nothin
94 W, .291 BA, .363 OBP
LeeElia's15% - July 18, 2008
Without looking at current stats or other posts... so just a complete guess
95 wins
.312 BA
.371 OBP
GoCubbies34 - July 18, 2008
my guess....
wins – 92
ba – .317
obp – .394
tootle - July 18, 2008
god we are boring without baseball
tonights game can’t get here soon enough
cubswynn - July 18, 2008
There's a game tonight?
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
Everyone took my 92, so...
wins: 93
BA: 301
OBP: 370
kentmeister - July 18, 2008
Wins – 94
BA .305
OBP .365
N Oakley - July 18, 2008
Mr. Wizzard Says ...
99 wins
Riot Avg. .327
Riot OBP .399
StampMe - July 18, 2008
From the "Moon"
95 wins
Avg. .298
OBP .370
tucsoncubsfan - July 18, 2008
Wins – 97
BA – .313
OBP – .371
tulsacubfan - July 18, 2008
Soothsayer Bump says...
Cub wins – 95
BA – .281
OBP – .365
Bump Bailey - July 18, 2008
This is too easy...
Cubs Wins = 100 games
Theriot’s BA = .317
Theriot’s OBP= .377
santoswoodenlegs - July 18, 2008
Oh Yeah...
Ryan Theriot Sucks.
santoswoodenlegs - July 18, 2008
TWSS
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
we dont know that for sure if she said that
denied hehehe
Madison Cub Fan - July 19, 2008
The IowaCubs Caucus Convenes...
96 Wins
.309 BA
.379 OBP
I didn’t realize his BB/K ratio was a much improved 1.24, up from 0.98 last season. I like how he’s being more selective and taking more walks. He’s likely to reach 90 runs this year, which is more than any of us could ask… well if we were being picky, we’d like to see him hit more doubles, but that’s for another conversation.
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
from Minnesota
Wins: 97
Avg: .307
OBP: .377
MinnesotaFan - July 18, 2008
97 not terribly popular
Cubs win 97 games.
.303 BA
.373 OBP
BrownE34 - July 18, 2008
Eerily similar guesses
at almost the same time there MinnesotaFan
BrownE34 - July 18, 2008
I hope I am dead wrong on this.
Since this is a contest like “The Price is Right” somebody has to go low so I’ll put one on the board.
Wins 85
BA .210
OBP . .250
Now do I think this will happen? No. Do I want it to happen? Absolutely not!
Go Cubbies – Win 100!!!
wombat - July 18, 2008
Wouldn't we be playing..."The Price is Riot" ?
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
Wouldn't he
have to bat like.110 the rest of the year to drop that low?! He’d surely be benched before that, right? Hopefully?
Kegler - July 18, 2008
You have no idea
how many people on this board would love to see him bat .110 for the rest of the season.
ak123 - July 18, 2008
I don't think that's true
Just because people point out flaws in his game, it doesn’t mean they root against him.
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
+1
It’s inane to do so. He still wears a Cubs uniform like everyone else.
neverAcquiesce - July 18, 2008
You weren't kidding about bidding low
85 wins . . . that would mean 28-39 the rest of the way
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
97 wins, .321 average, .399 obp
lswaidz - July 18, 2008
What's up with the board?
Apologies if this has already been asked a million times, but this is my first time being able to login in a while…
malicedoom - July 18, 2008
Been ok for me...
Bump Bailey - July 18, 2008
I'll give it a crack
Wins: 96
BA: .307
OBP: .352
oneeyeddeer - July 18, 2008
First post, it's gotta be lucky!
Wins: 97
BA: .307
OBP: .371
Dayton Cubbie - July 18, 2008
...and the winner is:
W 95
Avg .304
OBP .380
Jettero2112 - July 18, 2008
Must be something from where I'm logging in
Tried from 2 different PCs here and the board is completely whacked out – all columns messed up and everything in dark blue and barely readable. Hmmm…
malicedoom - July 18, 2008
Same thing happened to me this morning
then it just went back to normal.
McRipper - July 18, 2008
Did it look something like this?
If it did….I had the same problem yesterday at work using IE 6. I am at home today and using IE7 and everything looks fine today.
Kasey
kaseyi - July 18, 2008
Yes!!
That’s exactly what it looked like.
McRipper - July 18, 2008
Then
Send a email to bugreport@sbnation.com
(I did that, but this would tell them that I’m not the only one having problems)
Kasey
kaseyi - July 18, 2008
Hope you have better luck
with bugreport than I have. I emailed them about my problem with posting and the “Z” tab from home on dial-up and that was two weeks ago. Emailed them again last week and still have not heard from them. I’m probably the only one on the planet still using dial-up from home but is anybody else having a problem posting or using the “Z” tab on dial-up?
tucsoncubsfan - July 18, 2008
The tech people are inundated.
They do read every email sent in. But it may take a while for them to get back to you.
Al Yellon - July 19, 2008
I'll try
I’m using the same set-up as you IE6 at work. It’s probably the cause.
McRipper - July 18, 2008
Everything's working here.
Quick question though: Who was that guy who claimed to work for Ryan Theriot the other day, and did we ever get the full story on that?
sackings108 - July 18, 2008
Well, let's see...
Cubs Wins: 101
Theriot Avg: .306
Theriot OBP: .388
Chadnudj - July 18, 2008
ME
Wins 100
Theriot Avg .293
OBP .392
puckishcubsfan - July 18, 2008
here are the winning #s
Cubs wins – 94
Theriot BA – 298
Theriot OBP – 380
drodd - July 18, 2008
Phone is ringin', oh my God...
Cubs wins – 101
Theriot BA – .310
Theriot OBP – . 388
Chicubs11636 - July 18, 2008
I'll throw a dart a this...
Cubs wins = 95
Riot BA = .289
Riot OBP = .351
DMH
DeRoMyHero - July 18, 2008
we have a winnah.................
cubs wins-92
riot ba-.292
riot obp-.375
clrkaddison - July 18, 2008
My prediction
Cubs Wins = 92
BA = .297
OBP = .353
CubFanSince1970 - July 18, 2008
Wins: 94
AVG: .287
OBP: .358
trefrog66 - July 18, 2008
Picks
Cubs wins: 95
Theriot BA: .300
Theriot OBP: .368
HowieHoosier - July 18, 2008
Hmm...
Cubs go 97-65.
Riot goes .303 and .352.
neverAcquiesce - July 18, 2008
Seems to be two distinct camps 91-94 wins and 97-100 wins
67 games remaining:
93 wins =36-31 record (with Soriano and Harden on the club) .537%
99 wins =42-25 record or .627%
Ivy Walls - July 18, 2008
Fun with numbers...My rationale
is that the Cubs need to play .600 ball. Period. You win 3 out of every five and you go to the playoffs.
160 games at a .600 winning percentage is 96-64. I let them split the last two games. so they go 97-65 for a .5987654320 winning percentage or .599 rounded up or .600 really rounded up.
Zeke - July 18, 2008
I took a look at each series and just guesssed
Which ones they would be more likely to win, lose, etc based on matchups, and figured they’d sweep a few.
Not exactly scientific, but I didn’t want to spend more than 5 minutes on it.
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
I did the same
But I inflated my number in the sense of being hopeful and well, down a few post I predicted 101 wins…I can dream right?
SouthsideCUBSfan - July 18, 2008
I inflated mine, too
I came up with an optimistic 99, and figured, “What the hell”, so I made it 100.
Shanghai Badger - July 18, 2008
I used the Lou method of making the playoffs...
.500 on the road = 17-18
.667 at home = 21-11
2nd 1/2 = 38-29
...added that to the 1st 1/2 total and came up with 95 wins, but rounded it up to 96.
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
This is a good method too.
...and frankly is the more logical and intelligent way to look at it. Lou knows more than I do, so let’s go with it!
Zeke - July 18, 2008
and the winner is...
Wins: 94
BA: .308
OBP: . 361
Notorious REL - July 18, 2008
I'll take a $50 card
96 wins
.310 avg.
.381 obp
DTJchris - July 18, 2008
dlansfor's winning picks!
Wins – 96
BA – .326
OBP – .390
dlansfor - July 18, 2008
Here goes nothing...
W: 98
RIOT BA: .311
RIOT OBP: .379
RIOTSHIRTS.com - July 18, 2008
here's the winners
wins: 97
BA: .302
OBP: .379
joeschmitt - July 18, 2008
easy....
WINS – 96
BA – .293
OBP – .369
StlCUBBIE - July 18, 2008
Here's my guess (um....prediction):
Wins: 98
Theriot BA: .325
Theriot OBP: .402
Love (almost) everyone’s optimism!
GO CUBS!!!
cowsarecool220 - July 18, 2008
Haven't Posted in a while so here we go
Wins= 102
BA = .303
OBP = .368
Can’t wait for the game tonight!
23Ryno - July 18, 2008
why not
wins: 97
BA: 314
OBP: 379
zjb - July 18, 2008
Galvan316
Wins: 94
BA: .312
OBP: 383
Galvan316 - July 18, 2008
I set up my lab's DNS server so I'm feeling GREAT right now!
Wins:
A gajillion98BA: .298
OBP: .359
NittanyCub - July 18, 2008
straight from Madison
WIns: 95
BA: .306
OBP: .382
cubfan1982 - July 18, 2008
Unique
Wins: 91
Tiebreaker: Ryan Theriot
BA: .293
OBP: .366
Unique - July 18, 2008
da riot!
Wins: 102
BA: .312
OBP: 387
mantras - July 18, 2008
Sweet contest!
Cubs Wins: 96
Theriot average: .303
Theriot OBP: .373
serbianking33 - July 18, 2008
the riotttt
wins: 98
BA: .303
OBP:379
cubbiepride - July 18, 2008
Contest
Wins: 95
Riot B.A. : .311
Riot OBP: .388
LACubFan - July 18, 2008
Hoping for better on all three, but....
Wins: 91
Ba: .291
OBP: 370
bobby h - July 18, 2008
hopeful
102 wins
299 avg
369 0bp
Glacier - July 18, 2008
Wins 97
Avg 313
OBP 389
hokiefan0705 - July 18, 2008
According to my calculations:
Wins: 101
Theriot: .302 average/ .375 obp
SouthsideCUBSfan - July 18, 2008
here goes nothing...
Wins – 99
BA – .313
OBP – .387
Bill Potter - July 18, 2008
Cubs+ Theriot= Wins
W= 96
BA= .308
OBP= .383
bizzle4 - July 18, 2008
88 W
.283 BA
.361
Dome is my home-ay - July 18, 2008
what
a debbie downer
luv4cubs2 - July 18, 2008
Here it is
W=98
BA=.307
OBP=.380
luv4cubs2 - July 18, 2008
The Winning Entry
94 Wins
.303 avg
.381 obp
BartlettBob - July 18, 2008
Wins – 96
Riot Avg – .298
Riot OBP – .376
PirateDan - July 18, 2008
hmm...
96 wins
Theriot hits .308
Theriot OBPs .379
mambochicken23 - July 18, 2008
Wins – 96
AVG – .294
OBP – .362
WittyUserName - July 18, 2008
Here is it
94 Wins
AVG .303
OBP .379
northofwrigley - July 18, 2008
OK
97 wins to end the season
And I’m not a Riot hater, but somebody’s going to start putting the shift on for him…
Avg .286
OBP .320
cocknfire - July 18, 2008
Oh, let's give this a try...
Cubs win: 96
Ryan Theriot bats: .298
Ryan Theriot OBP: .373
...and when I did a quick scan, my answers are alarmingly similar to lohroffc’s for Theriot. I guess that’s pseudo-random numbers for you…
MarchHare - July 18, 2008
98 wins
The Riot – .301 BA, .353 OBP
crw89 - July 18, 2008
97 wins
.301 BA
.359 OBP
dewby - July 18, 2008
I'm optimistic
Cubs win 96
Theriot BA .334
Theriot OBP .407
Go Cubs!
flachimesa - July 18, 2008
the winning numbers
Cubs win 93
Theriot BA .302
Theriot OBP .366
RMRZisMYmanCRUSH - July 18, 2008
maybe a little slump for the Theriot...
Wins: 93
Average: .297
OBP: .377
smitster2008 - July 18, 2008
Here's to history
Wins: 102
Riot BA: 308
Riot OBP: 380
Gurbal - July 18, 2008
Mrcubsfan says:
100 wins exactly!
Theriot hits .295
Theriot OBP .379
Optimistic on the wins, the whole 100 thing you know.
mrcubsfan - July 18, 2008
My prediction: I will not win.
Cubs finish 96-66 in regular season
Ryan Theriot bats .303 / .359 / .344 for the year with one more home run this season. It’s a walkoff against the Brewers and we all unite in Theriot love until “Go Cubs Go” is over.
If this is Price is Right, these are my picks:
Cubs: 57 wins
Theriot: .000 BA, .000 OBP.
HA!!!!!!
northsider - July 18, 2008
"Give me the money, Lebowski!"
95 wins
Riot AVG> .311
Riot OBP>.379
ilovepie - July 18, 2008
Aw man... The Riot really tied the room together...
IowaCubs- - July 18, 2008
Or We'll Cut Off Your
(Reed) Johnson.
CaliCub - July 18, 2008
Theriot and Fontenot:
The Little Lebowski Urban Achievers.
On a related note, the Art Museum in Indianapolis plays outdoor films in the summer. Next Friday night, the dude abides.
Bildo1805 - July 18, 2008
I'm game...
94 wins
Theriot’s BA: .295
Theriot’s OBP: .370
NOLA_Cub_Fan - July 18, 2008
AlaskaFan wanders in late
Wins: 96 (too many road games)
Theriot BA: .312
Theriot OBP: 380
AlaskaFan - July 18, 2008
My picks!
Wins: 94
Riot BA: .310
Riot OBP: 399
TyCubsfan - July 18, 2008
For what it's worth...
Wins: 95
Theriot BA: .292
Theriot OBP: .359
bluekoolaide - July 18, 2008
Give me that 50$
Wins: 99
AVG: .303
OBP: .387
LPLancer23 - July 18, 2008
The all Knowing High_Tight_Fastballs prediction:
Wins: 96
AVG: .288
OBP: .345
Not expecting him to keep it up.
High_Tight_Fastball - July 18, 2008
Sure.
Wins: 95
AVG: .305
OBP: .380
Cool Hand - July 18, 2008
Let's see what happens...
Wins: 98
AVG: .308
OBP: .379
chuckworth - July 18, 2008
Wins
Wins: 100
AVG: .302
OBP: .387
adam316 - July 18, 2008
Love the Riot
But his average will fall.
94 wins.
.294 average.
.368 OBP
Orval Overall - July 18, 2008
contest
Wins: 96
AVG: .309
OBP: .378
iwucubfan - July 18, 2008
Book it
Wins: 95
Avg: .308
OBP: .380
cubs1983 - July 18, 2008
contest might as well have the glass 1/2 full
wins: 99
average: .313
OBP: .388
Madison Cub Fan - July 18, 2008
I'll say...
...the Cubs win 97 games.
Theriot:
BA – ..297
OBP – .362
MPH73 - July 18, 2008
Wow, lots of replies
No time to scan through to see if anyone already has posted this, but…
Wins: 94
AVG: .314
OBP: 392
kanderber - July 18, 2008
COPYCAT!!!!!
Kidding. : )
northsider - July 18, 2008
Is # of responses a fair idea of how may BCB readers there are?
wow
Wins: 94
AVG: .298
OBP: .361
JCD - July 18, 2008
nope guessing there are way more readers than posters
I read for quite a while before I ever posted anything…. plus I notice a few of the regulars havent posted yet either
Madison Cub Fan - July 18, 2008
I haven't checked my choices against the other 270 options, but...
Cubs win 95.
Theriot .307/.377
section229beer - July 18, 2008
Lucky 3's
Cubs wins: 93
Theriot’s stats: .303/.373
DrakeCub - July 18, 2008
let's go with
an even 100 wins
theriot
ba: .287
obp: .342
cubbiefanTN - July 18, 2008
My guess, uneducated or otherwise
Wins: 95
Theriot—Avg: .309
Obp: .355
snowyman28 - July 18, 2008
Read it; weep
Wins-93
Theriot avg.-.287
Theriot obp—.347
Northpith - July 18, 2008
what the hell
Wins: 94
AVG: .311
OBP: .378
BradB311 - July 18, 2008
Worth a shot
Cubs: 96 wins
Theriot: .289
OBP. 353
jbau - July 18, 2008
zambranofan's picks
Wins: 97
Theriot AVG: .289
Theriot OBP: .357
cubzfan - July 18, 2008
Cubbybear's picks
Wins: 95
AVG: .297
OBP: .364
cubbybear - July 18, 2008
my 2 cents...
Wins 89
avg : .291
OBP : .389
hctiMSpelledBackwards - July 18, 2008
here it is.....
wins 101
avg .303
obp .382
cubsluver22 - July 18, 2008
Survey says ...
Cubbie wins 93
Scrappy’s BA .309
Scrappy’s OBP .387
californiachicagoan - July 18, 2008
Not the winner:
Wins: 95
BA: .291
OBP: .349
KatoRx - July 18, 2008
Is it Hammertime?
Cubs wins – 96
Theriot BA – .307
Theriot OBP – .378
Hammer - July 18, 2008
Go Cubs
Cubs Wins – 95
Theriot BA – .310
Theriot OBP – .380
MissouriKev - July 18, 2008
I'm nothing if I can't be wrong!
Cubs wins: 96
Riot BA: .292
Riot OBP: 369
LAcarl519 - July 18, 2008
I could go for one of those vintage 1908 hats
Cub wins – 91
Riot BA – .302
Riot OBP – .377
rea5661 - July 18, 2008
and I pick
Cubs – 91
Batting average – .287
OBP – . 338
akbeck98 - July 18, 2008
really?
I think he is learning and learning….so he will have decent stats (when looking at stats through 2 of the first 3 slashes) but after that and careerwise you would hope for his and OUR sake that he turns out like David Eckstein (minus that kidney issue)
Hammer - July 18, 2008
Dart-Throwing Monkey
Here’s what the dart-throwing monkey came up with:
Wins: 94
BA: .305
OBP: .379
mutleyil - July 18, 2008
Uhhh...why not?
Wins – 94
Theriot Bats .313
with an OBP of .382
Tater01 - July 18, 2008
I hope I'm not too late to the party to enter...
Because I feel compelled to vote against the populist opinion:
Wins - 87
Theriot BA - .321
Theriot OBP—.366
Jerry Mumphrey - July 18, 2008
Theriot Contest
BA: .293
OBP: .378
Cub Wins: 94
jaredprebish - July 19, 2008
Thanks for all the entries.
I’m going to leave comments open on this post till Monday morning 7/21… then if someone would like to volunteer to make a spreadsheet of all the picks so it’s easy to find the winner, I’d appreciate it. Thanks!
Al Yellon - July 19, 2008
Think you might
need to offer a
bribeprizereward first….JohnM - July 23, 2008
Here I Go....
Cubbies: 97 Wins
The Riot
BA: 318
OBP: 389
scottydo - July 19, 2008
I'll try it
96 wins
Theriot BA - .298
Theriot OBP - .302
No Southern Belle - July 19, 2008
this game is a riot
Cubbie victories: 92
Theriot avg: .309
Theriot obp: .361
Cubinator - July 20, 2008
Hmm... it's Monday and I'm just back from vacation
Cubs victories: 91
Theriot Avg: .296
Theriot OBP: .356
RynoHoF - July 21, 2008
95 wins for the Cubs
.298 average for Theriot
OBP – .348
thecomebackseason - July 21, 2008
Cubs victories: 96
Theriot Avg: .290
Theriot OBP: .376
tony412 - July 21, 2008
94 Wins
Theriots Average: .314
Theriots OBP: .394
Andre Fonseca - July 29, 2008
Cubs wins – 96
Theriot BA – .291
Theriot OBP – .361
archimedes - August 6, 2008
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