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Bleed Cubbie Blue

Tuesday Morning Headlines

  • Lou may shuffle the lineup tonight. That article also says:
    Lou Piniella said he expects the club to bring up at least outfielder Felix Pie and pitcher Kevin Hart from Iowa once they're done with the AAA playoffs.
    I've heard different. We'll see.
  • The Brewers are still whining about CC Sabathia's "lost" no-hitter on Sunday. Now, this does raise a legitimate issue. I have long felt that the official scorekeeping duties should be taken away from writers and clubs and that the scorer should be made a fifth member of the umpiring crew. Maybe this will create the impetus to do that. Here's Carol Slezak's take on this in today's Sun-Times.
  • There's nothing wrong with Rich Harden, says Bruce Miles:

    Rich Harden said Monday he'd rather be pitching but that he agrees with the Cubs' decision to rest him until next Tuesday's series opener in St. Louis.

    The Cubs say they're playing it cautiously with Harden's right shoulder, which put him on the disabled list earlier this year when he was with Oakland.

    "Yeah, let's make sure I'm feeling good and fresh for the stretch here, the last few games," said Harden, who is 4-1 with a 1.50 ERA as a Cub since coming over from the A's in July. "I've been feeling pretty good. I haven't felt too much strain or anything from throwing the ball.

    "With a couple of days off, I definitely feel stronger. It can make a difference, especially late in the season when you get a little tired. I really want to be out there, but I agree with it."

  • Finally, I posted this in a couple of the threads last night, but once again, I think it bears repeating:

    In their last 14 home games, the Cubs are 8-6.

    In their last 14 road games, the Cubs are 13-1.

    Maybe the home/road split this month will work out after all.

There! That ought to keep you busy till gametime tonight.

0 recs  |  265 comments

Comments

First!

Let’s start winning again!

Right now I'm thinking

get wins and Brewers losses to get that magic number dropping fast. I am very anxious to see how Z pitches tonight.

Are we sure that Z will go?

Just wondering if a few more day’s rest is in order.

Z is scheduled to go tonight, yes.
Any idea what the rotation will be for the next 5 days?

I’ll be at the game on Sunday in Cinci and was wondering who’d take the ball.

Zambrano

According to ESPN

(Take with a grain of salt, but that would be 4 days’ rest.)

The IMPORTANT Magic Number is 15

For a playoff spot.

The division MN of 21 is nice, but relatively insignificant.

I disagree

Wild card = no home field advantage in any playoff series
Best NL record = home field advantage in NLDS, NLCS

Those would be nice

but when stacked against getting into the playoffs…. relatively insignificant.

Yes, getting in is important

See: 2006 Tigers, AL Champions & late collapse to wild card

Still, I don’t think any of us would be happy with losing a 4 1/2 game lead with 24 to play.

...

Wrigley is our secret weapon. I think having home field advantage will mean a LOT to this team.

Home field

advantage would be huge for ths team.

Considering how well this team...

…has played at home this year, I’m not sure how you can say having home field advantage is even relatively insignificant. Then again, they have improved their road record as of late. In any case, I want them to win the division.

The right strategy is being employed with Rich Harden and Carlos Zambrano

Rich Harden is here to serve as shutdown ace when it counts the most. With a several game lead in the standings and the fallback option of the NL wildcard clearly being handed to a NL Central team?? Yeah, it makes sense to get Harden (and Zambrano) in the best possible physical shape for a lengthy October baseball run.

I want a refreshed Harden when he goes up against Brendan Webb in game 1 of the playoffs. I want a rested and at peace Zambrano when he faces the Big Unit. I want a continuance of the Ryan Dempster we have seen all season when he faces Danny Haren. And for good measure I want Ted Lilly to be the dagger to the heart of the Arizona D’Backs in the event it is too soon for Harden to go again.

+1

I said yesterday in another post Lou was setting things up with rest to go into the final 13 games as strong as he could. With the 3 off days coming up and skipping some turns, this is the only time to rest people. Yes, it may hurt us in the short term, but long term this is the correct gamble.

So you've shuffled both teams' rotations...

From Webb/Haren/Unit to Webb/Unit/Haren…and Z/Demp/Harden to Harden/Z/Demp?

harden/z/demp

is the way i would set the lineup

that puts Dempster pitching

away from home.

Z, Demp, Harden. That ensures Harden is rested, lets Demp pitch at home, and puts our top Ace out there first, bringing the dynamite.

Over Dempster's last 10 outings

He is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA at home and 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA on the road. Your misconceptions about Dempster’s need to pitch at home are vastly overblown.

I don't think they are.

Don’t cherry pick. His first ten wins came at home.

It's not cherry picking.

Dempster has pitched well the entire season. The fact that he won his first ten games at home have more to do with the Cubs being a far better home team than on the road in the beginning of the year.

Plus, his recent performances are a better indicator on how he will pitch in October than his early season starts.

+1

His home-away splits have been vastly overblown. His performance in the away games has not matched his record. The team played poorly in his road losses.

pitching harden first

almost gurantees he will pitch twice

Little fuzzy on the schedule

but if something fluky happens and we need a game 4, doesnt harden have to come back on short rest?

I don’t like that.

he keeps forgetting that.
My rotation for the playoffs would be

Demps/Z/Harden

unless Z gets his shit together and remembers that he’s Zambrano.

Playing along

Harden would throw Game 1 on Oct. 1 versus Webb.
Zambrano would throw Game 2 on Oct. 2 versus Johnson
Dempster would throw Game 3 on Oct. 4 versus Haren
Oct. 5 is Game 4
Oct. 7 is Game 5

So yes, it would be short rest. Better to start him in Game 2, IMO.

you guys are right

are we all agreeing lilly doesn’t get a starting spot in the playoffs?

Depends

If you started Harden in Game 1, I think you have to throw Lilly in Game 4 (if necessary), especially if you’re playing in a big park (like Dodger Stadium).

If the Cubs made the NLCS, I could throwing him in Game 4, depending on the situation.

which is one reason

you don’t start Harden in game one.

Oh, I know

I’ve been building case for him throwing Game 2.

Why not worry about the playoff rotation in mid-to-late September?

You know, when we’ll all have a much better idea about whom the Cubs will be playing. Yes, right now it appears to be Arizona, but plannning a playoff rotation on September 2 seems a little foolhardy.

bc it's 9 hours til game time

and we need something to discuss

understandable

but I hate this playoff projection business, especially coming off a loss. Stirs the nervous Cubs fan in me.

Personally, I’m pulling for LA to get into the playoffs. So can we talk about the merits of Lowe/Kershaw/Kuroda/Billingsley/Maddux?

I answered the question about resting Harden and Zambrano

Implied within is getting best prepared for October baseball. Cubs are not in a mode of looking at each game as a must-win right now.

well then don't read it!
and good morning to you, sir.

guess i should have put the sarcasm sign up somewhere along the way.

me too

haha

here we go

i don't get it
see now you're getting me confused
picture pwnage
Totally agree.
Three-Game Losing Streak

It’s nice to still to be up by 4.5 games after losing three in a row. It’s better to have a three-game skid now than in the playoffs.

+1

and, the magic number still went down (ablbeit by only 1 during that time).

that was exactly what i said yesterday

“well, if we’re gonna struggle in Sept, lets get it over w/ now”.

Ready to win

Man I’m surprised I haven’t seen the old jumping off the Sears Tower post yet

I'll be racing up Sears Tower

in November… I’ll let you know if I spot our regulars along the way. I hope not, instead I hope they’ll still be celebrating our phantasmagorical 08 season.

I think I see my dad.
I can see

my house from here!

I'm waiting for a comment about Harden's quote...

“I haven’t felt too much strain or anything from throwing the ball.” Someone will over analyze.

I am also excited to see Z pitch tonight, he needs to have a good first inning to ensure he doesn’t have an early anger attack.

+1

it really helps z to get out of the first inning clean

Wow, surprised to see Al's more informed about Sept call ups than Lou
Lou Piniella said he expects the club to bring up at least outfielder Felix Pie and pitcher Kevin Hart from Iowa once they’re done with the AAA playoffs.

I’ve heard different. We’ll see.

Al, you mentioned that you heard something different,

I’m curious, what have your heard? (Or is it top secret?)

Just that he won't be recalled.

FWIW, the PCL playoffs could go on until September 14, and if Iowa wins it, till September 16.

I can’t see them bothering to call up those two for the last 10 days. Kind of pointless.

I imagine...

That HE refers to Pie?

Why would a vauluable player (IMO) like Pie stay in AAA for the playoffs?

…I mean the AAA playoffs are totally meaningless exercise, so is that due to a shortage of players?

If so, that speaks volumes about how Lou feels about Pie.

Agreed.

Bring Pie up to pitch run or play defense late.

they literally cannot play

if he’s not there, they only have three outfielders.

I don’t know enough about the AA system to say if they can call someone up to replace him or not.

I think Sam Fuld is available down in AA
and the conundrum is exposed! :P
Good morning to you, too!

Very nice comment.

it's fun to come back and win games

but i’m ready to see us jump out to a 5-0 lead within the first three innings

100% agree

that is all we should need tonight is 3 or 4 early runs for Z.

Yeah, I'm getting a little tired...

…of waiting around for the Comeback Cubs. Let’s hope that tonight they start being the Get-ahead, Stay-ahead Cubs.

Just thinking out loud this morning

what do people think about a six man rotation for the month of Sept. to get our guys a little extra rest?

The Cubs want to be cautious with Harden, and it would probably help Z’s tired arm a little too. Throw marshal out there every sixth day and give all of our starters a little extra rest.

I think we are effectively gonna get a 6 or 7 man rotation

With various starters being pushed back and shuffled around. Marshall or Lieber may start a game or two. I’m sure it will be hard to know what the regular “rotation” is until those last series against the Mets and Brewers, setting up for the playoffs.

Dan

The four and a half game lead

allows us to be a little more flexible. I, personally, would like to see Marshall and/or Lieber out there for a couple starts each this month. I think it will help all of our pitchers down the stretch.

it's a thin line

sure we want to rest our guys as much as possible, however i don’t want to see us let our foot off the gas and lose home field advantage bc of it

+1

There is still a lot of time left and I don’t want the Cubs to back into the playoffs. Be cautious but things can change quickly. If the Mets didn’t pull that victory out yesterday there would be a lot of Cubs fans jumping off the ledge right now with the lead shrinking to 3.5 games.

plus you don't want to be losing going into the playoffs

you wanna have the big MO

The big MO aka P

For you science nerds out there.

Hard to argue with Pinella's Handling of pitchers

I have no beef with how Harden and Z have been handled. The reality is, assuming Z can regain some form of normalcy – that few of us are really worried about this team’s pitching. Sure, certain members of the bullpen (Cotts) look clueless at times, but as far as the guys that will be called up on in the playoffs to start and relieve everyone has to feel pretty good.

The offense on the other hand is very concerning. What happened the past 5 games is exactly what we saw happen against AZ in last year’s playoffs. How many good SP has this offense gotten to the past couple months outside of Sheets and CC? A pretty short list. Now good SP are good for a reason, but I think there is serious reason for concern that the offense seems to go into collective funks for games at a time and to have them get manhandled at Wrigley the past 5 games but decent (but not great) starting pitchers is a flashing danger sign for the playoffs.

I disagree

I heard the same thing from fans calling in to Corey Provis on WGN radio post game, the Cubs have 85 wins, I can’t recall all the good SP they have beat but there must be a few in there.

Dan Haren and Jake Peavy come immediately to mind, and

I believe Roy Halladay as well.

They beat Oswalt on April 5.

Of course, he was apparently dealing with a lot of injuries earlier in the season.

They have beaten

Harang on 4/15, 5/6 and 7/8, Haren on 5/9, Peavy on 5/14, Halladay on 6/14, Sheets on 7/29.

Those are probably the best they’ve beaten – I left out Glavine, Doug Davis, Cueto, Carpenter, Kuroda and Billingsley, too.

Well, one could quibble...

…with Harang’s name on that list. He’s just had an awful year.

yeah, i did too.

but prior to this year, he’d pitched pretty well versus the cubs. and three wins against him this year is pretty solid.

Yeah, he was definitely a great pitcher '05 through '07.
Either way,

I think the Cubs have beaten some good pitchers this season. Better to have the bats go a little quiet now than in October.

What cracks me up

Is all the people calling up radio stations saying, “The Cubs don’t hit good pitchers!”

Most don’t, at least not consistently. That’s WHY they are good pitchers!!!

The good thing about this team

is they almost always give themselves a chance to get back into the game. Even yesterday, despite Oswalt looking sharp, they brought the tying run to the plate twice, and from my seats, it looked like Lee’s ball would have gotten out had their not been a stiff wind blowing in from right.

You win...

…common sense post of the year.

Who wants a no-hitter by something so lame as the scorer's judgement?

Scoring is so subjective and fielding percentages so closely grouped that errors don’t tell much at all. They should get rid of the official designation of “errors”.

If Sabathia had fielded the ball and threw the runner out he wouldn’t be crying today. Maybe he deliberately fumbled the the ball thinking the scorer will bail him out?

Actually, Sabathia isn't the one whining.

It’s Yost. But that’s not surprising.

Yes, you are right...

But did Yost complain because his pitcher was miffed about it or did Yost just go off on it after the game without talking to his pitcher? Both the manager and the pitcher should have realized tat complaining about a play like this might make the pitcher look bad since he actually had control of the situation. Maybe Yost just went off on it after the game without thinking? if so, then he’s not doing his pitcher any favors here.

I have to believe it's Yost going off.

He’s done this sort of thing before.

don't forget about melvin also
Gooden 1984 Game and Wood 1998 Game

Why not give Dwight Gooden credit for a no-hitter on September 7, 1984? Ray Knight could have handled that grounder hit by Keith Moreland. Why not give Kerry Wood a no-hitter for the 20-strikeout game on May 6, 1998? Couldn’t Kevin Orie have made that play on the Ricky Gutierrez grounder?

IMO, we should not go back and change those official scorers’ rulings to give those pitchers credit for no-hitters. Sabathia shouldn’t get credit for a no-hitter. I’m glad that CC feels the same way.

Ray Knight "Error"

I forgot after 24 years that Knight actually fielded the ball but couldn’t get the ball out of his glove to throw to first to get Moreland. This link is from the Mets perspective. I think it will refresh the memory of those who understandably are a little hazy about the details of that 1984 play.

All I know is that Sabathia is the best damned pitcher in the National League and the Brewers are going to make the playoffs

Sabathia is a monster on the mound. He has come into this league and utterly dominated even moreso than Rich Harden.

but he's thrown far too many pitches at this point

I think he may be burnt out in October, again, just as he was by the ALCS last year.

I agree with you...

…but Yost is a horrible manager, and the way he’s treating CC is proof. We’ve discussed here how CC is going to hit and far exceed his total pitch count and innings pitched this year, and Yost has shown a lack of respect for the pitcher and his future team (Yankees?). Was there a reason to keep CC in the game that was a shutout, up 7-0, against the asinine Pirates? I can understand a close game, but pitching a shutout against the Pirates, with much more important series looming, just makes me look in disgust at Ned Yost. He’s an idiot, and maybe I’m too much of a traditionalist, but I think it’s very disrespectful to be effectively “riding” CC’s arm to the playoffs…and not giving a shit if his career is ruined in the process.

Dan

Does the player have any was to avoid this?

CC wants to be seen as a gamer and and ace. He wants to let his future employer know that he can go out there and pitch day after day. If he (or his agent) raised a stink about him being overused, it may tarnish his ability to get the contract he wants in the off season.

I agree with you that Yost is completely disrespecting CC and doesn’t seem to care whether or not CC’s career is wrecked by this overuse. Since it would be detrimental to CC to publicly raise this issue, it is on Yost and he is proving that he doesn’t care for CC’s future because he knows it isn’t with the Brewers

Throw fewer pitches for the inevitable CG
a monster, maybe

but a de-fanged one against us.

Yeah, I heard CC interviewed...

…on (IIRC) ESPN radio over the weekend. The interviewer asked him whether he’d feel any differently about the game if it was ruled a no-hitter and he replied something along the lines of, “No, not at all.” He basically said getting the win was the important thing, and could really care less about the ruling.

I really can’t find too much fault with Sabathia’s off-the-field attitude at all. He says all the right things and comes across as pretty down to earth. What he’s accomplishing right now with Milwaukee is pretty staggering.

hopefully

“no-hitter-gate” is a distraction to the team and ends up ultimately biting yost in the butt, although i doubt it will if parra vs. princess didn’t

i did watch an interview with yost in which he said he wanted it to be a no hitter bc he always wanted to be the manager of a no-hitter and he wanted to tell his kids 20 years from now that he managed cc’s no-hitter…..what a tool

I think the baseball gods are exacting revenge for Nedly's rant

by punishing Ben Sheets.

The thing is

scoring is subjective, and it always has been. One man’s error is another man’s hit, so to speak. However, the golden rule of scoring, so to speak, is to not let the moment of the game change the call. So, the OS cannot make a ruling to ‘keep’ a no-hitter in tact, so to speak. That’s not right.

I do think that teams need to do something other than make writers the Official Scorers; having been an OS for the past year, I know that it’s something that requires your full attention, rather than worrying about a game story or whatever else the writer is working on.

Writers stopped being the official scorer in 1980.

They’re currently employees of MLB, hired by the home team and paid by the league.

Thanks, cwyers

I knew that’s what we did in Indianapolis in hiring, since none of us official scorers are writers, but I didn’t know the practice had stopped in the Major Leagues.

In that case, I really don’t have a problem with how the official scorers are operating, as long as they are willing to explain why they made the rulings they did.

Don't you think they should be umpires, not former sportswriters?
Won't umpires be just as subjective as writers?
But at least umpires are trained in the rulebook.
True

But all teams are required to have the rule book available for the official scorer. And I would think most scorers know the ‘extraordinary effort’ rule.

Plus, I like getting my $40 a game to score it. Really makes all those scorebooks I have from when I was little worth it.

You get $40 per game for scoring minor league games?

Our recreational league will give you 60 euros per game for umpiring……there’s a serious shortage here (i.e. they’re non-existent….)

60 euros, eh?

Tell me when and where.

How does

Corkagh Park, Dublin, suit you for this Saturday morning?

Looks lovely.

Unfortunately, I have to go to a wedding on Saturday, which will probably keep me away.

Damn

That means a player (and possibly one from the opposing team) will be wearing the tools of ignorance behind the plate this weekend. Again.

Hey, send me the 2009 schedule

I’m sure the wife would like some time in Ireland, and if the Euro-dollar rate continues to worsen, I could squeeze some time in over there.

Brainstorm!

Fantasy Umpire Tours! Always wanted to ump some baseball games but couldn’t make the long term commitment, and worried that you wouldn’t know the rule book well enough? Always wanted to travel the world, but never figured out a way to pick up a few bucks along the way? Not any longer! Fantasy Umpire Tours take you directly to Europe, where you will know more about the game of baseball than pretty much everyone! Send your credit card details today – and we’ll do the rest!

That sounds like a fantastic idea

I’m sure you could get some amatuer umpires to sign up. Plus, toss in some sight-seeing stuff for people to do in their down time, and now you’ve really got something!

If you're that hard up

I’ve a friend in the Netherlands who does a bit of umpiring for the clubs there. He may be interested in some extra weekend work in Dublin.

I went to the Netherlands once for a youth tournament

Good umpires over there! (compared to here)

Although with usually all the games being on Saturdays, he’d probably only be able to do two …. it might cover a cheap plane ticket but that’s all. But if he needs an excuse to get to Dublin for extra-curricular activities, here it is on a silver platter.

My e-mail address is in my profile

Drop me a line, and I’ll forward it on to him.

since when??

lmao

Trained in the Rulebook?

Al, I have been scoring minor league ball for 10 years and an SID for 15-plus. I have a friend who has been a scorer for the Angels for several years. He partners with a writer who has been watching the game for 30 years.

We know what the rulebook says. It’s pretty straightforward when it comes to errors.

The problem is that people don’t respect the position, because everybody sees the game differently. But, like the umpire, only the scorer’s opinion matters.

Where do you SID?
Was at UC Riverside until last october

Still here, just a different, non-athletics job now.

Nice

I’m in the same field, but at IUPUI.

I think former umpires should be driven out to sea.

That said, they aren’t former sportswriters, either. There is (if I’m remembering correctly) a written exam and an apprenticeship period, but no formal requirements.

That said, I seriously doubt umpires spend any time at all reading section 10.00 of the official rulebooks, because none of it matters to them, and that’s where pretty much all of the “controversy” comes from in the decisions of the official scorer.

Wasn't suggesting it be a former umpire.

I’m suggesting it be an ACTIVE umpire; assign 5-man crews to each game, that gives one of them a “break” from base umpiring.

And if you have to send them back to school to train them in the rulebook, so be it.

Why not have 5-man crews anyways?

And give one ump a ‘day off’ and make him an observer of the crew, offering suggestions, etc., to his counterparts? I know MLB already has these, but I don’t know if they cover every game on a daily basis.

I don’t know if he needs to be the OS, but I like the idea of a 5-man crew.

5th ump

Could be official scorer and replay official

Exactly.
That would work

My only problem is whether or not their are enough qualified umpires right now. It seems like the amount of AAA umpires that would be needed could severely dilute the umpire pool.

15 more umpires, one per game.

They already have these guys available; they’re the vacation replacements. Yes, some of them are not very good. But at least they have some experience, even if they need more training.

Agreed

I like bringing up the vacation replacements as the new ‘5th’ umpires. Use the offseason for replay and scoring training.

FWIW, I’m asking for a raise from the International League. I get $40/game, MLB official scorers are paid $135/game right now.

And if you hired an umpire

on the major league level, it would cost, minimum, $600 a game plus benefits.

That’s why they’re not doing this.

I get 40 in the Cal League, up from 35 for the last 9 years
To be blunt

I don’t think MLB wants to pay the official scorer an umpire’s salary. An beginning umpire makes $84k a year. Someone like Joe West makes $300k.

I don’t think making an umpire an official scorer would really change these controversies at all, and it would cost MLB probably over $2 million dollars a year. It would make for some happy umpires and a happy umpires union, though.

Correct... people would still complain

God himself could be the scorer and people would still be bitching at him if they disagreed with a call.

I like Jesus very much....... but

he no hit curveball.

Are you trying to say

that Jesus Christ can’t hit a curveball?!

he got crossed up
The umpiring in this league is already wretched enough without those primadonnas have additional responsibility heaped upon

Bud the Dud Selig has allowed the umpiring in baseball to go down the tubes. Focus should be on holding the umpires to objective performance standards and firing the awful and malcontents. Not adding score keeping duties.

I don't blame who the scorer is here...

…it’s having a category that is called “errors” and how they are determined that’s the problem. No hitters could better reflect the premium for team play required (v. the Pitcher threw a no-hitter) if errors wee eliminated from the scoring.

As fans, we cn always discuss amongst ourselves how “so-and-so” made a bad play and we’d likely characterize the hitter as lucky in those instances.

Who wants a no-hitter by something so lame as the scorer's judgement?

DeJon Watson of the Dodgers, for one.

http://www.insidesocal.com/marshall_law/2008/04/66ers-make-the-right-call.html

DeJon Watson the son of Johnny (Guitar) Watson??

Guitar Watson! There's a name from the past. He's gone on to that great gig

in the sky, you know.

My worthless 2 cents.....

To me the Cubs are (barring injury) as good as their offense is on any given day. When our productive guys are being productive we are the best team in the majors. When D Lee, Edmonds, Soriano, Fukodome hit like they have during this homestand. Well……..we are average. Our pitching is solid, our bullpen is awesome and middle relief doesn’t matter when we are hitting. DeRosa and Rameriz are carrying this team right now with a little Soto help. The rest just aren’t showing up and the results speak for themselves. But we’ll come out of it, I just worry about the timing of these offensive spells, and I worry about D Lee lack of power, Sori’s lack of adjustments and Fukodome’s lack of anything offensively.

If the Astros were in the NL West...

…they’d be in first. What a horrible division. Yet I still have nightmares about the D-Backs.

Unrelated question.

I’m trying to look at measurement error of run estimators. I’ve looked at R, AAE and RMSE. But I’m not sure any of those are appropriate for what I’m looking at. Runs Created seems to produce a much wider range of estimates at each run value than BaseRuns does. Do you have any suggestions?

I'll try to get back to you tonight, Colin. Does that work?

Not sure i’ll have an answer, but I’ll think about it on the ride home!

That'd be great.

I don’t publish ’till Friday.

imgaine what their record would be...

….playing more teams from the west and less teams from the central

hope

Let’s hope that Sori is having one of his horrible streaks now. If he is hot going into the playoffs, he can almost carry this offense by himself.

bat ball hitter....

and we’re lucky there are alot of bad pitchers out there. I watched these recent string of strong starters we have been facing and they absolutely chew him up. Any solid starter with a game plan makes him look like Sammy Sosa circa 1994. Fast ball up, Breaking pitch low and away all day long.

that should read BAD BALL HITTER
Yes, and yes

He swings at the low/away/in the dirt pitch all day long

moments of brilliance

Soriano does have a lot of disappointing moments against good pitchers. On the other hand, the way he handled CC Sabathia in the last series with Milwaukee set the tone for the sweep. He got to him early and removed the aura of invincibility.

It gives me hope that he can rise to the occasion, since that series is the closest to a playoff atmosphere so far this year. There will be more crucial moments in September in preparation for October.

The bottom line however, Sori or no, is that the playoffs don’t always go to the best team, they go to the team that is hottest at the moment.

Somewhat OT:

I’m not sure what Darth Vader is doing at the game on September 16th against the Brewers, but I hope he brings his light saber and kicks some serious Brewer ass. See for yourself Darth on the Cubs’ schedule! (new window)

Dan

Did Indiana Jones bring the Cubs a win when he was on the schedule?

I can’t remember.

it's a video game tie-in

I find your lack of faith disturbing.

Oh Man....No Darth Vader

Good thing the stormtrooper was there working security.
NEWS: Darth Vader contract purchased from Hiroshima Toyo Carp by Brewers

Pitcher Darth Vader is going to be making his major league debut on Sept 17th for the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers purchased the right to Vader for a record $50 million.

Vader, pictured below, was excited about his chance to join the Brewers. “Together we will rule the galaxy,” said Vader after he learned he would be joining the Brewers for stretch run.

It is believed this move was made by the Brewers to compensate for injury of Starting Pitch Ben Sheets who is down with a groin injury.

Vader had spent 2008 in the Japanese Baseball League playing for the Hiroshima Toyo Carp where he had proved to be a dominate and controversial pitcher. In 22 starts Vader had a 0.52 ERA with 128K vs 0 BB. Vader also completed every game he started. An amazing fact but his manager said “every time I would go out to pull him, Vader would say he was fine and I would believe him.”

Vader’s 0 BB have come under some scrutiny. Other Japaneses baseball managers have complained that the umps call a much larger strikezone for Vader than other pitcher. At times Umps have called ball four but then they will change their call back to strikes.

As of time of print the number Darth Vader will wear is still unknown.

Vader is number will be

1138. Has to be.

Mechanical arm

Means that his pitch count is never a problem. As long as he stays focused out there, I can see a lot of batters choking against this guy.

Good thing he's in Milwaukee then

because any forecast of rain could be a big issue with the mechanical arm.

Rain would be no problem..

Has a history of problems with lightning though.

Ummm, I think I should maybe go outside for a bit before the game….

Call up's

The call ups will help over the next month, add a little life and hopefully some time off.

Disagree on Pie,

He sould be up the minute Iowa wins or gets beat.

September calls up usually involve some SPEED. This team needs some station to station offense, SPEED when the bats cool off like yesterday. It might get them a few games down the stretch. Remember FLUD last year

also, Jason Dubois shoud be looked at, He had a good year big power #’s and I dont see any power righties off the Cubs bench right now. At Iowa 76 games, 29 HR, 74 RBI, 307 Avg. We have seen him in the past, but it cant hurt

Every little bit helps

as it's been said before

dubois would have to be added to the 40 man first

Aware, but a wish list

What about the Fox’s Chad or Jake Fox on the 40 man ???

Not sure what is up Chad was he moved off the 40

Just would like to see a another righty bat, besides McGehee

Chad Fox was placed on the 60-day DL
Just Another Observation About Harden

A couple of days ago I brought up something that I observed while watching Friday’s game. I believe Sue saw the same thing that I did so I know I wasn’t dreaming.
After Harden left the game, the cameras showed him sitting in the dugout. He was rubbing his right arm/shoulder area.
The first thing that popped into my mind was — is something bothering him?
I really do not know and I want to believe that it was nothing at all.
But now we find out that Harden is being held back until next Tuesday against St. Louis.
That’s not 2 days because of a tired arm — that’s 6 extra days. No matter how you cut it, you do not hold back one of your best pitchers just to give him extra rest. It’s not like we are up by a dozen games.
I am not advocating putting him out there if he is not 100% but I believe there is more here than we are being told.

If you threw 100 pitches...

…in a major league baseball game, you’d probably rub your shoulder, too. That doesn’t mean he’s injured.

A Thought About DLee

I guess this is my day for medical questions —
After DLee’s day off last week because of back spasms — I just wondered about something.
In several stories, there was mention of these spasms and their reoccurence. Maybe I have not being paying enough attention but until this episode, I did not realize that this was an ongoing problem that flared up on occasion.
Back problems are nothing to be sneezed at — wasn’t that Sosa’s excuse a few years ago?
What really worries me is the fact that DLee does have back problems. Does this in some way explain why he does not seem to be driving the ball like he has in the past?
I just looked at his numbers in August — 4 doubles and 1 home run.
Sure his average was good but even his base hits don’t seem to be the line drive types that he has produced in the past.
A bad back is not a good thing to have when your body is subjected to toroque trying to drive a ball. The back may be the reason that his swing seems so much weaker than it has been.
Personally, I have not seen him drive the ball on a consistent basis — even when making an out. A lot of pop flies, weak grounders, and medium fly outs.
Maybe I am trying too hard to find a reason why DLee seems to look weak at times. By weak, I just mean the lack of that stinging swing that we have become used to seeing.
A good friend of mine mentioned the other day that too often DLee looks as though he isn’t feeling well. Body language?
Just some observations and enough paranoia for now.

You are right. He is a shell of what he was in '05. I don't expect those

types of numbers , but his dropoff is really disturbing. ‘05 was a career year for him but he is still in his prime. I see him rolling over a lot of balls which produce grounders to short and with Theriot being the singles hitter that he is, that has produced a lot of DP’s.
The weak fly balls to right also concern me. He used to drive balls into the right-center gap for doubles and I can’t recall the last time I saw him drive a ball to that area. Maybe his wrist injury has left some lasting damage. Either way, I don’t see the same hitter from a few years ago.

It's hard for me to believe...

…the wrist is the problem because of that huge power surge DLee displayed at the beginning of this season. (Unless maybe the wrist started “barking” at some point.)

If his troubles are injury related, I still find myself wondering whether his back/neck problems are making it difficult or even painful for him to try to elevate the ball and it’s throwing off his hitting mechanics. That said, he did elevate a ball pretty effectively during the final pitch of yesterday’s game. Unfortunately, the wind held it in.

The reason I brought up

the wrist is that before the injury, he was hiting for some serioud power and average numbers. A weak wrist cannot produce the numbers he put up prior to the injury. His fall-off may be related to the back problem. Either way, his drop-off is larger than I would expect for a player of his age. He should be in his prime power-wise and he has declined significantly in that area.

AS always

As always Al brings a calm to the proceedings with a reasoned posts where elsewhere on the net you see people jumping from the Sears Tower.

I wanted to ask these jumpers how the Bears did in their first 3 games because according to this panic it must be the last week of the season and the Cubs are out of 1st place.

I'm not sure why everyone prefers the Sears Tower.

I will go for “Big John” … it has a nicer view, and the scenery near the beach there will be nicer for my last seconds on Earth :-)

Make sure you take your final dive

on a holiday weekend for maximum ogling before the splatter LOL

Injury Paranoia

It seems we are all getting injury paranoid and I know I am. Is it because we believe that we are the strongest team in MLB unless some of our guys arms fall off?

Rest of schedule

Right now the Cubs are 4 1/2 games up. That didn’t seem like too much of a lead to me until I started to actually look at the numbers. I went through the remainig schedule and looked at the series that are left. Here the are with the record that I would guess for each:

Cubs:
2 vs Houston (1-1)
3 at Cincinnati (2-1)
3 at St. Louis (2-1) – they look like they have quit
3 at Houston (1-2) – man are these guys hot.
3 vs Milwaukee (2-1)
3 vs St. Loius (2-1)
4 at NY Mets (1-3)
3 at Milwaukee (1-2)

I think that you will agree that I have been VERY conservative here and erred on the side of predicting more losses than I think that we will actually have. Even so, that shows a 12-12 record for the rest of the year. That puts our final record at 97-65. Doing this would require the Brewers to go 17-8 over their last 25 games to tie. Looking at their schedule, that is certainly possible, but it would require them to play really good baseball over the next month and the Cubs to play rather poorly. If the Cubs can find a way to split the NY series and take two of three from Houston in Houston or take both of these next two games, that pushes the record to 14-10 and 99-63, requiring Milwaukee to go 19-6 to tie. I don’t think that this will happen.

Anyway, I feel a good bit better about our lead now. It is certainly possible that the Cubs shuffle along to the finish at .500 ball, but their play to this point would suggest otherwise. I do think that we will likely win the division pretty handily (i.e. 2 or more games) and will have it sewn up by the last series in Milwaukee.

Knock on wood, but I feel pretty good about where we sit right now.

There's nothing to indicate the Cubs will only go .500 the rest of the way

unless you consider the last six games and none of the 132 others they have played.

So I feel pretty good about where they sit right now too. And I vaguely remember 1969 and have a good memory of 2004.

The Brewers' September schedule...

…pisses me off. San Diego…Cincinnati…PITTSBURGH?! At least they have the current Mets series and four games against the Phillies mixed in there. And, yeah, at least the Cubs have six opportunities to put (keep) them in their (second) place.

Why be pissed?

Both teams play approximately the same schedule. What difference does it make if the better teams are in June or September? The only thing I can see is, the also-rans may have traded off pieces.

That’s life. It’s not like it was to make things easier for the Brewers. A Brewer fan could say that the Cubs had it easier with weaker teams first, and a chance to build a lead.

Besides, who expected the Padres to be so awful after last year?

It is what it is.

bc of the homer inside all of us
I suppose that's true...

…but I’m still pissed. I want to see the Brewers playing the ’77 Yankees every game.

I can understand that

Let’s see how they fare after losing a tough one yesterday.

I actually don’t mind their sched — if they lose two or three to the Mets, then struggle against the Pads (with two tough pitchers scheduled in the four games), then right the ship against the Reds – only to struggle again in Philly, doubt could start to creep in — “Can we beat a good team?”

The Brewers just went 20-7 in August.........it can be done
It can certainly be done

Particularly with the schedule that they will be playing for the rest of the season. However, it would require us to play out of character with the rest of our season as well. I think that the odds of both happening (Brewers staying red hot and the Cubs falling off significantly) are slim.

I don’t feel complacent about the rest of the year, just pretty good with where we are sitting right now. Sure beats the roles being reversed and trying to make up that deficit with this schedule anyway. Or where we have been historically at this point in the season…20 games behind.

I feel very good about getting into October...

either as division champs or the wild card. I’m a little more worried about winning the division. The Brewers are hot, their remaining schedule is easier than ours, and has more home games (15 remaining home games for Brewers, 8 for Cubs).

Yes

Taking the home road win % into account, the Cubs to this point have won 69.8% of their home games. With 8 left that means we should expect between 5 and 6 home wins. (5.6) Lets give a nod to a strong schedule and say they win 5. With 16 road games left and a 52.3% road record, they should be expected to win between 8 and 9 of these (8.4.) Again, give a nod to a strong schedule and say that they win 8. That gives a record for the rest of the season of 13-11 and an overall record of 99-63.

The Brewers have 15 games left at home where they have won 62.1% of their games. This would lead us to expect between 9 and 10 wins at home (9.3.) Let’s give them the benefit of the doubt due to a weaker schedule and say they win 10. They have 10 left on the road where they are winning at a 54.9% clip. This would indicate between 5 and 6 wins there (5.5). Lets say 5 since 4 of these are at Philly and 3 in Chicago against the Cubs. This leaves them with a 15-10 record the rest of the way and an overall record of 95-67. A 4 game division win. They will probably do a bit better than this, but this is what their season average would indicate.

My point is only that BOTH teams are going to have to play significantly different than their season norms in order for the Brewers to catch the Cubs. Not saying that it can’t happen, only that I feel pretty good about where we sit.

I like your calculations

Please Cubs, make it so!

Hey y'all...

…Was down in sTL for the Mizzou-Illini game this weekend…Left after watching Thursday and Friday’s heroics, and suffered through yesterday during the ride home. Let’s get ’em tonight!

where is the guy that argued with me the big ten was up this year...

…..instead of down? he was a big northwestern fan lol

i was glad to see zook and his boys lose

MIZ!!!

i wish i had made the trip in for that game. offense looks great, even better than last season as long as maclin’s ankle is ok. defense will get their S together just like last season

try beating maine

and then talk to me…..go hawkeyes

The Big 10 pretty much sucks. Other than Ohio State, they

are being out recruited by the rest of the nation and I am a Michigan alum. I see dark days ahead for the Big 10. Michigan’s dead.. I mean spread offense was an embarassment against Utah. (Utah?) They will be lucky to win 5 games this year, even with two cupcakes on the schedule. I didn’t see much from the rest of the conference to impress me either.

dead?

as in for good? i hope that’s not what you mean

and yes the big ten is down, but conference’s all go through their up’s and downs

this is why i believe my hawks will go 8-4 (my heart says 9-3)

That was a play on words referring to Rich Rodriguez's offense. The spread was

supposed to be the answer to all ills but they can’t run the ball. They lost a ton of good players and the defense was mediocre at best last year. Your hawks may be OK but until the conference recruits better talent, the Big 10 will get beat by the other super-conferences.

the hawks went downhill

when they started getting 4-5 star recruits who came with big ego’s

You wanna see real college football?

Go watch the SEC.

Representing.

:)

the hawks do well against the sec

last three games i can remember we beat florida, beat lsu, and got hosed during the final seconds against florida…….i say bring them on

I wouldn't be surprised though

if the national champ came from somewhere other than the SEC. I can’t imagine having to get through LSU, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama to get to the title game. (And those are only the teams in the top 25 last week.) That’s got to be murder to try to play a schedule with 4 of those teams on it…

yah

ohio state should walk to the national championship game (even with beanie hurt)…..i gotta think one of these years they’ll just get lucky and win it all….the odds are with them

Walk to the national championship? Surely you jest.

If its one thing that Ohio State has proven, its that they struggle when they are favored to win. I’m not sure how, but they will find a way to blow it.

Umm...

walk through USC in 2 weeks? If they lose that game, they HAVE to go undefeated the rest of the way to have a shot…

+1

They will have trouble beating USC. The Trojans have historically come up big in games like this under Pete Carroll.

-1 me

first i screw up the harden rotation spot, now this…..i suck today

Florida seems to be the only SEC team that

has trouble with the Big 10.

Wisconsin didn't impress me on Saturday

A lot of mistakes to fix. I think this probably is a down year for the conference, but we’ll see.

ditto for the hawks

our qb situation is far from being settled and someone told me that’s important in football

ZOU!!!

Good news on J-Mac- He might even play this Saturday! They are calling it a strained tendon, nothing more…

Why not rest him until you really need him during Big 12 play?
Because

they want him to have a shot at the Heisman. I think it is stupid, but they really might have him go…They technically could rest him for 4 weeks, with the 3 non-conference cake (knock on wood) games and then the bye-week before we head to Nebraska…But the quote from their Rivals page today is, “As for Saturday, Gary Pinkel said if Maclin is healthy, he will play. If it’s up to Maclin, he’ll be there for the first snap. ‘I want to be out there with my teammates, nobody wants to sit out,’ Maclin said. ‘At the rate I’m at now, I think I’ll be able to play.’”

Those ankle injuries can really nag

I hope for Missouri’s sake, they put the team ahead of a Heisman campaign. Won’t Maclin be back next year, anyways?

Maybe...

My guess is he leaves after this year. He was a medical red-shirt his first year so he technically could enter the draft…And they lose a lot of key seniors. I hope too that he ONLY plays if he is TRULY 100%…

gotcha.

Since I don’t really follow Missouri, I didn’t know he had redshirted. But still, let him rest and make sure he’s healthy for the bigger games down the road.

Damn me for missing most of the College Football talk

Stupid classes. Great freaking game on Saturday, and really the Moore injury is the only concerning thing to me. J-Mac can sit the next month like you said.

I swear that stadium almost exploded when J-Mac took that kick back.

hey mizzou fans

remember a couple years ago when you were scheduled to play the hawkeyes…..then you realized that brad smith had a (small) shot at winning the heisman and took us off your schedule

LOL That really makes me laugh

Not at you, but at Mizzou. Doesn’t shock me at all. Then again Brad Smith’s Heisman hopes died in the battlefield against Troy.

yeah it was too bad

i love the boarder state rivalries

Pretty humorous...

how after Game 2 of the Phillies series all you hear is SportsCenter anchors and talk show hosts crowning the Cubs the best team in baseball, the most complete team in baseball, etc..etc… Now, just three ugly losses later, I heard Colin Cowherd today claiming that IF we make the playoffs, we will be one and done just like last year… I swear, these clowns just like to get us all reved up… Cowherd’s show sucks anyways…

listening to cowherd is a waste of time.

I can’t stand that guy.

cowherd is dipstick

he wouldn’t know baseball if one hit him in the eye.

To be honest...

I don’t think that any of ESPN’s radio guys know their ass from their elbows… Scott Van Pelt? Mike and Mike? You take away Dan Patrick and its really unbearable radio…

I love Tirico & Van Pelt

And some of our local guys are good but on the whole yeah, its pretty underwhelming.

I like Van Pelt a lot...

…and he knows a TON about college football…Tirico is good too, IMO.

I know I already posted this below...

but I strongly suggest you all listen in on Dan Lebatard’s show at 3 ET… you can stream it live at 790theticket.com… its more of a general entertainment show with a sports edge but it really is hilarious

the DP show is awesome

are you playing with a full passion bucket?

I live in South Florida...

So its either ESPN national radio or Miami stations who bitch about the Marlins for about 15 minutes and then talk Hurricanes and Dolphins football… I have to listen to 670 The Score online to try and get any Chicago sports action down here lol

but I will say...

Dan Lebatard’s afternoon show 3-7 on 790 The Ticket is one of the best radio shows I’ve ever listened to… absolutely hysterical

Sure would be nice...

If Z came out looking strong tonight… put a lot of our collective uneasiness to rest…

LETS GO CUBBIES!!!!!!!

I'd settle for a few first inning runs.
Yeah, like, 10.
I'm just hoping that no water coolers will be harmed during the making of the Cubs Win tonight.
Those early runs...

would go a long way in keeping Z cool, calm and collected… Of course the f-ing Mets are throwing out a rookie tonight against Manny Parra and that damn brew crew…

A couple of wins would be really nice right now. Every

win thw Cubs get pushing the winning percentage the brew crew have to obtain to a high level. That puts a lot of pressure on a team and makes every out seem like life or death.

Gatorade Water Cooler taunting Zambrano

“How was your extra day off big Z? Did you fishing with your buddies or watch NASCAR?”

He probably just mellowed out...

with a tall glass of Red Bull and coffee and watched reruns of Everybody Loves Raymond

While he was IMing his brother.
you know the Cubs banned him from that? Be realistic here!
One would think that coffee and red bull is not the easiest habit to break
Are you using my words against me grace?
whew arr yu? and wi donut yu leaf mi alon?
ok,il leaf yu alon.
get it........i can't spell!
Neither can I, we're simpatico... sempetico...sam....

we think alike.

Playing Guitar Hero with Joel Zumaya
either way it is better than how Harden spent his week off..............

at the Luke Perry school of cool sideburns. Unreal!

I dunno about that...

Rich is already pretty busy running the Rich Harden School of Eyebrow Plucking. I’m pretty sure he’ll have to stay there and hold down the fort / man the tweezers.

What do you all think...

would be the most favorable playoff scenario for the Cubs? (knocks on wood) Would you rather see the Dodgers of D-Backs come out of the West? Would you rather see the Mets or Phillies second round? (knocks on more wood If the Mets could straighten out their bullpen at all, they become a pretty frightening contender…

Pirates in every round.

We are pretty good against them.

Just as long as the Nats don't show up...
dodgers for sure. dbacks have better pitching.

i think mets/phils would be a toss up

dodgers by a landslide

from most favored, to least

dodgers
mets
phillies
dbacks
cardinals
brewers

I'd prefer if the Dodgers..

…took the West. I think I’d rather see the Cubs face the Mets over the Phils at this point. Historically speaking, beating them would be poetic justice, as well.

I agree about the Dodgers
But I think the Mets are a better team than the Phillies...
i dunno

phillies = batting
mets = starting pitching
phillies = bullpen
defense? probably mets, but not by a lot

I would probably take the Mets offense...

over the Phillies simply because they are able to manufacture runs, not rely on the longball like the Phils… Reyes is having an incredible year in the leadoff spot, Wright continues to produce… But you’re right, their pen is so suspect… I mean seriously, Luis Ayala is closing for the Mets now lol

maybe you're right

i guess my initial reaction was i’d rather see

wright, reyes, beltran, delgado

over

utley, howard, rollins, pat the bat

while that hasn’t changed, it’s not as big of a difference as i first thought

I like to look at winning percentage vs winning teams.

As of Sunday here’s how they ranked.
Cubs .604
Mets .554
Brew .510
St. L .500
Phil .475
LAD .455
AZ .404

So I think it’s going to be Cubs, Mets, Brewers and AZ. And we would want AZ in the first round. But we need home field.

disagree

teams match up to each other differently and the only team i care about is whoever is facing the cubs

Very interesting numbers

Pretty eye opening. The Cubs look strong just about any way we can analyze it. Of course, in a best of five post season series, anything can (and will) happen.

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