
Really. Don't. Yes, the Cubs lost their fourth in a row, 9-7 to the Astros in 11 innings last night, the first time they've lost that many in a row at home since May 20-June 2, 2007 (one game to the White Sox, then a road trip, then six more home losses to Florida and Atlanta), ending on the day Lou had his famous hat-throwing tirade with umpire Mark Wegner in a loss to the Braves.
But. Thanks to the Mets' extra-inning win over the Brewers, the Cubs' lead stays at 4.5 games and the magic number was reduced to 20. Now, I did say I'd post it here once it got to 20, but it just doesn't feel right to do that after a loss like last night's. Win tonight, right the ship, and the number will appear on the right sidebar tomorrow.
Some are going to try to make comparisons between this losing streak -- the second four-game streak of the season -- and what happened to the 2004 Cubs in the final week, when they self-destructed while in the driver's seat to the wild card. Nothing of the sort is true. That dysfunctional team was too busy calling the broadcast booth and having poor managerial decisions made to win. The personnel is different -- only four players remain (Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Zambrano and Kerry Wood) and so is the manager.
What's happening to the Cubs this week is, I think, more comparable to what happened to the 2005 White Sox. That team was 87-51 on September 7 with a 9.5 game lead in the AL Central. With 24 games to go they had reduced their division magic number to 14. They then proceeded to lose... four in a row, and ten of 14, reducing their division lead to 1.5 games before righting their ship and ... well, you know what they did that October. The other difference is that when the Sox got cold, their pursuers, the Indians, suddenly were the hottest team in baseball -- from Sept. 5, 2005 through Sept. 24, they went 17-2, before dropping six of their last seven. You could also look at the 2006 Cardinals, who everyone remembers as "just" squeaking into the postseason with a mediocre 83-78 record. But they were 80-69 with a 7 game lead and a magic number of six with 13 games left. They lost seven in a row and eight of nine, reducing their lead to only a half game, before clinching on the last day of the season, and you all know what happened to them in the postseason.
I don't think the Cubs will have anything like that happen to them -- after all, the Brewers have also lost the first two games of their series at home -- so don't panic. I don't see the players or the manager panicking, and Lou says:
"Did anybody think this was going to be real easy?" Piniella said. "You didn't hear that from me all year, have you? We're in a stretch now where things aren't going our way. We've got to keep playing and keep battling and keep our confidence, and that's it."
Exactly. (Although, "You didn't hear that from me all year, have you?" isn't exactly the King's English.)
However.
I thought Lou made several dodgy managing decisions last night:
I think Lou has been great for this franchise in many ways. But last night, I think his moves, and non-moves, may have helped cost the Cubs the game. Jon Lieber sat on a folding chair through all four hours and seventeen minutes, finally warming up as the Cubs made one last valiant attempt to tie the game off Jose Valverde in the last of the 11th. Why wasn't Lieber in the game earlier? In long games like this, a guy like Lieber, who throws efficiently and doesn't walk people, could have thrown three innings, saving Wood for tonight.
It wasn't all Lou's fault. The Cubs hit into four double plays, killing rallies in the 1st, 2nd, 5th and 8th innings -- and one was Derrek Lee's 25th GIDP of the season, two short of Ron Santo's team record set in 1973 and five short of Brad Ausmus' NL record set in 2002. Those are two records I'd rather see Lee NOT set. And even with all that, the offense, which had been absent most of the homestand, pounded out fifteen hits (four homers) and drew eight walks and the Cubs survived three errors by Aramis Ramirez, who is normally about as sure-handed as they come (not one of the errors led to any Houston scoring).
The game was not sold out -- a large chunk of empty seats were in the LF lower deck, and the attendance of 39,846 was the smallest since May 30. Still, the crowd brought the season total to 3,014,301, the earliest date the Cubs have passed the 3 million mark. Many had left by the time Blum's HR was hit, a little after 11 pm Central time.
So. Where do we go from here? Z's arm is bothering him again and he'll have it checked out today, and that cannot be good news. Ryan Dempster has to step up tonight and stop the streak right here. And remember these words from an old '60s song:
And I think it's gonna be all right
Yeah, the worst is over now
The mornin' sun is shinin' like a red rubber ball -- "Red Rubber Ball", The Cyrkle
0 recs | 519 comments
first
Grockcubs - September 3, 2008
Here come the jumpers...
Z…?
Arm…?
…
Geronimo…
Archie - September 3, 2008
Love the
signature line!
Grockcubs - September 3, 2008
Thanks.
Me too. One of my all time favorite Harry quotes. I didn’t remember exactly how it went until I saw it a couple of weeks ago in an article.
Archie - September 3, 2008
It is a cool sig line...
…but you should probably correct the spelling of Harry’s last name.
daver - September 3, 2008
LOL
Oops. That’s funny. I’ll do it.
Archie - September 3, 2008
Try this...
Archie - September 3, 2008
Excellent, thanks!
No biggie – but little details like that tend to catch my eye. And I’m sure Harry would appreciate it.
daver - September 3, 2008
Must have been typing to fast
Like my momma used to say. Attenntion to Details is keey
Archie - September 3, 2008
I stayed last night 'til the bitter end...
It was a real depressing loss, especially after Edmonds’ blast tied it up. The highlight of the night had to have been for Casey Mcgehee. He got his first major league at-bat last night to a standing ovation, in a clutch situation, with the crowd chanting “Let’s-go-Casey!” My friend looked over at me, “No pressure, right?”
CubsBullsBears - September 3, 2008
That chant was cool to hear on TV.
Sadly, Casey looked pretty overmatched in that AB. And, yes, the Mighty Casey struck out.
daver - September 3, 2008
Not really overmatched...
He only took the bat off his shoulder once… unfortunately it was for strike 3.
CubsBullsBears - September 3, 2008
He was really late on that last pitch.
I don’t want to dis the guy – I love seeing minor league guys get their big shot. But that seemed a prime example of how major league pitching differs from Triple A pitching.
daver - September 3, 2008
Close the bridges!
mrcubsfan - September 3, 2008
Thanks Al
for keeping this into perspective. As I mentioned in another fanpost, " put the Cub hat on, took my daughter to school, and said enough of the negative thought"
This team is to damn good, they will get it going again. A tired lull right now, win tonight, get a day off, then take the series in Cinn.
I also have seen enough of Howry, goodness, no movement on his fastball, all his pitches appear to have the same speed.
I feel for Lee, he took the loss on his shoulders. He smoked the ball in the eighth, ( even though it appeared to be ball 2) and ends up in another DP.
Go Cubs
Grockcubs - September 3, 2008
Howry
“all his pitches appear to have the same speed.” That’s because all his pitches are fastballs. He doesn’t throw anything else. When they don’t move, he gets smoked.
Archie - September 3, 2008
I posted last night
that the worst thing (non injury) about the loss is that both our closer and top setup man are unavailable tonight. Lou should have pulled Kerry as soon as he gave up the 2 run bomb. Now, if the game is close and late, we have the Shark and Guzman as our power arms. We don’t have Gaudin, We don’t have Wuertz. Shark has been a little shakey lately and Guzman…well he just came back.
Thank God for the Off day tomorrow….Here is to Dempster pitching 7/8 Strong Innings and the Offense plating some runs.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
That's the most frustrating thing about last night
is how Lou just doesn’t get it. Al pointed to the WS winning teams who had their eyes on the ultimate prize. But when you throw Marmol and Wood 30+ innings, you aren’t thinking about winning in October.
DGU - September 3, 2008
30+ pitches, I think you meant.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Yeah
Of course, throwing them for 30+ innings would be bad, too.
DGU - September 3, 2008
REALLY bad.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
I don't want any part of a game
where they both have to pitch 30+ innings
chitownhawkeye - September 3, 2008
From a friend's desk calendar:
The longest game by innings in MLB history was played on May 1, 1920, with Joe Oeschger of Boston and Leon Cadore of Brooklyn both going 26 innings as the Dodgers and Braves played to a 1-1 tie.
No, Dusty Baker wasn’t there.
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
Frustrating Game
First time all season I’ve seen Lou make so many questionable decisions, most egregiously bringing Howry in. IMHO that’s what lost the game, not DPLee’s miserable at bats.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
+1
Although it would be nice if ANYONE can bring in a runner on 3rd with 1 out.
wnielsen - September 3, 2008
Agree...
…when your hitters are leaving that many opportunities on the table, it tends to expose your manager and make it very difficult to win a game. Not to say that I was jumping for joy when Howry came in, but one fewer double play hit into probably wins this game for the Cubs.
This is one of those stretches where you just come up a little short. With good teams (like the Cubs) it will turn very quickly.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
I agree about the role of "luck"
in what’s been happening and needing to keep criticism muted in that context.
DGU - September 3, 2008
Well said Em.
sue369 - September 3, 2008
Agree Al,
abosolutely w/ each of your points on Lou’s managing last night. The bullpen moves were puzzling. I can understand inserting Howry b/c Zambrano left abruptly, but after the first two batters reached, he should have had someone up, and made the switch away from Bobby. Bob Brenly openly questioned Howry’s location last night, specifically to Wiggington, who swings freely.
Fontenot must play more often, he is a clutch hitter.
As a 3 hole hitter, Lee must choose a pitch he can hit in the air. He hit the ball hard, but chose a pitch, early in the count, that was down in the zone.
Alas, the batters hit the ball well, walked a ton, and will start to hit in the clutch again soon. The Astros are playing good ball right now, they are certainly a 2nd half team.
Slakkr - September 3, 2008
Lou's decision to bat Casey
was more storybook than an actual thought through process. First MLB official at bat of his career? What pressure. I bet Lou wished he had that one back. As always, hindsight is……
mrcubsfan - September 3, 2008
And guess what?
If he hadn’t double-switched Edmonds out of the game, that would have been his batting order slot.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
why not hoff in that situation?
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
LHP on the mound.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
thanks
i knew there was a reason, just couldn’t remember
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
What I don't understand re Howry
is that he is continuously allowed to try to finish an inning even after he gives up a couple hits/runs. More often than not he is not able to pitch himself out of jams anymore. How you do not have someone warming up when he goes into the game is beyond me. I would be completely OK if he were DFA’d today.
Lee is almost as frustrating. He has virtually no clutchness left in him huh?
tony412 - September 3, 2008
He has to swap with A-Ram
I truly believe having Lee hit at #4 would be beneficial. Aramis has 100 RIB’s for a reason.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Correction
RIB = RBI
ak123 - September 3, 2008
I wouldn't mind seeing...
…Soto or even Edmonds (against righties) get some time in the 4th slot. Move Ramirez up to 3rd and put Lee in the 5 hole.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Soto can step up
just as he did in the playoffs last year. I don’t know that big changes like dropping your #3 hitter down when he’s a team leader are something you do at this point in the season, but Soto is on his way to being the face of the franchise and at some point, he’s going to earn the #3 or #4 spot.
DGU - September 3, 2008
I agree...
…on the issue of Lee being a team leader. It’s really not unlike starting a Dempster or Harden in game one of a playoff instead of Z (when Z has paid his dues for a long time).
It’s a delicate balance, and eventually, you have to do what puts the club in the best position to win.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Yes!
After the first three guys got on, I was saying to myself: “take him out, take him out, take him out”
Mapmaker - September 3, 2008
"Man, they can't even hear me through this glass."
daver - September 3, 2008
You just lost your right
to the High Life.
adam316 - September 3, 2008
"For five dollars, I'll BE a macadamia nut!"
daver - September 3, 2008
Take him out!!!!
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I got's to go smell me a hotdog...
hopefully they Cubs will smell what winning is like tonight. Funny how things change. 5+ weeks ago they had this obscene home record and were nine under on the road. Now they have trouble at home and have gone 13/14 on the road. Maybe this nine game trip will really show what these guys are made of once and for all.
blackhawk24 - September 3, 2008
howry is my new paul bako
i have no faith in him anymore and that’s coming from a pretty patient guy
the reason you don’t dfa him, is at this point you might as well keep him around so he doesn’t go somewhere else and help them (or maybe we should trade him to the brewers, NOW)
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
DFA or release...
… pointless with expanded rosters. Just sit him.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Fine
but 82 hits, 40 ER, OPP BA .312 and a 5.62 ERA should warrant that we bolt him down to the bullpen bench so he doesn’t get into any more critical games/situations.
tony412 - September 3, 2008
Agreed.
I’ll supply the nails and bolts.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Worse part about Howry
Is that every time he seems to turn the corner he gives up a game like this. It sucks.
Yet oddly enough I feel like everytime he has a bad game we seem to tie it up again and more often than not win…
ak123 - September 3, 2008
i couldn't believe the way BB was blasting him last night
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
i had Houston broadcast on TV
So I didn’t hear that. Well it’s frustrating for the announcers to also see a game like this.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
the jist of it was
on a 1-2 count, you can’t do what howry has been doing lately….THROWING EFFIN FASTBALLS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE PLATE!!!!!! UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHH
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
more like boots and cement
derv - September 3, 2008
I can't understand why Lou hasn't done this with Howry.
My only guess is Lou sees a couple of scoreless outings from Bob and thinks, “He’s got it! He’s got it!” Well, it’s September and it’s clear that he ain’t got it. And now that the rosters have expanded Lou has plenty of other options.
It’s time write off Howry as a veteran reliever who’s done some good work for the club in years past – and a standup guy – but who is now, simply, ineffective. Whether this is the end of Howry’s career is hard to say, but I think it’s time to severely limit his opportunities to contribute to this team on the field.
daver - September 3, 2008
My problem with that inning
was that Lou managed that particular inning like it was a blow out loss or we were way ahead. He did not manage that one particular inning like it was a tie game. It was like he did not want to burn another bullpen arm…the damn roster has been expanded…you have extra arms.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
This is one of the FEW things I worry about.
Some of Lou’s decisions are beyond me.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
Lou trusts Howry.
That’s why.
DGU - September 3, 2008
Lou is afraid of Howry.
derv - September 3, 2008
huh?
Emelie - September 3, 2008
He is stronger than Lou
…it was a joke, but I have heard him remark a couple of times that he would not want to be on the receiving end of a Howry punch.
derv - September 3, 2008
Aren't we all?
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
Yes, but what is the basis for that trust?
Howry’s reputation? My only guess is that I’ve heard Lou say several times during the pregame that he has no patience for relief pitchers who don’t throw strikes and that he’d rather see a guy get hit hard than give up walks. He’s also said that major league hitters get paid to hit, not draw walks, so a pitcher should make them earn their pay.
Now if there’s one thing Howry does do right, it’s throw strikes – he’s given up only 10 walks in 64 IP this season. And I certainly see the logic – theoretically, at least – in Lou’s statement. But come on – how many batting practice line drives with runners in scoring position does Howry have to give up before Lou sees the light?
daver - September 3, 2008
The problem is...his pitches
Have about as much movement as Willard (God Rest his Soul) had before he met Kevin Bacon.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Is that a Footloose reference?
daver - September 3, 2008
You betcha....
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Lou's gut?
Lou has his guys. Howry is one of his guys.
DGU - September 3, 2008
It's hard for me to believe the answer is that simple.
But maybe it is.
daver - September 3, 2008
Well, I think you're right about why he's one of Lou's guys
but remember Theriot last year. Theriot was one of his guys and a demonstrable drag on the team and Lou kept playing him.
DGU - September 3, 2008
Lou...
…won’t be right 100% of the time and neither will any other manager.
The overall judgements he has made with players has been pretty damn good since 07.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
OT: Google Chrome Browser is pretty good
the new browser. Check it out.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
using it now.....
……daddy likes….gonna take a while to get use to, but anything with the google brand name is okay by me
p.s. i love the spell check tool, however i think it’s funny that google comes up as a misspelled word haha
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Using Firefox
but DL’d Chrome last night to check out. neet program but I’ll probably stick with mozilla because of the add-ons and security.
Jettero2112 - September 3, 2008
Still the beta version
Other options will be made available later but from the looks of it, should compete well with the other browsers out there, specially if you already use other Google products (gmail, talk, picassa, search).
tony412 - September 3, 2008
plus it's not a ram hog like firefox
Emelie - September 3, 2008
that's the thing I dislike about Firefox...it's too hungry for RAM.
zevkalman - September 3, 2008
3.0 is supposed to fix a lot of that
but it doesn’t yet work with a lot of important plugins (AdBlock Plus is one).
scareduck - September 3, 2008
3.0
didn’t eat all my RAM, but it DID eat all my CPU.
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
Apparently 3.1 will be the next great thing....
With the new Tracemonkey javascript speedup…..we’ll see…in the meantime, I’m going to be slowly moving to chrome—especially when they get a Linux version up, and plugins (like delicious) work….
zevkalman - September 3, 2008
I'm using 3.0...
…with AdBlock Plus as we speak (type!)
The Lip - September 3, 2008
I used it yesterday
it handled the game thread pretty well, till near the end.
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
noob Q
It imported my bookmarks, but where the hell are they?
JohnM - September 3, 2008
upper right corner has bookmark link
just click on it
Jettero2112 - September 3, 2008
top right under "other bookmarks"
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
mine are in "other bookmarks" on the top far right
Emelie - September 3, 2008
thanks everyone
there was no “bookmarks bar” at all…just had to find it and set it to “always view” before I could see “other bookmarks”
JohnM - September 3, 2008
I too made the swith from Firefox to Chrome today
very quick. Leave it to Google to beat the pants off of Satan, errr… Microsoft.
LAcarl519 - September 3, 2008
According to my numbers
the Cubs have lost 3 games once and now 4 games twice in a row. Every other loss was either a single or two in a row. When was the last time you could say that about the Cubs? Al’s got it right with the Hitchhiker logo. At least the magic number isn’t 42.
Jettero2112 - September 3, 2008
yeah, there's nothing to worry about.
the cubs are a bunch of hoopy froods who know where their towels are.
nathew - September 3, 2008
Rains it pours...............
This is only the second game all year that had me seeing red (kerry wood blown save against the cardinals in July was the first). This one though really sets me off. Lou was completly missfiring tonight. D LEE CANNOT hit into to that DP in the 8th. We have no bullpen for tomorrow putting even more pressure on Dempster to end the streak. Soriano in the ninth (i think) showing great discipline hacking at the first pitch with runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs. No consideration of moving runners over. I see Puljols give up ab’s to mover runners over. Sori is no freaking puljols. Anyway, this one fires me up. And on top of it Big Z. Call me a ledge jumper or whatever, i’m just seeing red today. And all of this the playoffs are a foregone conclusion is crap (probably accurate) but crap.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
+1 on Sori
1st and 2nd – no outs. I think it was the 10th inning. Please find a way to move the runners over.
wnielsen - September 3, 2008
My thought process at the time in 10th
was you were willing to give up an out to get Theriot to second. Why not put the take on Soriano for at least two pitches and try the double steal. I now he is the all star and whatever, but at some point he have to try to the little things to win. Worst case scenario, you still have a runner at second and one out…same scenario you were trying for when dome was asked to bunt. I know that potentially takes the bat out of Soriano’s hand with 1st base open, but I think it was a worthwhile gamble to take at the time. They are not going to throw to second so Dome does not have to get a great jump off the lefty…
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Hey, whisper............
don’t let the Sori apologists here you suggesting that he doesn’t do the little things. Keep that quiet man!
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
fine
as a sori apologizer, he probably could have done that…..but who didn’t mess up last night? seemed like EVERYONE came up short somewhere
rami’s 3 errors
dlee double play
woody giving up the hr
howry ’nuf said
dero not putting down a good bunt
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Yeah, but I can't miss an opportunity to point out Sori's selfless play
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
so you agree with lou's decision to have dero bunt?
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I'm indifferent on that one to be honest........
plus he just looks good even when screwing up.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
My biggest problem w/ having Dero, and later
Dome given the bunt sign is that they both followed BB’s of the 4 or 5 pitch variety from a pitcher (Wesley Wright) who has a history of control problems. Giving the bunt sign takes the pressure off Wright to throw strikes. Dome did eventually walk after falling behind 0-2. Derosa is a selective hitter, let him take a pitch or 2 and see if he can get ahead in the count and keep the pressure on the pitcher
philadelphiacub - September 3, 2008
Actually, Dome singled
But your point is taken
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
My point was
not so much to bash Sori. I did not expect him to bunt or get the runner to third (w/o hitting into a DP). The point was I thought they should have tried the double steal. In order to do that, Sori would have had to take at least one pitch if not two. Worst case scenario is that you have the runner on Second with 1 out and Soriano in an 0-1 or 0-2 count. Now, if the steal is successful, then you probably take the bat out of Soriano’s hand since they would walk the bases loaded to setup the force. However, you then have the infield in, bases loaded, you have to hope that somebody, anybody can get that guy in.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
agreed
and i’m just saying there were a lot of things we could have done better/different last night, not just that one play
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
As far as doing things different.........
I should have started by never turning that damn game on.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
...or watching until the end. now I don't feel like going tonight
derv - September 3, 2008
you're suggesting
that he didn’t try to move the runners.
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
I don't think it was a question of trying to move the runners. I don't
think he really thinks about that. He tries to hit the ball out of the ballpark. That’s what he is paid to do.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
+2 on Sori
He needs to get those runners over… some how… some way!
wrigley_boy - September 3, 2008
My jaw dropped when DeRo squared around to bunt...
…that was really inexplicable. He is the hottest hitter on your team.
Bob Howry is done, period.
I love D Lee, but right now I cant bear to watch him at the plate with RISP. It almost seems like he knows he is going to GIDP.
Dempster will right the ship and we will get back on track tonight.
JB 23 - September 3, 2008
thinking the same thing about D Lee
It is scary when you completely do not trust your number three hitter in RBI situations. And then he goes and swings at a ball low and in with a guy having control problems. Make him throw you a pitch up in the zone and give a few pitches to prove he won’t.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
+1
He really seems to be tired and pressing right now. I hate that Pinella seems absolutely dead set against moving him down in the order. At the very least, it might take some pressure off of him.
bluekoolaide - September 3, 2008
Or it might put more pressure on not only Lee
but whomever takes the 3 spot over. If Lee had batted in other spots earlier in the season, it would be different. Some things Lou has set and they are where they are.
DGU - September 3, 2008
Even though I want him moved down
I think the only way that’s going to happen is if Lee offers to move down the rotation and I wouldn’t completely put that past him.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
oh god
Lee is getting moved to the rotation? i hope you’re talking about Cliff
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Wow I need to proofread :)
You know what I meant. Move down in the battling line up.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Maybe Lee is under pressure off the field...
…with the family stuff…? Something seems to have his mind off of the task at hand.
derv - September 3, 2008
Um... maybe his back still hurts
and maybe he’s actually been hitting well over the past ten days, just not in the highest pressure situations. You can’t hit them all, especially when Wright hit his spot precisely.
DGU - September 3, 2008
For me, thenost frustrating thing about DLee this season
is his refusal to situational hit. His swing produces hard-hit grounders and line drives. With his height, he is more often to hit on top of the ball. In a situation like last night in the eighth, you pick a ball up in the zone and hit a fly ball. His approachhas been successful in the past, but is doesn’t make sense to do the same thing and expect different results.
If you hit ground balls, you have to hit them between the fielders to be successful and that takes luck. In that situation, you want to remove that element of luck out of play.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I doubt...
…he refuses to situationally hit, I think he is just not quite the hitter we saw when he had his big year in 05 (which set expectations too high).
I don’t know what it is, but his swing just doesn’t seem as crisp as it once was. If he has lost a little bat speed, that can make you press and try and do too much.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Hasn't had an RBI since Aug. 26
Or for that matter an extra-base hit.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
I like the move - unexpected
He just tried to take an inside pitch and still push it towards 1B. With a Southpaw on the mound, pushing it to 1B would have been great.
I’m much more worried that D-Lee has a mechanical issue that Perry can’t correct. I swear he’s pulling off too early and rolling over the top; trying to pull everything he sees.
blackhawk24 - September 3, 2008
How about Magic # to get into post season
Al, I’m one of the few who wouldn’t want magic numbers on the site. However, what if we posted the # to get into the post season? I believe that’s like 15 or 14? That might appease some people on here?
ak123 - September 3, 2008
I don't want to do that at all, actually.
The Cubs shouldn’t be aiming at the wild card. I’ll post the division magic # after the next win.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Fair enough
I agree with you but I guess the way I’m looking at it is I’ll sleep better knowing when they get to October, not which place they get into October.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Usually I'd agree with you.
But this year, with home field seemingly meaning more than ever, I want the Cubs to have it for the NL rounds.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
+1
Archie - September 3, 2008
+1
daver - September 3, 2008
Aramis will be ok
yeah, he had 3 errors and looked tired. But, all 3 errors were on tough plays. Yes, all errors, but each play was going to be difficult to get the guy. He’s the least of our problems. It’s Z that bothers me.
Ihatethecards - September 3, 2008
The first error was the worst.
He pretty much waved at the ball going by.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
the third was an error
however what do you really expect out of him there?
he had three possible outcomes
1. throw the ball, make a amazing play and we all love him
2. hold on to the ball and people on here beat him up for not trying
3. throw the ball and make an error for putting forth a good effot
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I agree with both of you
I guess seeing it on TV, I thought that the first one was pretty tough as well.
Ihatethecards - September 3, 2008
Hank White pinch hitting for Fontenot...............Really?
I don’t care who is right or left handed (let Tony LaRussa play match up game) common sense tells me I want little babe ruth up there.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
I was shaking my head at that one, too.
wnielsen - September 3, 2008
me too
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Blanco has amazing #s v. LHP this year.
Fonty can’t hit LHP at all. It was the right play.
DGU - September 3, 2008
do we always have to play the odds?
i guess i’m more of a gambling man that goes with gut feelings….probably why lou’s actually managing and him typing on a blog
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Well both the odds and my gut tell me to sit Fonty anytime a LHP is on the mound.
If your gut says different, here’s a bitter pill to swallow: Fonty career v. LHP: .217/.291/.333.
But I know what you mean – Fonty has come up big so often and Henry has been so ick with the bat so often that it seems like Fontenot would be the way to go.
DGU - September 3, 2008
I'm not disputing your stats............
but I don’t think Blanco does anything AMAZING. A bit of an overstatement.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
First of all, Henry is an amazing defensive catcher.
Second of all, Henry is hitting .319/.360/.447 against LHP this year, which is, I believe, still better than Aramis Ramirez v. LHP this year.
DGU - September 3, 2008
the stats don't lie, and like someone said earlier..........
that is why we aren’t managing. But it felt wrong last night. Fonty SEEMS to step up.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
exactly
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Fonty does step up
when he hits v. RHP. And he seems to step up so often, because Lou has done a good job of putting him in situations where he can succeed. In that way, his use of Fontenot is the exact opposite of his use of Cedeno.
DGU - September 3, 2008
The upcoming off-day should help them
I’ve noticed throughout this year that when the Cubs have a long streak with no off-days, the last few games seem to be a bit of an adventure (even if they wind up winning them somehow). Playing something like 16 straight without a day off has to start to wear a little bit.
I have to think that bodes well for the post-season too, where off-days abound.
SuperContext - September 3, 2008
+1
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Can we leave Jimmy Ball Game in once in a while
I know he looked clueless for the past 2 weeks up an till his homerun, but he is a classic streak hitter and a big moment hitter. Give him a chance. OOOH I’m mad today.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
anyone else think he should have caught that ball against the wall
i hold him to a higher defensive standard, it just seemed like a ball he coulda got….oh well
how about that other random ball popping out? i haven’t seen that happen in a LONG time
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
he defintely is missing a step or two
someone needs to check the ivy for lice?
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
and balls....
hehehe…. See that Pence drive off the wall that dislodged a 2nd ball from the ivy?
tony412 - September 3, 2008
That ball hit pretty far up..........
………..in the ivy (or “ivory”, per Lou). Don’t see Hot Dog coming down with that.
tville - September 3, 2008
i dunno
i replayed it a couple times on my tivo and thought he could have gotten it
does that mean he should have? no
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
If not for Howry...
…that would’ve been a 7-3 win. I was generally feeling better about him recently – he’d only given up 1 run in his last 7 innings and was looking like he might actually be a reliable arm down the stretch. I guess I was wrong.
Can we petetion MLB to award the loss to Howry rather than Wood?
hip2bsquare - September 3, 2008
no kidding, wood is just an innocent bystander on this one...........
wood shouldn’t have been out there in the 11th anyway. In fact, if our number three hitter could cget under a ball once a month the game would have most likely been over 1 hour earlier.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Amen on GDP Lee
I love the guy, but you would think at this point he would have a mental ’’take’" sign on anything around the knees with runners on base. He seems to be swinging at a lot of low/borderline pitches this year, and pulling them to the left side.
There are many things you can’t control at the plate, but you can generally have some idea of what you are going to swing at.
cubmudgeon - September 3, 2008
IS The Sky Really Falling ?
Lou ……. What are you thinking….. Howry, McGehee, Guzman…….
…. 29 LOB WOW……. think of this…. 23 left 17 on the road 6 at home
I know we are playing better on the road…….. B U T
I found out from Bud Light that Howry has a Cardinal tee under his Cub Uni
nimblenikelfoos - September 3, 2008
It's 16 road, 7 home.
But the Cubs have actually played better on the road than at home the last month, WAY better.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
Panic?
Who’s panicking?
/puts the hemlock away
CyberCyclist - September 3, 2008
Expect Guzman to get more work...
He looked good last night.
Jimmyeatworld - September 3, 2008
I would have looked good coming in after Howry!
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Man I sound terrible today.........
my dad would have told me I need an attitude check
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
i love power arms in the pen
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
heh. all of us would.
I’m so fed up with Howry I could spit. Lou should have seen that he was gassed after his second pitch and pulled him. It’s not like he hasn’t done so with other pitchers. Hope last night taught Lou a lesson, or woke him up or whatever it takes to get him to admit the uselessness of that arm.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
I'm not an MLB pitching coach
but Howry’s pitches don’t have any movement on them. Everything is straight. If major league hitters just have to sit on his fastball, he’s gonna get hit.
DKT - September 3, 2008
Yeah, I was glad to see Guzman out there...
…but it’s hard for me to say exactly how he looked. He threw 15 pitches – and only seven of them were strikes. He got the first two batters out relatively quickly – especially Punter Hence, who FO’d on the first pitch. Then he gave up a single and a walk.
All in all, he did OK, but let’s hope his wildness was first-day-back jitters and he can settle down more from here. He’s always had great stuff, and I’d love to see him play a big role in the bullpen going forward.
daver - September 3, 2008
Me too, but
Who knows how his arm will hold up. He hasn’t thrown back-to-back days all year, and coming off of surgery, it probably isn’t prudent to do so. Looking at his splits, he was getting 2-3 days of rest after bullpen appearances.
Still, I’d rather have his power arm than Howry’s dead arm.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
I fully expect Guzman to make a huge impact this month, and hopefully in October
He can be a fourth bullpen weapon for Lou to have.
nji232 - September 3, 2008
Yeah, listening to the radio today on the way into work...
…even I had to laugh (and I AM nervous): all this THE SKY IS FALLING! crap. Come on. It’s Sept 3rd, and I’m NEVER the one to be on the ‘glass is half full’ side of this kind of stuff, but gimmie a break.
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
trust me
IF the cubs make the playoffs, I’ll be the first in line to recieve my spanking for panicking. But right now and last night was UGLY and with our rotation RESTING. It isn’t good right now.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
I blame my wife
Or rather, she blames herself. Every time we come out to see the Cubs they swoon. This is her third or fourth series, and they’ve won exactly one game. In fact, she came out for the four game Reds series in 2004 where the Cubs let their season slip between their fingers. I told her we’re just coming out at bad times in the schedule (i.e. late when everybody’s tired) so it’s less than totally surprising that they might get stuck at the horse latitudes.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Hmmm.
You guys are my friends. But I’m thinking you might need to stay away.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
FWIW
If the Cubs make it to the WS, we’re staying away.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Works for me!
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
And Lou shot himself in the foot several times
scareduck - September 3, 2008
i usually get blasted for this but.....
When we lose like we did last night – Lou usually coaches very similar to dusty. And i really dont see how you could say any different last night.
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
he's done a great job for most of the year
so i guess even managers are allowed to have a bad night, right?
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
especially *this* manager
my admiration for Lou knows no bounds, but he’s human.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Definitely an unsettling number of "Dusty moments" last night
I guess every manager has his “pets” but Lou’s continuing to run Howry out there in key situations (and his refusal to even consider moving Lee in the order) is completely baffling to me.
bluekoolaide - September 3, 2008
Totally - i was just making a point.
:)
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
Speaking mostly as an outsider
I can assure you that’s not true for the most part. I watch a fair number of Cubs games over the course of the year (my primary allegiance is to the Angels these days), but Dusty would have really mangled that game far worse. This is only the first game I can recall where he’s really blown it multiple times in the same game. His bullpen usage is generally better, his in-game strategy is almost always superior… one or two games you can forgive (though I would hope he pulls himself together tonight).
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Please re-read....
I am talking about losses like last night. Very very similar to Dusty, double switches, lefty vs. righty hitting, errors, overuse of the bullpen, bringing the wrong guys in. That is Dusty like. Sorry it is. Lets face it Lou over-managed last night.
Please dont take this as a Lou bashing, nor am i upset about the streak or last night, i am just saying he looked very similar to Dusty last night with some of his moves.
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
I think you are taking the Dusty bashing a bit
too far. Sure he blew a lot of games and played some guys that should have never left the bench, but ti say that he would have mangled this game far worse is ridiculous. Lou had a bad game, we all can acknowledge that. But to try to lessen the blow by saying that “Dusty would have done worse” is making a claim that has little merit. Many of the decisions that Lou made could have gone either way, but the experience of this year should have directed him to chose another alternative. Dusty has nothing to do with that. You can’t try and read the tea leaves and say "Dusty would have made a worse decision. Hell, what was worse than the outcome we got?
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Nobody's trying to "lessen the blow"
Just saying. Maybe he wouldn’t have, but perhaps it’s fairer to say that there would be more of these types of games were Dusty still running things.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
I can accept that. I just think to take this game that Lou
clearly made some bad decisions and claim that “Dusty would have done worse” is straying far from the point. We should be comparing Lou to his past performances, not to Dusty’s. The only common thread there is that they both managed this team. I just don’t see how that advances this discussion.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I said it in the Fukudome bashing thread...
and i will say it here – the difference between us losing and winning right now are the clutch hits. They just are not there.
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
hitting a weak sac fly isn't even a clutch hit..........
and we can’t even seem to get that accomplished right now
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Remain calm
all is well.
flyingdonut - September 3, 2008
animal house reference?
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
My thought
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Nobody likes a four-game losing streak
but things get magnified and blown out of proportion when it’s September instead of June. A win tonight and a day off are what the doctor is ordering…
DKT - September 3, 2008
lets hope he's also ordering
a maximum 1 week rest for z…..fingers crossed
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
This may be the first time we've ever said this on this board....
LETS GO METS!
flyingdonut - September 3, 2008
LOL - and +1
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
In those situations
with D-Lee in the past it seemed that he would really try to drive the ball the other way. it appears now that he is getting into a streak of trying to pull hard and ends up hitting these tailor made DP’s.
On plus side it was good seeing the boys show some patience at the plate when we were down, its a sign that noone on the teams seems to be stressing about the recent games
cubsfaninkc - September 3, 2008
Well, DLee's GIDP in the eighth inning...
…wasn’t exactly a “tailor made” double play. He hit the ball very hard down the line and Blum made a great play. I wish Derrek would start elevating the ball just as much as anyone but, in that particular case, it wasn’t like he hit a weak dribbler to the shortstop.
daver - September 3, 2008
You could make the argument
that Geoff Blum played out of his mind last night. He made 2-3 nice defensive plays (including Lee’s ground ball), plus he hit the game-winning homer. It happens.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Yep, just like Werth on the Phils...
…the Cubs seem to be running into certain players who are just having huge games.
daver - September 3, 2008
it is called bad pitch location!!!
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Dlee's swing and his height causes him to swing down on the
ball. The timimg of his swing has to be right to drive the ball consistently. In the past it was, now it is producing hard ground balls. A fraction of an inch makes a world of difference.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
TWSS
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
Too Much Howry -- Again
Considering the season, enough has been said about Bob Howry.
Many have commented about his decrease in velocity, straight as an arrow fastball, and his barely passable offspeed pitches which rarely find the strike zone.
I have stopped counting the number of times Lou has brought him into games that were winnable — down by a run or two, tied, or ahead.
I sit and watch and scream as soon as he puts men on base, allows runs to score, and wonder what Lou is thinking. Just like last night — tie game and here comes Howry.
Gives up a triple on a pitch down the middle; gives up tow more hits to two wak hitting players (Newhan and Quintero) — enough. But no — he’s allowed to throw five balls to another weak bat (Abercrombie). Enouh — but no — he’s allowed to pitch to weak hitting Bourne — results — another hit. For gosh sakes Lou — why did you let him pitch? Even after the first three hits, it’s only a one run ball game and you still leave him in? What was this — a senior moment?
One final thought — Cubs brass — please give us some credit and tell us the real story behind Harden’s layoff. A planned absence or rest — in the heat of the pennant race — give me a break!
ceegeewow - September 3, 2008
Harden
The only reason Rich Harden has pitched 71.2 innings in September in his career is because he was uninjured only rarely. Good grief, I remember when he was in the AL West and he went down like clockwork in late July or August. Dude is fragile.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Fukudome...
Looked pretty good last night. He had battled back for a walk and then had a hit his next AB. I believe he’ll be key down the stretch.
CubsBullsBears - September 3, 2008
i do too
i still think he’s got that “it” factor and is smart enough to make the right adjustments
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
This Cubs team has not peaked yet...
Which is a good thing. There is nowhere to go but up. Demp will right the ship tonight. Then they will go on to have a great September.
Jimmyeatworld - September 3, 2008
Comparisons to 2004
I think the similarities are that, for those of us who remember in painful detail each game that week, there were SO many games where we had chances to win with runners on base all over the place, and so many times the games dragged on and on until inevitably the opposing teams won in extra innings or late innings. I don’t think this current losing streak falls into that category, but last night’s game made me think of 2004.
Also, though I’m a self-professed ledge jumper we saw last year that just because a team enters the playoffs hot (The Cubs were red-hot entering the NLDS) it doesn’t mean they will roll through the playoffs. I’m less concerned by how hot the team is than I am about having Z and Harden healthy – and Howry banished far, far away.
BeltwayCubsFan - September 3, 2008
Actually, the Cubs weren't that hot entering the NLDS last year.
They had been swept by Florida, then won 2 of 3 in Cincinnati — so lost four of their last six regular season games.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
What helped us last year
Was that The Brewers had a tougher schedule and they played against the Padres the last few games who also needed to win. That was a long final week of the season!
ak123 - September 3, 2008
who will forget the tomahawk chop in the bleachers?
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
i'm not panicking about losing games
but the z situation has me freaking out…….someone talk me down from this ledge
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I think it's going to have to be REAL bad for them to 'shut him down'
The ‘Tuesday start’ proved that. They might just let him try to pitch thru it and, knowing Z, maybe that’s good.
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
well...
no sense in freaking out until we have actual information. Until then no news is… no news.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Exactly.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
i just keep on adding these factors up
bad august + “dead arm” + pulled early last night + visit to a doc = a scared cubswynn
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Remember
Soreness is not as bad as pain.
Sean Marshall had “soreness” after his last start. It was a muggy night, you know how Z gets cramps, maybe he legitimately realized he shouldn’t pitch anymore this night as a precaution? I know it’s optimistic thinking but we don’t know anything.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
thanks
i hope you’re right
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I'm tired of the Z thing.... it is so 2004 to me
Hold your hand up high if you can pitch, if not we’ll find someone else. Sore Arm? My hamstring is sore right now and I can still go to work and type on a blog.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
You don't type with your hamstring, do you?
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
I'm glad you asked!
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
oh god
now tom petty and the heart breakers just came on the radio and guess what song it is
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
they have a song about hamstring injuries?
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
free hamstring falling
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
catchy tune
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
wait now van hamstring's jump just came on
everything thing is gonna be okay
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
LOL
You’re not going on the blogging DL, are you?
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
I might, but it would be retroactive to labor day?
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
It should be.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
well i suppose that is true
but can we even count games in Florida? We lose there no matter what :) They did finish 12-6 the final 18 games – I suppose that isn’t red hot but semi-hot
BeltwayCubsFan - September 3, 2008
A few things
While relying completely on news reports and other assorted comments, a few positive implications if I may.
First, while it is entirely possible it is simply a precursor to a second visit, I believe it is encouraging that Z is visiting with Dr. Gryzlo rather than Dr. James Andrews. That would lead me to believe it is a shoulder or biceps we’re dealing with rather than a elbow. Long term, I’m not sure that makes a difference but short term, it would make sense that he is dealing with inflammation in some area non-elbow related. I would consider that to be a positive. Shut him down for a bit and let him ride back into the postseason run.
Second, yes, the last few losses have been difficult but keep in mind, these are blips on the radar. Were they to occur in mid-October, I believe the hand-wringing would be warranted. Now, they are no different than the tough stretch the Cubs had earlier this year. Those are long forgotten and better play will ease the concern.
Lastly, this short stretch has no more bearing on what will happen in October than a hot or cold stretch in April does. There is no “recency effect” and this is a very, very good club we’re talking about. Fight through it and move on. Nothing more you can do.
krummy12 - September 3, 2008
Hate to be a downer
I’ve been positive about this Z thing but usually most athletes will see a local Dr. before going to Dr. Andrews. I work at WWE and that’s how the wrestlers do it.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
but why wouldn't you go to the local guy first?
if says continue to a specialist, then you move on…..seems to make sense
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Because
If it’s minor he can be treated in Chicago. If it’s something more serious then fly to Alabama to see Dr. Andrews. Let’s just wait and find out. I know you’re nervous as am I but we just don’t know anything yet.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
If it is something serious and he is done for the year
you would rather it be the elbow than the shoulder. The shoulder has a lot more moving parts and a serious injury to it it is a lot hard to come back from and be the same pitcher (See Mulder).
Hopefully it is not serious at all though…
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Good point. See Dempster.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I agree w/most of your sentiments
and, compared to the majority of his predecessors, Lou is a cut above all the rest (well, the Dallas Green era was no too shabby – but in recent memory).
However, a game like last night, LaRussa would have managed rings around him with the above awful bullpen management and bench calls. It sickens me to say it – but in some ways, the game is passing Lou by.
I still believe Derek Lee had not one – but TWO chances to win the game. For his $15MM/a year salary, and his “ownership” of the #3 position in the lineup, he needs to do better. Now. Lou will not do anything unless DLEE asks for a change. So we should not expect it.
2005 was an aberration, and we will not see that offensive prowess again. However, batted lower in the lineup, with his great D, I’d be fine w/that.
We WILL make the playoffs – no doubt about that. But there are certainly some major concerns.
My home Wrigley record is 17-2, and I thank the team for a wonderful, exciting summer.
However, October baseball is a different thing altogether.
The E-Man - September 3, 2008
Soriano should have bunted
Hear me out. Up until Sori’s AB the pitcher had thrown 8 pitches, 6 of which were balls. Men on 1st and 2nd, No Outs. And Soriano, who had not had a hit since the first pitch of the game, swung at the first pitch (which looked to me if it was an above-the-letters pitch). And don’t get me wrong I have 90% of the time I have faith Sori will come through, but he and and our other big boppers seemed to be pressing w/ RISP after Edmonds’ HR. Correct me if I’m wrong but I remember a couple years ago, the same situation presented itself in a game against the Cardinals. Except it was Pujols at bat and he laid down a perfect bunt to move the runners. I’m not asking Sori to sacrifice his bat every time but maybe just every once in a blue moon?
That being said Booby Howry is D-O-N-E.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
Come on, Soriano bunt? Aint gonna happen. A guy with his potential
to change a game with one swing is not going to be asked to bunt. Major league managers don’t do that.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Not a bunt, just a better at bat
I watch people like Puljols (10 times the hitter sori is) give himself up to guide balls the other way. I bet the thought never crossed Sori’s mind.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
yea I would've been happy if he'd just taken a pitch or two
considering the guys ahead of him walked
philadelphiacub - September 3, 2008
Totally agree.
This goes back to every fan’s predicament of either accepting Soriano for who he is or…well, or slamming one’s head into a well in perpetuity. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if Soriano doesn’t even know how to bunt for all practical purposes. Should he? Yeah, ideally, he should. But it’s not who he is. It’s not what he does. I can accept that.
daver - September 3, 2008
So....it is too much to ask?
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
You could ask
But is it worth it for a popped up bunt or a broken finger since he doesn’t bunt at all?
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
don't make me angry.......
if major league ballplayers can’t bunt without breaking bones, we all have big freaking problems. Is he above the rest of the guys or something. Can we not ask anything of him? Let us wrap him up in bubble wrap along with Big Z and Rich Harden so they never get hurt.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Every ML player should be able to bunt
but I think it’s a significant risk with Soriano. I worry about it with all of the Cubs pitchers (and some players, too). The last thing I’d want is for Soriano to attempt a bunt, wrap his hand around the barrel (slighly below it, actually), and take a pitch off the finger.
Wright threw up and in on Fukudome when he squared, so why wouldn’t he have done the same to Soriano?
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
And every pitcher should be able to throw strikes. You are
asking for something that goes agaist the way the game has been played for a long time. Sluggers don’t bunt. I’m sorry, but that is the way the game is played. You may not like it, bit it’s a fact.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I agree with you.
I don’t think he should have been bunting in that situation. He’s asked to drive in runs, not move the runners up.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Be realistic. Why don't you just ask Theriot to hit home runs? Some
players are better at other parts of the game. He’s a slugger. You don’t normally ask sluggers to bunt. You may not like it, but that’s the way it is.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I wouldn't have had him bunt either.........
but don’t tell me he can’t or shouldn’t ever have to. All I want is a smart at bat. Trying to yank a pitch for a homer in that situation was crap. If he would have hit one out, i’d be jumping for joy, but statistically speaking that isn’t always going to happen, so try to do something productive. And I don’t understand the Theriot stuff, he is a role player he isn’t our big freaking one dimensional star.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Slow down man. i was making a pointof asking a player
to do something he naturally doesn’t do. Soriano is not the type of player that changes his approach to fit the situation. I agree that agood smart hitter would move the runner in that situation and let someone else drive them in, but he has been successful with his approach and he just isn’t the type of player that evaluates the situation and tries to fit his approach to that situation.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
I know, I'm hot today....
I hear what you are saying and I think I hear you making my point, that we just shouldn’t count on him to not be selfish and one dimensional. If you are cool with that, I can accept that. I’m not cool with that, and I believe people (including Sori) can try to do better. Can’t he change his approach for the team? That is all.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Believe me. I am just as frustrated with the guy as you are. When
he waves at a slider in the dirt off the plate, I want to strangle him. I think he can do better. It takes a lot of talent to hit a baseball and he can really hit it, so he has the talent. I think he is a bit lazy. He has been successful with his approach, so why alter it to fit the situation? If no one has asked him, why would he? I fault his managers for enabling him to play the game the way he does and not making him more accountable.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
now that we can agree on
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
and you're right........
no one is suggesting that he has limited talent. I think he has a huge upside (offensively and defensivly) . I think he a tad lazy. I just want him to try to become more of a complete ballplayer
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Obviously, we have the same opionion of him. I think it's a bit late to expect him to play
any different than he has. He strikes me as the type of player that could lose it quickly. When his skills start to diminish, I don’t think he will be able to make many adjustments to keep himself in the game.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Uh, yeah...
…he’s been playing in the major leagues since 1999 and has gotten almost 600 ABs every season since 2001. He’s probably never going to become a complete player under your definition. Like I said, it’s a matter of acceptance or self-abuse when it comes to Soriano.
daver - September 3, 2008
By most standards, he's been pretty successful. I think most
people knew what we were getting with him and for the most part, he’s lived up to those numbers. Last night’s game was disappointing on a lot of levels and a lot of what I hear is just good venting.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Okay...how did you expect him to move the runner over if he does not bunt
There are runners on 1st and Second. Anything to the right side is probably a double play. The only way for him to have a productive out and get Theriot to third is for him to try to drive the ball deep to Center or Right. He tried and failed….
I still contend that they should have tried the Double Steal..see previous posts above.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Maybe look for a pitch outside and try to drive it the other way
I honestly would rather see him hit into a double play doing that than what happened last night. That is just my opinion.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
and I don't know about the double steal,
because sori swings and misses alot and a straight steal at that time esp to third is RISKY
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
It is no different
than the situation would have been if Dome would have been successful in his sacrifice attempt. It would have been one out with a runner on second…
The only downside is you force Soriano to take a couple of pitches and get behind in the count and if the attempt was successful he probably take the bat out of his hands…
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
a pavement quote
in a post with a hitchhiker’s guide to the galaxy quote? man, i love this site.
nathew - September 3, 2008
If I'm not mistaken
There was a long fly to right that got Theriot to third from the next batter. So a bunt there would conceivably have won the game. I know the pitches change with different situations, but there is absolutely no reason not to bunt Soriano at that point in the game. Earlier no, but that late with a chance to win (and clutch hits being fe and far between), absolutely. IMO
Mapmaker - September 3, 2008
Normally...
…I would agree if it was anyone but Soriano.
I highly doubt the guy could have got a good bunt down without missing it or popping the thing up.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Good point. It's easy to say"just bunt here", but what
are the odds of him being successful at something he never does. Just because you tell him to bunt, doesn’t mean he can execute it.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Odds on Sori........
being successful at catching pop flys?
backing up plays?
not getting picked off?
hustling in general?
making an adjustment at the plat?
doing anything but hitting 30 homeruns each year, most of them solo lead off shots?
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Hey, he's put up some pretty big numbers
comparable to the rest of the league. And he missed nearly two months.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
You know when dad used to come home.........
and just start yelling at everyone because he hated his job ( i think it is called displacement or something) That is what i’m doing with Sori. I’m angry about last night, and well he is just too easy to find fault with.
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
+1
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
He is what he is. I don't want to say he isn't an intelligent player, but
he doesn’t change his approach to match the situation. I would hazard to guess that the thought of hitting to the right side never crossed his mind. He has a dead pull swing and the odds of him producing a ball to the right side are probably as good as him executing a bunt.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
and for that my friends.........30 million dollars or whatever the hell he is being paid
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
Meh, I've over the money factor
It is what it is.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
I'm*
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
Hitting to the right side only works
if the runner is on second and no one is on first and there are no outs. Otherwise, it is probably a double play
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Disagree...
…with a runner on third and less than 2 outs, it is a good idea for a RH hitter to go the other way. The reason is this; most of the time, when you wait on a pitch and try to drive it the other way, you are much more likely to get it in the air. When you try to pull, you get on top of the ball more and tend to hit ground balls to SS and 3rd base.
Considering how often Lee hits those perfect double play balls to the left side, trying to go the other way would have been a great idea.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
I am not talking about Lee here...
We are talking about Soriano ABs.
He did hit in the air…just not deep enough to get the runner to Third
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
My bad....
…but a few of those other circumstances when they hit into double plays with a guy on third, it would have been a great idea to try and go the other way.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Gimme a break...
…he catches plenty of pop flies, he backs up plays (and makes some pretty spectacular assists), he doesn’t get picked off all that often, he hustles plenty and none of us can say definitely whether he does or doesn’t make adjustments at the plate.
daver - September 3, 2008
he makes great adjustments on that low and away slider, sammy sosa told me so
graceunderpressure - September 3, 2008
I'm surprised he even seens fastballs anymore
When the ball breaks his ankles seem to go w/ it.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
Don't discount the ego factor. The fastball is the
most misused pitch in baseball. The minor leagues are filled with guys who are in live with their fastball and think they can throw it past anyone. The ball that he hit out last night was a mistake that was supposed to move him off the plate. The catcher was setup inside, off the plate and the ball strayed over the plate. I wonder why pitchers even try to setup the breaking ball away to him. He stands right on top of the plate and he won’t move. I would throw him nothing but sliders away, every pitch the same.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Agree
Was I the only one thinking ‘hey, pinch-hit with Dempster to get the bunt down’?
If the run scored, that should have been Soriano’s last AB, so putting a PH in that spot just to get the bunt down wouldn’t have bothered me in the slightest.
Now, it ended up working out in a way where the bunt probably doesn’t change the outcome of that inning, but looking at that situation without hindsight, I don’t know how you don’t try to get the runners to 2nd and 3rd.
WittyUserName - September 3, 2008
Did anyone notice the...
Darth Vader character on the Brewers website for the start of the Cubs vs Brewers series on the 16th? When you scroll over it it says – “THE FORCE UNLEASHED” What is that about?
(sorry if this has already been posted somewhere)
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
I noticed the same thing when I was perusing
the Rays’ schedule. It must an MLB-wide event.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
It is
Witnesseth.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
gotcha - thanks.
I just looked on the Cubs too (never check that one because of my handy pocket schedule) and it is up there too.
HIGGY - September 3, 2008
it's a video game release, i believe
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Isn't it the animated clone wars movie?
El Borto - September 3, 2008
Not to be judgmental
and pardon me if it was mentioned earlier but who were those MORANS wearing masks behind home plate last night. Apparently they thought it was Nacho Libre night and if I must say their impressions were less than flattering.
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
There were some of those in the bleachers, too.
I thought costumes were banned in Wrigley Field (except for 70s night).
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
"Morans"?
<sarcasm>Yeah, who let all those Irish in the park, anyway?</sarcasm>
scareduck - September 3, 2008
Must've been Cardinals fans
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
I'm suprised he could write at all.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
that is a kickin' mullet.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Indeed
there’s one….

JohnM - September 3, 2008
there are people who use the internets
who still don’t know the “morans” meme?
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
Not all of us can be Farkers
/Romero
Clutch16 - September 3, 2008
true
but, unlike romero, “morans” has made its way to the end of the internets and back
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
I just wanted a different picture with morans in it for a change
could be scareduck was just sick of the well travelled meme too.
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Lou the "genius"
Ok I am back and really pissed. As most regulars know I have been ranting against Lou’s rible at both. He “trusts” Marmol so much he used him with a SIX run lead in May because he wanted to show the rest of the BP he did NOT trust them, left him in to blow a five run lead the Sunday before the AS break while Marshall was available and warmed up and last night he has him go two innings because his pet Howry sucks and yet he keeps USING him ( yes I know he throws strikes and is more useful than
lefty Eyre) I don’t want to rehash the whole Eyre/Howry thing. They both basically stunk except Eyre had been frozen by Lou since the day he arrived but Howry was coddled He also coddles Soriano ( rejecting the idea he be replaced in late innings or hit anywhere but lead off) and others. while guys like Lieber , Cedeno, & Pie are treated like the guys who are airbrushed out of old Soviet Military photos. Lou glides on the mostly very good starting pitching but when he is forced to do anything but put Wood, Marmal and Shark in, he usually screws up. He makes it clear to everyone else in the BP that he has no faith. He is OBSESSED with righty/lefty match ups to the point of using up both the BP and bench. I will ALWAYS go back to the Sunday game in Philly when he went through the ENTIRE bench in a 9 inning close and eventually tied ROAD GAME. Cubs won on an ERROR ( and a previous bad call) but no good manager runs through his bench in a 9 inning game like that.
I am NOT on a ledge but I am terrified that if Lou does not start dealing with the entire
BP and bench fairly the post season is gonna be very ugly if each starter does not go
7 innings.
Doggie Stalker - September 3, 2008
+1
Ihatethecards - September 3, 2008
I still don't understand
why Howry is being used in anything but blowouts. He has gotten so many chances from Lou but Eyre was shown the door.
I also don’t understand why Lee would swing when Brocail couldn’t find the plate. I love what DLee brings to the table especially defensively but it’s time to put Rami in the 3 hole, Soto 4, and Lee 5.
With all that negative stuff being said, the Cubs are fine. I didn’t expect them to keep playing .700 to .800 ball after the All Star break. Z has a lot of time to get right, along with the rest of the team. If this was the last week of the season I would be worried.
slocs55 - September 3, 2008
Even in blowouts he's no good any more.
He’s taken two seven-run leads and made close games out of them, close enough that Kerry Wood had to come in.
I wouldn’t pitch him at all the rest of the year.
Al Yellon - September 3, 2008
I kinda wish one of the local media outlets...
…would send a sacrificial lamb into one of the postgame press conferences and just ask Lou straight up why he has stuck with Howry in critical situations this long. I mean, it’s freakin’ September.
daver - September 3, 2008
You wanna volunteer?
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Er, no. Not really.
But I’m a coward. C’mon, there’s gotta be some wily young upstart doing an apprenticeship at the Score right now who could get the job done.
daver - September 3, 2008
Me too
I made eye contact with Lou at the one game I attended this year, and it was kinda scary. He wasn’t even mad at the time.
JohnM - September 3, 2008
someone get me a credential
and i’m there.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Trey, meet daver
JohnM - September 3, 2008
I'm just young and dumb enough to try it
plus, if I’m dumb enough, the sun-times might give me a column. I hear they’re looking.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
You would be a true BCB hero.
At least for a day or two.
daver - September 3, 2008
i was hoping the fanpost
could carry me for a day or two.
I don’t think Lou’s glare could scare me any more than one coming from my wife or my mom back in the day. Plus, I’d have free food and an opportunity to see if I’m really taller than Mike Fontenot.
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Lou thought he...
…could get him turned around and he has been wrong on this one.
Considering Howry really only has one pitch, he has done pretty well for a long time. At this stage, he needs another pitch to extend his career.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Bob Howry, meet Ed Harris.
I’m sure Eddie can teach Bob the benefits of the ‘Bardol Ball’
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
exactly, this is precisely why
I’m spitting mad every time Howry takes the mound … he can’t even handle 7 run leads dammit! He’s very creative in finding ways to blow a game.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Oh Stevie Ire
how I miss thee
Jayo525 - September 3, 2008
OT: Nice use of "dodgy" right after the "King's English" crack in the recap
although, it has been the Queen’s English for about the last half century. The last few years I’ve seen a lot of formerly British-only words creep into US Internet usage — “whilst”, “arse”, etc. — but that’s the first “dodgy”. Good ’un.
As regards to Cubs players remaining from the 2004 roster — Michael Wuertz also played in 30 games for that dodgy side, although I can’t remember if he was still around during the late September meltdown. Dempster also appeared in 23 games.
JohnM - September 3, 2008
"King's English"
is alliterative.
scareduck - September 3, 2008
But technically archaic
JohnM - September 3, 2008
isn't Lou?
I kid.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Burn
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Left on base
Anybody got the numbers handy for how many men we’ve left on base (both in and not in scoring position) recently compared to how many we were leaving say two weeks ago, or or a season average?
Then again…it seems like there have been even more double plays recently, so those numbers may not show anything.
I don’t know. Gotta start driving them in
chitownhawkeye - September 3, 2008
Z arm problems
Uh oh
chitownhawkeye - September 3, 2008
This is no different than what has already been reported
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
ah sorry
I must have missed it higher up in the thread
chitownhawkeye - September 3, 2008
after scrolling through everyone's comments...
I’ve calmed down from my rage and realized we’re too good of a team to act as if the world is coming to an end. Dempster will turn it around tonight…Go Cubs!
SoTxCub - September 3, 2008
Little things
Pitching,
Dont give Quintero a .230 hitter a pitch to hit with an 0-2 count and no one on
Howry is a mop up guy in blow out games only, come on Lou ???
Running,
Can we steal a base please, especially when they are giving it to you
Will Soriano ever beat out a ball hit in the hole again
Hitting
With bases loaded and one out a good fly ball gets the run in
Dont leave men on base every inning
Fielding
Too many to mention
Bench
Where’s the speed and where’s the bats – Who cares about Iowa
Please Lou make it happen and no more excuses
Lastly,
Whenenver Hunter Pence is a free agent, sign him. He kills the Cubs
parrotinct - September 3, 2008
Just catching up here
Howry still here and Eyre not – WTF?!??
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
Good point.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
2 Things I truly HATE
1. Bob Howry
2. The announcers referring to Soriano as “Fonzie”. That is soooooo gay
scalmie - September 3, 2008
it's only gay
if they pronounce it “Fonthie”.
nathew - September 3, 2008
LOL
Ihatethecards - September 3, 2008
quality stuff nathew
slocs55 - September 3, 2008
I really don't mind the bunt attempt in that spot...
…in a tie game in the bottom of the ninth. It didn’t work, but you can’t judge it based soely on that.
As far as the whole situational hitting argument – please read this.
cwyers - September 3, 2008
Good article. Kind of blows away some of this morning's posts.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
i hated the bunt
more than the pitcher handling miscues. i couldn’t believe we were having one of our best power hitters (recently) give up an out
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
I wonder if MDBNIU would have rather had Lieber pitching last night instead of Howry-Shit.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Haha...
…We should post his comments in the pre-game thread today when he emerges…
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
When he reads all of this criticism of Lou...
…he’s going to go absolutely apeshit. It should make for an entertaining “discussion.”
daver - September 3, 2008
I'm making up a batch of popcorn now...
Emelie - September 3, 2008
I don't know.Jjust don't say Howry is in Lou's doghouse.
Rick B - September 3, 2008
Howry is in Lou's doghouse.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Howry *better be* in Lou's doghouse.
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
+1
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
I don't know if Lou put him in there
but I think Bob walked his way in…
Bill Potter - September 3, 2008
Yes, don't even THINK the word "doghouse"...
…or you’re clearly a traitor to king (pitching, of course) and country.
daver - September 3, 2008
If pitching is king
What’s queen?
JohnM - September 3, 2008
That's a question only BlueMike can answer.
Timely hitting? Good defense? The greatest manager the game has ever known? (Waitaminute…did I just call Lou Piniella a queen? Aw crap, now I’m really in trouble.)
daver - September 3, 2008
Hmmmm, I was expecting more like this
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Beelzebub has a devil set aside for me...
…for me…FOR MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!
daver - September 3, 2008
Commence head banging
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Nothing really matters
So you think you can stone me and spit in my eye-
So you think you can love me and leave me to die-
Cubster - September 3, 2008
If pitching is king
is power pitching (come playoff time) emperor?
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
What's the court jester?
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
MDBNIU
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
I said court jester not village idiot.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
He's not stupid. I find some of what he says to be interesting....but his delivery is hilarious.
Give the guy a break! He’s just a different kind of cat than we’re all used to.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
+1
The delivery is what gets him into trouble, but I find it wearying that some (not calling anyone out here) automatically blast everything he says, simply because he’s the one saying it.
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
I agree, I just couldn't resist that one. We all know that bashing Bluemike
is the second favorite activity among BCBers.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
yeah
lay off him
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I agree...
…IMO, the majority of the content from NDBNIU is pretty solid.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Yeah...
…just really funny the euphemisms and over-the-top baseball cliches…I do enjoy it…
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
yeah
we are losers for being on here for as long as we are and we need different things to talk about…..he gives us that
thanks enterprise rent a car for allowing me to blog all day
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
uh...
well. Maybe sometimes. He wanted Lou to bench Soriano, remember?
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
posing
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
He makes intelligent stand-alone arguments
and is a good voice to include in the mix here. The frustration is that he can get to just popping out his old arguments as responses in threads that are talking about something totally different.
DGU - September 3, 2008
Careful - he's working his way from the bottom of this thread on up...
derv - September 3, 2008
2 issues with Lou
1 – De-Ro bunting? Why? WHY??
2 – Howry. Why? WHY?
As for D-Lee, he of course manned up and took the blame. I have to say I was really disheartened by his 8th inning DP. Couldn’t he have just taken a massive uppercut in hopes of getting something into the air? I won’t ask our power guys to lay one down, but anything, ANYTHING would’ve been better than a DP.
rgonzale - September 3, 2008
Because Bob Howry is so good.
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
Those were some serious catcalls last night...
when Howry was mercifully yanked from that inning last night. My buddy and I were asking…“where’s Gaudin?” Wouldn’t he have been a better choice than Howry in that spot? Is it my imagination, or is Lou not a fan of Gaudin? He seems like the forgotten man in the pen in spots like that 6th inning last night.
reedjohnson - September 3, 2008
back problem...not available
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Plus, Lou can always count on Howry throwing strikes!
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
So can the Astros
Straight ones right down the middle
Mapmaker - September 3, 2008
In an effort to bring about some postive news...
We miss Volquez again….
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
I'll go ahead and explain some of the bunting stuff...
…and keep in mind I hate the sac bunt as a strategy.
Here’s a run expectancy chart. They’re a little complicated to read if you haven’t done it before, so I’ll step you through it.
Bases and Outs should be self-explanatory. REOI stands for “runs at end of inning” – how many runs score on average in that situation from then until the inning ends. These are generated based on whole innings only, so they’re not an exact match for last night’s situation – excepting a home run only one run could have scored. But it’ll do.
With a runner on first and no outs, the odds of no runs scoring in the inning are 0.574. With the runner on second and one out, those odds raise slightly to 0.588.
But the odds of scoring one run increase significantly, from 0.186 to 0.247. Since one run wins the game guaranteed, that’s nothing to laugh at at this point.
All of this presumes that you have a better pinch hitter than Casey McGehee, though.
cwyers - September 3, 2008
I should clarify...
…that it’s not a 100% certainty of doing that – obviously it didn’t work that way last night. So you have the odds of the failed bunt to consider, as well as the odds of DeRosa reaching on a bunt, either via the single or the reach on error.
cwyers - September 3, 2008
isn't .186 and .247
the odds of scoring exactly one run? tied in the 9th, the relevant inquiry is the odds of scoring at least one run, which would be the sum of all those numbers.
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
That's an excellent point
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
cont.
which is the .588 and .574 you reference earlier. that’s the relevant number. the small difference between these numbers is what makes modern statheads HATE the sac bunt
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
in other words
i don’t really care that the odds of scoring exactly one run go up at the expense of my overall chances of winning the game in the 9th, i.e., the odds of scoring at least one run.
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
Last night marked the finish of Bob Howry
He’ll stick on the expanded roster. But I will be shocked if he pitches in anything but mop up duty. No shot to make the playoff roster. And yes, this Cub team will still make the playoffs with or without Carlos Zambrano.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
Good thing we have John Lieber to replace him huh!
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Nope
Rotation…..Harden, Dempster, Zambrano, Lilly
Pen…Wood, Marmol, Gaudin, Spellcheck (I think), Cotts, Marshall, Marquis
If Zambrano is done for the year then it opens the door for Guzman or Wuertz I imagine. Again, Lieber has not adapted well to bullpen duty this season. No way both Marquis AND Lieber are in that playoff pen.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
Lou Piniella made tactical mistakes last night
Swapping out Jim Edmonds ???
Going with Bob Howry ???? In defense of the move it was too early for Marmol, Gaudin has a tight back, Cotts rarely inspires confidence
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
and John Lieber sat in a chair the whole time.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Again...
You presume that Jon Lieber is healthy and can be effective. Obviously Piniella and Rothschild don’t agree. The same way they didn’t agree about Scott Eyre several weeks ago and let him therefore rot.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
Yeah...the same way Lou and Larry presume Howry is healthy and can be effective.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Well...
I will assume the following. Piniella and Rothschild see that Howry’s velocity has remained consistent with past levels of success. Therefore leading to the thinking that Howry is salvageable. They also see bullpen options being limited in the 6th inning. Spellcheck wasn’t going to pitch in this game, Cotts is Cotts, Guzman is untested, too early for Marmol, Gaudin is unavailable with tight back (and lets hope there isn’t more to that story). We’ve debated to death feelings on the 38 year Jon Lieber. He’s hanging around the roster for reasons that don’t include faith in his ability to be effective coming out of the pen ($3.5 million worth of reason, emergency plan should all the starters contract the bubonic plague, not wanting him to fall into enemy hands if he were to be released, its roster expansion time anyway).
But now you can safely say Bob Howry is dead. He’ll serve in mop up roll then be sent home for good after the regular season concludes.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
I think the problem that everyone HAS with Howry last night
is that most of us wish he wasn’t on the roster in the first place, therefore, could not have been used. I know this is a moot point with the roster expansions, but I feel like it is a situation where NO MATTER WHAT, even in mop-up, I don’t want him out there…And the fact that he is even a possibility for Lou to use at ANY point, pisses me off.
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
Does anyone really belive that ANYONE else could do any worse that Howry?
There is no logical reason to keep putting him out on the mound in any situation that does not involve a double digit difference in the score. Ever.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
NO ONE.
Seriously. Like, take your pick from the AAA roster, or even AA for that matter.
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
He had Guzman warming up to enter the 5th if
Z did not get out of the mess that he created. If you were willing to insert him there, you have to be willing to insert him at the beginning of an inning…
Well I don’t care for Howry at all, the blame rests solely on lou for that inning. As soon as the bases where loaded if not before, he should have pulled him. There are no execuses to hang him out to dry like that in a tie game. He hung the whole team out to dry on Bob Howry’s dish rag arm. That is disrespectful to the team and to Bob Howry.
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Yesterday you suggested
Bruce Sutter in his prime?
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
Of course I was serious on that front
I’ve got a time machine in the garage that can transport back to 1979 and pluck #42 right off the Wrigley Field mound and bring him to 2008.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
Good. Please do.
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
best line you ever had
was “pound sand up your ass”
my friends and i use that all the time
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I literally just spit soda all over my computer at work...
…Oh my god, I am laughing so hard…
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
hahaha
it was when he posted something regarding night games when it was easily answered through a google search
people were ripping him for creating a fanpost
and he responded, “pound sand up your ass”
classic and bravo blue mike
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Maybe I'm in the minority here...
… but I AGREE with DeRosa bunting (he f’ed it up) and Soriano NOT bunting.
Just my $0.02 because so many are flipping out (about both).
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
I agree
I saw the logic in DeRosa trying to bunt and Soriano swinging away.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
how is it logical
to lower your chances of winning the game? that’s what bunting does
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
If you need...
…one run to win, it is a good call to bunt to try and get that run.
I agree with Soriano swinging away for one reason, the guy can’t bunt. For the same reason, I agree with DeRosa trying to bunt – he is better with the bat and had a decent chance of getting it down.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
BUT
bunting makes it less likely to score, not more
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
Trying to be the optimist here
Has it been confirmed that it is really Z’s arm that is hurting. The only comment I can find saying that it is, is by Lou saying “It has to be in his arm – I don’t know” Like I said just trying to be the optimist here.
23Ryno - September 3, 2008
It's sore
That’s what the official word is.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Thanks
23Ryno - September 3, 2008
hmm...
“sore” isn’t very helpful. Especially since the arm’s gone from “tired” to “sore.” Wish they’d be more forthcoming.
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Well
Sore is better than painful.
Sore is the term Sean Marshall referred to his arm after he last pitched.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
yabbut ...
it feels like Kremlinology, trying to parse language for true meaning
Emelie - September 3, 2008
I am going to guess...
…that Zambrano’s arm has been bothering him for a while and the Cubs decided to keep it quite.
I could be wrong, but there are too many signs that point in this direction.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Or
Z has been keeping it quieter than people in the clubhouse thought…
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Zambrano needs to be on a plane to see Dr. James Andrews
Enough of this mystery. And enough with the medical guess work that keeps saying an extra several days of rest is the elixir. Get him to Dr. Andrews and run the full battery of tests to determine, conclusively, what the issue is.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
+1
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Ole Jimmy...
…is the best, especially if we are talking shoulder.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
"Absolutely. Science is whatever we want it to be. I’ll let you know as soon as we have the results."
Dr. Spaceman, 30 Rock
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
i'm sure he's a nice guy
but i HATE dr. james andrews, worst three words a guy can hear
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
Would it be..
the Cubs keeping it quite or Z just not saying anything to anyone and trying to do too much?
23Ryno - September 3, 2008
you beat me too it ak123
23Ryno - September 3, 2008
If that is the case, then shame on the Cubs...
An organization that has been negligent and horribly burned in the cases of Kerry Wood and Mark Prior should not defer to the statements of the pitcher or anybody less than the best medical advice (e.g., Dr. James Andrews).
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
but they needed to sell tickets!
i have never forgiven the cubs organization treated the fans during those days
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
I have to disagree here...
…and I have a lot of experience in understanding how this works.
First of all, I don’t blame a team for not revealing every ache and pain a player has. Believe me, there are plenty of guys playing with issues right now the public doesn’t know about, and I don’t think there is anything wrong with that.
Secondly, the Cubs may not have handled the communication in regards to Prior and Wood very well, but these guys went to see specialists of their own choosing early on in the injuries. Diagnosing shoulders is very difficult and even the most sophisticated MRI’s can miss damage. This isn’t the way it was 30 years ago, when whatever the team doc said was gold. The player’s agents communicate with the teams quickly and get the player to any doc they want an opinion from.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Well...
I agree that teams don’t need to communicate the aches and pains of the roster. You’re right. Especially by this stage of the season a heap of Cubbies are likely hurting to varying degrees and spending lots of time in the trainer’s room. Case in point, I’m of the opinion that Jim Edmonds is more hobbled than he or the ballclub has been letting on.
But arm injuries for pitchers are different and can’t help to be very visible issues for the fans and opposition alike. Carlos Zambrano clearly is battling something the past few months. Original prognosis was a case of dead arm. Next prognosis was a case of mechanics gone temporary haywire. But now we are at the third iteration of this soap opera and the most inconvenient point of the season for a playoff bound team that there can be. Zambrano DOES need to be forthcoming. And Hendry DOES need to stop the nonsense and get his stud pitcher in front of the best possible medical experts. NOW! Not only for the sake of this team’s fortunes in 2008, but for the longer-term well being of Zambrano.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
He was hitting 95/96 last night...
…I don’t think there are any SERIOUS issues, like the type that players usually get on the next non-stop flight to see Andrews for…
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
For all we know Zambrano could be pitching thru a torn rotator cuff...
There is great example of the concern sitting right on the Cub roster. Kerry Wood. Wood at this stage of professional life is damaged goods. Two years ago the medical device finally handed out was that Wood could go under the knife yet again with no guarantees, retire, or simply rest and try to reinvent as a relief pitcher under the condition that the arm could massively blow up at any moment. Wood opted for the later. We all know that Wood is pitching with an arm that hangs on by baling wire and duct tape. And that the final end of things could come tomorrow, next month or next year.
Tim Hudson was dialing it up to 93 for two months with what was later diagnosed a torn rotator that will put him on the shelf for two years.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
I have heard this...
…from more than one sports medicine specialist; if you scoped the shoulder of every major league pitcher, you would find rotator cuff issues with well over 50% of them. For reasons that are hard to explain, some guys can pitch their whole careers with damage, while others go down like they were shot with a cannon as soon as damage occurs.
Throwing a baseball is the most destructive activity to the shoulder in sports. Some guys deal with it better than others.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Again...
…nothing is stopping Z from going to whatever doc he wants if he is hurting. All he has to do is say the word and he will be on the next flight to Birmingham.
Also, if my pitcher has a sore arm and is trying to pitch through it (which happens often during the year), I am not going to advertise that so the other club can use a strategy to run up his pitch count.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Bob Howry is dead to me.
Lou should be in Hendry’s dog house for allowing Howry to lose yet another game. Lou will bring him back, he can’t help himself.
Pitch a great game tonight Demp and gett hs team back on the winning track.
sue369 - September 3, 2008
if he brings him back a great howl
will rise up out of the city of Chicago, deafening the atmosphere with collective souls shattering in unison
Emelie - September 3, 2008
I agree, howry is one of lou's boys which is awful because its howry and he consistently
finds ways to blow games when they are still in the process of being decided in clutch situations. However, come playoff time I doubt we will be seeing howry at all
CubsBall2202 - September 3, 2008
Howry's been dead to me since June...
carmen_fanzone - September 3, 2008
Thank you, Tony Soprano.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Fahgitaboutit, Pauly Walnuts
carmen_fanzone - September 3, 2008
All too true
your comments about Lou last night. Starting with Howry, well, I could make a case for his entry into the game. It was the 6th, too early for our backend guys. But it was unforgiveable to allow him to stay in the game after the 3rd batter.
Finally, the most egregious “dumb thing to do” award goes to Lee. He’s up there with 3 on, all walks, and he goes after a 1-0 pitch. That was the game. If I were Lou, I’d chew his ass out for that stunt.
I know this sounds strange, but I look forward to us going out on the road. We’ve been playing much better there than at home over the past month or so. I wonder if this team is too distracted by their attention at home. It’s time to bond again away from the Friendly Confines.
tharr - September 3, 2008
tharr
I was thinking the same thing this moring when I was looking at the schedule, then saw the home vs road splits lately.
23Ryno - September 3, 2008
The fundamental problem is that Cub fans have too great of expectations for Derrek Lee
Quality ballplayer. Good all-around contributor and apparent solid clubhouse figure. But especially on a playoff caliber ballclub he is of the skill set that says he has no business being a # 3 hitter. I’ve always believed that your best “pure hitter” should hit # 3. In a perfect world Derrek Lee should be hitting in the #6 hole in this Cub lineup. I think he always tries his damndest. Trouble is his best isn’t good enough in the # 3 hole. He isn’t the player he flashed during his career year in 2005.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
Who did he flash? Nefi? I bet Nefi got a kick out of that!
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
+1
I’ve significantly lowered my expectations for lee since may. The guy can no longer hit for power and the best we are going to get out of him is a line drive double down the left field line. It sickens me to think of a situation like last night’s 8th inning in the playoffs with lee up because it has almost become a certainty of what is going to happen
CubsBall2202 - September 3, 2008
The problem is it is difficult to come up with wiser solution in the # 3 hole...
Almost by default the argument leads to Geovany Soto. I dont’ see Lou PIniella doing that. I also think Piniella accords Lee a great deal of respect and is therefore hesitant to “demote” him in any way.
MDBNIU - September 3, 2008
That's a quaint way of totally fucking up the lineup day in and day out.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
True, which is why this is going to remain a problem until next year
because there is no way piniella is going to move lee, so I guess we can just hope and pray that lee doesn’t ruin us in the playoffs
CubsBall2202 - September 3, 2008
In the playoffs...
…you can almost guarantee some of your better hitters will go cold. You have to deal with 2 issues that are elevated in the post-season; better pitchers and heavily worked on scouting reports for each hitter.
What typically happens is successful teams have guys lower in the order that deliever, because the other team is focusing so much on the heart of the order. This is why I like the Cubs chances this year, they have depth in the lineup.
MPH73 - September 3, 2008
Lee needs rest
He has played almost every game. He needs to rest a few days. Now that Micah is up… get him in and see what he can do.
Cubster - September 3, 2008
which will be
not dig out throws from Rami and Riot.
Please, no. I’d rather have DeRosa play first.
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
Micah had 2 errors in 61 games in Iowa at 1B, none as a Cub...
…where do you get that he’s a bad defensive first baseman?
carmen_fanzone - September 3, 2008
Four losses in a row - change the avatar!
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
Just for you
Cubster - September 3, 2008
never thought I'd see the day
Emelie - September 3, 2008
If they win tonight, this is why!
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
Steve Garvey, father of his country
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
I always enjoyed
his celebrity fishing shows
Cubster - September 3, 2008
Great...you've gone from being an minor annoyance...to a dickhead.
Congrats.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
That means a lot
coming from you
Cubster - September 3, 2008
I suppose I shouldn't give you such a hard time...after all....
You’re just following directions.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
good memory
Cubster - September 3, 2008
Getting ready.....
I think we are all getting ready for a repeat of last year’s first round drubbing….. maybe in four games this year….
James031 - September 3, 2008
Go pound sand up your ass.
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Yeah, the "Woe is me" blog is just to the left.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
lol
am i the only one that remembers that line? its been spreading around dsm for the past couple weeks
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
LOL
i remember too – i love that line
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
thank god
i thought maybe i was the only one who did…..i felt like i was taking crazy pills!
cubswynn - September 3, 2008
ROFLCOPTER
ur a quote machine!
joeschmitt - September 3, 2008
There's a variation on that. It's "go pound hot sand up your ass".
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
and another offshoot for an insult...."dumber than a bag of smashed assholes"
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
I thought it was "uglier than a box of rocks".
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Blivit = Two Pounds of Sh!t in a one pound bag
TheRiot Police - September 3, 2008
Have another beer, Loser....
James031 - September 3, 2008
You have called down the fury!
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
Emelie - September 3, 2008
glad you have my back Ems
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
I do my modest best
Emelie - September 3, 2008
isn't there
a Bears Blog you can go visit?
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
well well well
I have not panicked yet, I have not gone into typical Cubs fan mode and freak out over a 4 game losing streak when we still are the best team in baseball, and in a 162 game season a losing streak is pretty much understandable. Our ace has slowed down a bit and our timely hitting has disinegrated, but my guess is our “ace” will be back to dominance when necessary, and all at once our hitting will come together and we will go on to dominate
SouthsideCUBSfan - September 3, 2008
SBUC NIW
Cubster - September 3, 2008
Time to root for the Mets again
Emelie - September 3, 2008
::Gritting Teeth::
ok
santoswoodenlegs - September 3, 2008
mets take early lead 1-0
Emelie - September 3, 2008
TWSS
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
Bush is getting pounded in the first at Miller Park - film at 11.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Bases loaded, Church up.
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
Dammit...Clogged...
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
GRANDSLAM 5-0
Emelie - September 3, 2008
yes!
willie mays hayes' gloves - September 3, 2008
and another HR! 6-0
Emelie - September 3, 2008
How do you give up 6 runs on only 28 pitches?
I guess only Bush and Howry know the secret….
zevkalman - September 3, 2008
There's no secret to sucking
CubsBullsBears - September 3, 2008
excellent!
drewishdrewid - September 3, 2008
wo0t
sue369 - September 3, 2008
Al's game recap highlighted in Neyer's Wednesday Wangdoodles
It is too early to panic on Z, but Neyer is right that even without him, this is still a really good team.
Hoping for good news, sooner than later.
JB 23 - September 3, 2008
written by someone who hasn't been watching all season if you ask me
losing Z would hurt but it wouldn’t be fatal
Emelie - September 3, 2008
+1
zevkalman - September 3, 2008
Stick To The Royals, Rob
CaliCub - September 3, 2008
It is 6 - 0
mets over brewers after just 1/2 inning
brian custer - September 3, 2008
missed the extra pt eh?
Good news. Hope it holds up. So tonight everyone can see that score sitting in the inning-10 slot on that classic scoreboard, knowing they could go up 5 in the “L” column with 22 to play.
blackhawk24 - September 3, 2008
Sweet!
Itchy - September 3, 2008
Join us in the Brewers-Mets game thread
Here
wnielsen - September 3, 2008
or here
http://www.metsgeek.com/articles/2008/09/03/open-thread-mets-vs-brewers-932008/?cp=2
brian custer - September 3, 2008
I know we're worried
But I can’t help feel like The Brewers might be more panicked?
They’re on the verge of being swept by the team they will most likely face first round of the playoffs…
ak123 - September 3, 2008
They got to get there first and it's no shoe-in
They’re facing a team battling for a division while in just over a week go to Philly for FOUR games while the Cubs finish up in StL then head to Hou for three with the ’stros.
blackhawk24 - September 3, 2008
This is downright scary
Not the 4 in a row but the angst here.
Now Al used that don’t panic graphic late last season and it seemed to work, now if he can rub some cyber magic on it for the playoffs.
You know, there’s 3.5 weeks left. If Z needs the DL / rest, do it. Same for Harden. Spot start Marshall & maybe even Lieber. Take advantage of the 9/8 and 9/15 days off. I’d be MUCH more concerned if this were happening 9/23 instead of 9/3.
I really want to see D-Lee correct what I think is a flaw in his swing. Here’s to GP pulling off the big fix there.
blackhawk24 - September 3, 2008
One bright spot
Marquis has pitched decently this second half.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Right...
But he still probably won’t make it on the playoff roster.
CubsBullsBears - September 3, 2008
I was thinking more for September
We can get 3-4 quality starts out of him?
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Why not?
He sucked worse last year and he was on the playoff roster.
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Another odd note
mlb.com has Z pitching Sunday? Could be a mistake? This was added only in the last couple hours I think.
ak123 - September 3, 2008
i imaginge it will stay that way....
…until the cubs announce otherwise.
Just an assumption is my guess; I wouldn’t take it to mean anything one way or the other.
bobby h - September 3, 2008
little strange though?
ak123 - September 3, 2008
Brewers getting pounded by the Mets. Love it...
MinnesotaFan - September 3, 2008
WOW - you ain't kiddin' - 6-0 in the 4th
malicedoom - September 3, 2008
Do you think it's like Brokeback Mountain?
After a bad outing, Lou walks up to Howry’s locker and is like, “I WISH I COULD QUIT YOU BOBBY!”
PurpleLineToWrigley - September 3, 2008
+1
LOL
vonde6 - September 3, 2008
Ha, ha.
zevkalman - September 3, 2008
2 questions
1. Why wasn’t Howry DFA’ed when Wuertz was sent to Iowa? Wuertz is a much more effective middle reliever than Howry
2. Does Howry know that ball movement and changing speeds are necessary skills to be an effective major league pitcher? Apparently not, because every pitch he throws is a low 90 MPH fastball with no appreciable movement.
perseman - September 3, 2008
You do know you answered both your questions, right?
carmen_fanzone - September 3, 2008
Times like this thin the herd and shake off some posers.
O'Cub - September 3, 2008
yeah.
They all come into the game thread to troll
Emelie - September 3, 2008
Says the guy with three comments?
Oh, you must be talking about Cub fan bandwagoneers in general.
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Four Comments.
….and three replies. I’m kind of a big deal around here…
O'Cub - September 3, 2008
I'll make a note of that...
JohnM - September 3, 2008
Lee
It’s admirable of Lee to take the blame for last night’s loss (though the blame could have been parceled out to several others, as well). But something has to change in his approach.
If I make the same mistake at work so many times it becomes predictable, my boss is going to talk to me about it. I hope Lou is.
Lee is so predictable that I actually called the DP. My wife and I were watching, and she noticed the bags loaded with 1 out and DLee up. I said, “don’t worry, he’ll hit into a DP to end the inning.” Sadly I was right, just as I was when DeRosa did the same in Game 4 of the playoffs last year.
The Cubs always end up disappointing us. I’m emotionally removing myself until they’re in the World Series. Less pain that way. Last night’s game is the last I will stay up late to watch. Don’t know why I tortured myself like that.
danimal15 - September 3, 2008
Your prediction
I’m going to make an equally bold one — the sun will rise in the east tomorrow.
Sadly, most of us expected a double play, I think.
Shanghai Badger - September 3, 2008
A More Closed Stance for Derrek?
Would that get him to stop pulling so many grounders?
CaliCub - September 3, 2008
I think its mental
He just is stuck in this habit… the dude know how to hit.
SouthsideCUBSfan - September 3, 2008
Big Z's MRI came back ok
He has some tendinitis though but is traveling with the team. He will throw some side sessions and should be able to pitch soon.
ryan89 - September 4, 2008
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