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Some Let's-Take-A-Deep-Breath Analysis Of The Bradley-Silva Deal

Now that you've all had a day to express disgust, outrage, "FIREHENDRYNOW", etc. over the trade of Milton Bradley to the Mariners for Carlos Silva, let's examine how this really will affect the 2010 Cubs on the field.

We don't have to rehash the reasons that Bradley had to be moved, but it was clear after he was sent home in September that he would be, no matter what. And when that happened, it was also clear that what the Cubs would get back wasn't going to be much -- likely someone else's bad contract. And that is precisely what we got.

All of you here know that I was against the signing from the beginning -- but I'm not going to say "told you so" here, because even I never imagined that Milton would melt down in the way he would. Let's just say he was never a good fit for the high-profile team that is the Chicago Cubs, and Jim Hendry should have known that. Hendry took responsibility for the entire debacle, and you can bet that Tom Ricketts will have him on a pretty short leash for the rest of this offseason and 2010. If the Cubs don't return to the playoffs in 2010, I'd expect Hendry to be fired, and that firing would be justified. Until then, I do think Hendry deserves a chance to clean up the mess that he made.

Star-divide

So what, really, do we now have here? There has been some dispute over exactly how much financial relief the Cubs got in this deal, but according to this cubs.com article, it's $6 million. This article has the same number. So until I hear different, that's the assumption I'm going on for this post.

Let's not pretend this deal is something it isn't. In December 2009, in a vacuum, there is no way any team deals for or signs Carlos Silva, based on his performance the last two years. He's been horrific. And that might be an insult to horrific players. I'll cut Silva some slack for 2009, as he was hurt most of the year. Could be, that contributed to his poor performance in 2008 also; maybe he was hurt then and didn't tell anyone.

Silva has had, since 2004 when he became a rotation starter for the Twins, at least three seasons where his performance would have made him a capable fifth starter for most teams. In 2005, in 27 starts, he put up an ERA+ of 126 and a 1.17 WHIP. In 2007, the year that got him the four-year deal from the Mariners in free agency, he had a 102 ERA+ and 1.31 WHIP; those numbers, along with a 4.19 ERA, aren't too different from what the Cubs got from Jason Marquis in 2007 and 2008.

Can Silva do this again? The answer is, we simply do not know until we see him pitch. The Cubs claim they have good reports on him from Venezuela:

The Cubs have had scouts watching Silva in Venezuela. He has appeared in four games, striking out two and walking three over nine innings. The club will send its strength and conditioning staff down there to get Silva on a program. The right-hander did report to camp this year 30 pounds lighter.

"We'll do everything we can to get him as close to back where he was a few years ago," Hendry said.

There's no doubt that he needs to lose weight -- just look at the photo at the top of this post, which was taken April 14, 2009. Get the guy in shape, bring him to camp, and see what he can do. There were some here who thought the Cubs should just release Milton Bradley and eat the $21 million on his deal. If Silva really can't pitch any more, he could be released -- but the Cubs would only eat $15 million. Even trading for Pat Burrell would have made the Cubs eat $13 million (because the Rays weren't likely going to take any of Bradley's 2011 salary), and Burrell would have been a very expensive pinch-hitter.

At his best, Silva was a decent ground-ball pitcher who didn't walk anyone. There have been pitchers like him who have come from the AL to the NL and had success -- Bronson Arroyo, for one, or even Glendon Rusch, who had one decent year for the Cubs (2004) as a long reliever/spot starter. There were some links passed around here yesterday -- helpfully combined by Harry Pavlidis -- that indicate that Silva is a very intense player who has on occasion called out his teammates in public for not performing. Clearly, this isn't a good thing, and the only thing I can hope for is that the Cubs clear the air on this right away.

Again, this is obviously not a player you would have chosen to add to your team in a perfect world. The Milton Bradley situation was about as far from "perfect world" as you could get. The $6 million in salary relief, we hope, will allow Jim Hendry to add some help in CF (hey, how about a Ryan Church/Reed Johnson platoon?), or another starting pitcher (paging Joel Pineiro!), or a reliever like Matt Capps.

About Bradley, this portion of Paul Sullivan's article sums him up:

Bradley referred to himself as a "quiet" guy, and said people who criticize him or athletes in general are trying to make names for themselves.

"Pretty much for me, anybody deep down on the inside, looking out or looking in, you understand how PR works and media works, and how people are promoted, and how you have a bad guy and you can have a good guy," he said. "And that's just the way it is. And so I'm portrayed as however I am. It just adds to the mystique, I guess."

Yep, Milton, sure. It's always everyone's fault but yours. Bruce Miles calls you "unrepentant" and I am 100% agreed. For me, this statement by Ryan Dempster sums up the Bradley "era" in Chicago:

"It's unfortunate," Cubs pitcher Ryan Dempster said in September after Bradley was suspended. "At the end of the day, he was provided a great opportunity to come over here and be a part of a really great organization with a lot of really good guys, and it just didn't seem to make him happy, anything."

Somehow, I doubt he'll be happy in Seattle, either, but for now, I'm going to put the pitchforks down and reserve judgment till I see what else Hendry does this offseason. Let's the rest of us try to do that, too. Finally, don't forget to vote in the poll I posted on the right sidebar, if you haven't already, about this deal.

3 recs  |  495 comments

Comments

I still can't believe...

That Hendry couldn’t have signed Bradley for a 1-year, incentive-laden deal with an option for a 2nd year. He bid against himself, there was no other team out there willing to go 3 years on him.

In the end, I don’t care about Carlos Silva. If he helps the team and is a serviceable 5th starter, that’s fine. If he sucks, then release him and move on with the additional few million we saved. Let’s focus on the real issues with the 2010 team: getting Soriano and Soto back on track, keeping Aramis healthy, getting Lilly healthy, making sure Marmol can close and not walk the world, and figuring out CF.

I thik for sure we could have gotten with a two year deal

which would have made trading him this winter infinitely easier

I've talked about this before

Hendry’s bidding against himself could probably be his undoing.

Bradley wouldn't be the first time either...

Soriano, Marquis, MILES!

Soriano had other offers.
The major offer was reportedly from the Phillies...

But only 6 years max IIRC.

I believe that's correct, although...

… ISTR the Angels were offering seven.

its the little stuff at contracts hendry is really bad at as well

people don’t understand the two worst things about Hendry’s deals

1) he gives out an inordinate amount of NTC’s
2) he gives PLAYER OPTIONS and easily met incentive options that gives the player more value in the contract than the organization

He gives out NTCs

because, frequently, those players take LESS money to play for the Cubs (Ramirez foremost among them) than they could have had elsewhere.

Ramirez's NTC was a good idea

Shark’s is indefensible

I'll agree on that

Shark has done nothing to deserve an NTC. But I guess since football always was an option for him, maybe that made some sense.

We have no idea what it cost to woo him away

from not just football period, but also trying to be a two-sport athlete – and if Samardzija had tried to be a two-sport athlete, we know he’d be a bust and in football – he’s needed all this time to develop extra pitches. It’s funny that we have people crying over contracts to ML relievers, wishing we’d pour every available dollar into farm players, then complaining that we took a 10 M risk on a prospect in Jeff Samardzija who could have become a high ceiling pitcher. When you pour money into high ceiling prospects, be ready for busts.

Yeah, Deion Sanders redux

His on-field effort so far has not been worthy of an NTC, but if that’s what it took to keep him away from the NFL, so be it.

i think the funny thing

is how often people on this board take two sentiments made by different groups of people and then apply them to one group as if the group is making diametrically opposed comments

i’ve never complained about the Samardzija contract, not once.

You

really can count the Shark out, well at least for the 2010 season and maybe a bit beyond.

Shark had the leverage at the time....

…He would have been a 1st round pick in the NFL. He wanted to be a Cub and stay a Cub so he would have been foolish not to ask for a NTC

ahem

Soriano?
Zambrano?
Fukudome?
Lilly??

3 of those guys were pure FA’s who took market money not below market money and Zambrano was a re-sign who took a market contract 5-90

Isn't Z a 10-5 guy this year anyway?

Lilly’s clause is limited.
Dome took a lesser amount of $$$.

I for one...........

Choose to be encouraged by his stats vs. NL teams over the course of his career. Bradley is gone. We can choose to support Silva and root for him to have a positive impact on the staff, or, talk about how terrible of a trade this is for the Cubs.

I can recognize that this is a trade with VERY low upside for the Cubs and still hope that somehow, Silva turns out to be barely competent.

FWIW

I honestly think he’ll have a monster year with Seattle, or close to a monster year anyway. He’s now two years removed from surgery, he’s in a lower profile market, there won’t be as much pressure on him with the M’s because expectations aren’t as high as they would be for the Cubs, he could play in the outfield or as a DH, and he has a lot of people to shut up. There are a ton of motivating factors for him, and if he can use that to boost his talent up a notch, I think he’ll help the M’s challenge the Angels.

And, if he just does nothing, he may be the biggest baby and laziest player of the modern era.

I look forward to the inevitable "A statistical breakdown of where this team would be if we had MB's production" fanposts come say, late July.
This may be me being incredibly naive

but I don’t think anyone is going to do that considering the difference in the markets, IF MB does actually perform well.

I think and hope you're right

I don’t think anyone would say that any success MB has in Seattle would have been replicated, or close, in Chicago.

it will happen sadly
Silva isn't nothing.

And we should look at this as the Cubs limiting the damage of the Bradley contract…

Bradley was not going to play for the Cubs…and had $21 left on his contract. Now that mistake will only cost the Cubs $16 ($11.5 million * 2 years + $2 million buy out – $9 million from Seattle) for a player the will probably not play for them.

I can’t see how this is not an improvement. Bradley was never going to play for the Cubs again…especially after he public ripped on the organization in September.

Putting Pat Burrell on this team would have meant that the Cubs would have had to send money to TB and the Cubs would be stuck with 2 right fielders and still need a center fielder. That would have been financially much worse unless they were somehow able to unload Fukudome as well. ($13 million for Fukudome + $9 for Burrell + $5 to $7 million of Bradley’s contract…all for right field before we even had a center fielder!)

The Cubs are better off right now.

"...and had $21 left on his contract"

Geez, the Cubs were so cheap, they weren’t willing to pay the $21 to get rid of Bradley. =P

But yeah, after all the commotion yesterday, I do believe this might benefit the Cubs one way or another. Worst case scenario, he sucks, and we just release him. And we still save money. So, yeah.

Hopefully we use this money for a good CF…if not, I’d really like Joel Piniero. :D

Pineiro sounds like a good idea right now

IIRC he has a great groundball to flyball ratio that would fit well in Wrigley.

Obviously CF help is needed as well. Perhaps there’s wiggle room for Piniero and Reed Johnson to sign on. Cubs fan’s don’t seem happy with this trade but signing a fan favorite like Johnson can help change the mood a little.

However going back to pitching, I think we need one more guy. Lilly will be out in April and if I believe he always has slow starts to the season (2009 might have been good I don’t remember).

won't happen

The Cubs, even before Silva, have a lot of options for the back end of the rotation. I’m a big Gorzo fan and think he could come up huge for us next year.

Beyond that, the Cubs need to spend the money they have on things other than the rotation.

Which is why it's good that they got $6 million in salary relief in the deal.
Perhaps it's not going to be used right now

6 Million in flexibility can go a long way during the trade deadline to take on a contract…

Also true.
Which I'd prefer

There are probably a few health question marks for Lilly and even Zambrano. If an ace calibre pitcher is on the market and Cubs will eat a lot of his salary, it’s probably a better investment.

Or an actual replacement when Soriano gets injured this year for LF.

I would much rather have the flexibility

then to just spend money now because we have it

Agree.

I would almost rather the Cubs take the PR “hit” of just re-signing Reed to platoon with Fuld and otherwise standing pat. See what that roster can do and then use some of that payroll flexibility to make changes where needed.

It isn't a PR hit

Reed, well above average in left, is well below average in center. And Fuld hits lefties as well as he hits righties (minors and majors). A wash on offense and a hit on defense would be what happens with Reed going out there instead of Fuld against southpaws. And Johnson will take up a good chunk of that Seattle money, for a part timer? Pass.

Depends on how much Johnson wants.

At the right price, I’d still take him back.

As a PR "hit"

I meant that Cubs fans seem a little restless. So if the off-season changes only amount to spare parts in return for Fox/Miles & Heilman, re-signing Reed (I would do only a 1 year $1.75M deal or more incentive laden deal), and getting Silva for MB… that might not sit well. I wouldn’t have an issue with it.

it's not six mill

all at once. It’s two million now, and the other 4 million spread over the next two years, I think.

agreed

That’s what makes the deal tolerable. But Hendry won’t use the money on Pineiro.

Based on the rumors of what Pineiro is seeking (3-4 years)

I’d pass.

I'd pass on a deal that long for him, too.
I think I'd rather see the money being used to fix CF

Whether that’s Marlon Byrd (on a 2-year deal) or setting up a platoon with Reed Johnson.

With Zambrano, Dempster, Gorzelanny, Wells, Samardzija, Lilly (when healthy) and Silva, the Cubs have 7 guys they can run out to start (before any other scrap heap pickups or Spring Training surprises).

I have my doubts that Silva pitches much

beyond Ted Lilly’s return. Maybe occasionally from the pen, but knowing Lou, he won’t figure out how to use him, he’ll enter the doghouse, and will be released.

The quote from Hendry doesn’t sound really confident, either:

“We’ll do everything we can to get him as close to back where he was a few years ago,” Hendry said.

Alas, there is no magic time machine. I believe it was hidden inside the Gatorade dispenser, and was destroyed by accident. Count your cash saved and move on.

I don't read Hendry's quote that way.

I read it as “We’re going to try to make this guy better.”

No doubt.

Privately, the Cubs may expect that Silva will either be a highly overpaid reliever or someone they cut completely, but until spring training is over, they may as well do all they can to get the most out of Silva. If he’s lost 30 lbs then he’s motivated, and motivation to improve the situation is something we didn’t have with MB.

That's how...

…I read it too. Rothschild may not be Dave Duncan, but he plays a character like him on the Cubs.

High Risk-High Reward

Has MB been better in the AL? Yep. Is Seattle comparable to market size as the Rangers? Yep. Does Safeco field play to MB’s ability? Yep. So do I think that, for MB, the trade worked out? Yep. MB is a smaller market, less emphasis will be placed on him there. He will be able to work as the DH there, of course this will result in unhappy Marnier fans since this will displace Griffey. For MB, he can talk all the crap he wants but the Cubs did him a favor by trading him to Seattle.

As for Silva, let’s hope it truly was an injury that resulted in his performance in Seattle. Worst case, we have a long relief guy that sits on the end of the bench (ala David Patton) with $6M in salary relief. Best case, we have a #5 pitcher that can eat innings and keep his ERA under 5 with $6M in salary relief. Let’s plan on the worst and hope for the best.

Isn't Safeco more of a pitcher's park than either Arlington or Wrigley?
You are correct...

But since MB’s game isn’t power but getting on Base, he should be able find more gaps and that should increase his OBP.

I've wondered about that

Are there any stats that might back up the theory?

Bradley's lifetime numbers in Safeco Field

.258/.391/.506 in 110 plate appearances; 7 doubles, 5 HR, 17 RBI.

somewhat similar to his season numbers last year
So...

Real Question then:

Do I have it wrong?

Good question.

We won’t know until he plays for them.

Well since I live up in Washington State.

I’ll get to see him often, I’m actually quite interested in how he fairs up here.

The Cubs probably did MB a favor

They sent him to the most remote part of the Lower 48. Most of the country has no idea what the Mariners’ score from the previous day was.

If you want to toil in relative obscurity vis-a-vis the rest of the country, Seattle is the perfect place. (Not an insult, because I think it’s a great city.)

I'd be curious to know how true that perspective is.

Given where I’m from, Seattle is a pretty central aspect of my sports worldview (even if I loathe most of their teams). As such, I’m not in a good position to judge how much the rest of the nation follows the Northwest. I guess it wouldn’t totally surprise me if the rest of the nation didn’t really follow it all, but I’ve never really thought about it.

And you’re right Seattle (and Portland) are absolutely fantastic cities. :)

an IM with a friend of mine in Sea
Tim Coyle: good luck with the mental case known as Bradley lol
Tim Coyle: want a Cubs Bradley jersey for cheap?
Thomas George: Yeah…I heard that this morning (lol)
Thomas George: Funny. 2 days ago they were talking to Jason Bay. And we settle for Bradley (lol)
Thomas George: He won’t last long here, though
Tim Coyle: Bradley can hit, just keep the media, fans, teammates, coaches, etc away from him and he is fine
Thomas George: lol
Thomas George: He does have talent for sure
Tim Coyle: he opened his mouth and never shut up and it went downhill from there
Tim Coyle: when Derrek Lee says “we tried, but…..” that tells ya something
Thomas George: He will be the good citizen at first. But eventually it will all fall apart. It always does

I guess he and other Mariner fans are not exactly excited for Mb’s entrance into Seattle

nope...

you got it right. If he keeps his head on straight, the fans will cheer for them like they did for Jose Guillen. They also don’t dump on you just because you have a bad week or strike out a couple times. If he’s a jerk, they’ll call him on it, but that’s what he’ll have to do. As long as he gets on base, they’ll be happy. Their fans are a lot smarter than Cubs fans… and their organization actually has a plan.

I would quibble...

with how smart Mariners fans are. I don’t think Cubs fans are particularly erudite either, but Mariner fans have an unusually large number of monumentally homerish fans who seem incapable of objectively understanding baseball. Or at least that’s been my lifetime experience.

And lots of fans are more focused on the (exceptional) garlic fries and Ichi(rolls) than on the actual game.

(I realize of course that this applies to probably every team to an extent. Though some are better than others. Giants fans, for example, always seemed superior to me).

Yes, the casual Mariner fan base infamously lacks

fire and knows little about the game.

as they should be...

but don’t consider those people the real Mariners fans. Most of them are there on some kind of business or outing or whatever anyway. Mariners fan or not (and i’m sure not one of them) they have a beautiful park that has great food… and i would go there even if there was no baseball going on.

but take a trip around their blog sites and newspaper blogs, etc… they make us seem really silly by comparison. BCB looks like the stone age after going on Lookout Landing and U.S.S. Mariner. We’re neanderthals… ok… last bad analogy. I’m sure you get it. The garlic fry lovers don’t care who’s at thirdbase or in left field anyway. As long as they have Griffey, they’re good. There’s sure enough of them who know the value of Adrian Beltre and Milton Bradley and Carlos Silva. They know how much they just screwed over the Cubs… again. I’ll be there next year in my Sandberg jersey… but I know I’ll be swamped by M’s fans thanking me for taking Heilman and Silva off their hands.

Sadly the fans you see on USSMariner/LL are

in the vast minority among the fanbase as a whole.

but a higher percentage than most fan bases.

I've been lurking over at LL

and it seems most people over there are thrilled to get rid of Silva, not be because he is a bad guy but a bad pitcher. It’s like a mirror here, we are glad to get rid of Bradley, not because he is a bad player but a bad person.

They are calling the trade a salary dump for them! Is their salary less today than it was last week? Sure, but in the long run they spent more money (MB’s $21M + $6M>Silva’s $25M).

There is hope over at LL that MB will be a great hitter and how the clubhouse will control him, mmmm that sounds like something that might have been said here at BCB about this time last year. There is a few posters that are questioning the trade and how long before MB’s becomes destructive.

The interesting thing I found over there is that there seems to be a void as to who is the new bad guy of team. The put a question asking who the new “whipping boy” of the team is. They didn’t put MB as a possible answer, which bodes well for him, but the first time MB goes cold or becomes snarky with the media I have a feeling that MB will get evalate to the position by the fan, let’s hope for MB’s sake that he starts out good and keeps his mouth shut.

Not much angry toward Silva now that he is gone, just glad he is gone.

Bavasi

They’re more angry they had him in the first place… but they’re grateful to have a GM who can fix the previous GMs blunders. We’re going to need that soon.

yes...

but it’s better for lefties than righties, so Milton will benefit much from that. And since most of Milton’s value is OBP, if he just does that, the team needs that desperately with the collection of hackers they have. Their organization is smart, unlike the Cubs… they value OBP and know what to do with it. Milton also won’t embarass himself in leftfield when he has to play out there twice a week so they can get Griffey in the lineup. This trade is win-win for the Mariners.

My biggest worry

is that Silva won’t be given a chance. Ironically, it will be by the same people who whined that Bradley wasn’t given a fair chance.

Legit worry.

I’m sure the criticism of those Silva haters will go something like this: “You hate silva because he replaced your boy Bradley!”

I suspect that will be incorrect, in most cases.

The reality will have more to do with the supporters of Bradley being OK with his personality flaws as long as he produced. There is little chance Silva will produce. Those who don’t give him a chance will do so not out of Bradley love, but productive player love.

That's not irony

That’s the fact that around here the people who liked Bradley the most are the ones who appreciate statistics, and much like his Mariner teammates, statistics are not Carlos Silva’s friends.

What's not to like about statistics?

They always get along with their teammates, do not worry about fans and never are insubordinate to their managers.

Real people, on the other hand…

If he keeps his ERA under 5 and doesn't throw his team mates under the bus...

or the fans, He get’s my vote.

We shall see on an ERA under 5
I think he'll get opportunities in Spring Training

Lou has been fair about evaluating everyone in the Spring. It’s if he has a disasterous start or 7th inning meltdown that we’ll see him get fewer chances.

Correct.

Note that last spring, Aaron Heilman even got chances to start.

I don't expect anything from Silva.

If he has anything left it would be nice, but he can be stashed on the DL or Patton deep in the bullpen.

I agree with what Al said above. Hendry should have seen what most saw coming. I was glad to see him admit this yesterday.

Bradley was his usual fun self in his interview. What an ass…..

He may succeed in Seattle where there is less pressure and not so much media. It seems like another San Francisco type area where players like Bradley and Bonds are left alone. You would think he would have the mindset to stick it to the Cubs and have a great year to show them how wrong they were. But I wonder if Bradley has it in him to do this. What will it take this year to set him off? An umpire’s bad call? An idiot saying something really bad in the stands? This will happen on the road all the time. He has burnt alot of bridges along the way. Maybe a pitch coming to close to him will set him off. Who knows with him? What if any media asks him the wrong question?

I will not miss any of this crap and I am guessing most of his teamates and manager will not either.

Goodbye Milton. You were just about everything Cubs fans feared you would be and more.

It rains 75 percent of the year

Bradley is going to snap and kill a hiker before the season is over.

It only rains 60% of the year here!!!

He may only kill the wildlife before the season is over. :P

Because he percieved the racism from some moose.
It rains more in NYC than Seattle.
And Seattle gets less rain than a lot of others too.

Especially during the baseball season timeframe, I know that Portland receives less rain than 13 cities that currently have MLB teams from April to October. And I believe that Seattle is in a similar position, if I’m not mis-remembering.

Northwest summers are nicer than those in almost any other part of the country.

I think the issue is that winters are overcast every single ****ing day, along with

much of late fall and early spring.

NW summers though are the best anywhere, I must agree. Every single day is clear, sunny, no humidity, and 65-85 degrees. Mmmm.

The only time I've been in Seattle...

… was in July. It was, as you say, gorgeous. Sunny and about 75 degrees. Nice weather for a retractable roof stadium. Haven’t been there but would love to.

Washington State in general is one of the most beatiful state...

for about 2.5 months. It only gets hot here for about 2 weeks a year (90-100). It is normally 75-85 degrees in the summer and sunny.

And then….

for 9.5 months you have overcast skies and a constant drizzle. It isn’t a down pour, like you would get in Chicago, but everyday just drizzle.

In the winter time the summer comes up around 7:30 in the morning and sets around 4:30 PM. So you go to work in the dark and come home from work in the dark.

The state it self is nice, alot to do outside and the people are friendly (even though no here can drive a freaking lick) but it so damn laid back here.

I think Bradley laid in the safest place that Major League could put him.

Silva is going to suck.

I just can’t see any way where he comes in and pitches well. It’s like Sean Estes all over again.

As for Bradley, I don’t wish him well. A guy like that, he’s had enough success in his life. He doesn’t deserve success. I hope he flames out and gets cut from the roster.

I'm pretty sure that when Bradley bitched about negitive cubs fans...

… it was people like you who he had in mind.

He doesn’t deserve success.

Why? Because he didn’t hit 40 home runs? We’ve got a lot of guys with that problem. Because he didn’t get along with Sullivan? How does that affect you?

What a petty thing to say.

Ironically

Some of those who are extremely critical of Bradley do so to the point to where I wonder if put in his shoes if they too would be little Bradleys.

No...

because he’s a piece of shit, basically. The guy is just a bitter, grumpy a-hole. For a guy who came in here and wore the Cubs uniform, only to wind up trashing the fans, his teammates, his bosses, etc. why would you wish him well? Because it’s the PC thing to do? Sorry, I just don’t think that he deserves any more riches.

There's a difference between not liking a guy and wishing him ill will

I always tell the kids I work with to make sure they never go down to another person’s level if that person exhibiting bad behavior. Seems some here could use that lesson as well.

* person is exhibiting
I'm not wishing death on him...

By the time his current contract is up, he will have made over 40 million dollars. If he flames out and never plays again, it’s not like he’s going to wind up homeless. I would never wish completely extreme ill will upon someone.

But for a guy who’s paid millions of dollars to play a game? That acts like he does? Yeah, F him. I absolutely don’t wish him well in his future baseball endeavors; why would I?

Cool.

Sink down to the level of a guy you call a “piece of shit”. Play his game. Get down in the mud and sludge and prove him right! That’ll show him!

There was a dude in the thread yesterday talking about going to seattle to heckle MB. I think he backed down and was instead hoping to get tickets to a Sox game to do it, but none the less… really? This is what you’ve got to do with your time? This is how some of you guys derive enjoyment? You wouldn’t rather invest that time in money in an afternoon at Wrigley instead?

MB is an emotionally unbalanced guy with some demons he should really work out. You might have similar issues, or you might just be a jerk, but either way, spiteful statements like this make you and others like you no better than he is.

I'm with you here...

… despite our disagreements, I think you & I view this the same way. MB is gone. He’s a Mariner. Let’s move on.

I don't understand some the people blaming the fans for him being gone.

He dug his own grave.

I am so glad he is gone.

Hendry is a fool for doing the deal in the first place, but considering what the market was, he did a decent job of getting rid of him.

He also got rid of other mistakes like Miles and Heilman. Though the miles one cost us Fox.

On the other hand getting Heilman got us rid of Cedeno……..

I'm not sure what this even means
On the other hand getting Heilman got us rid of Cedeno……..

Cedeno’s contract wasn’t guaranteed, so he could have gotten rid of him for free.

Ronny

The Mariners were able to turn Ronny Cedeno into some useful players… because they have a competent GM.

Al...

until we’re not paying Carlos Silva anymore… we’re going to be continually reminded of how sorry we are he ever was a Cub. That’s just reality. I’ll move on when I am a fan of an organization that can make something out of their mistakes. Right now, I’m not.

They did, at least, save some money on the mistake.
Al...

i could care less about saving a billionaire a couple million. They’ve eroded any confidence they can take that money and do something about it. They said the same thing about going from DeRosa to Miles and Wood to Gregg… how did that work out?

And if Silva takes the mound and sucks, he could eat up some of that money… according to on-field value. No, that wasn’t a fat joke.

Well, let's see what they do next...

… before saying this was an utter disaster.

Al...

you’re more than welcome to say and do whatever you want. You won’t get that from me. I’m on record saying this was a bad move. Just like I was on record saying Miles and Gregg and Marquis were bad moves last year based off letting them plead poverty to us while padding their wallets off us all the same.

I hope I’m wrong… but I have no reason to believe I am… and you aren’t coming up with anything better than sit on your hands and smile. Being a fan for me has never meant turn my brain off and hope.

One of will be wrong later… and I’ll take odds it’s you.

I know Silva has been really bad the last two years.

However, he has had at least three major league seasons in which he has been a serviceable #5 starter.

If healthy, I see no reason that he can’t do that again.

"serviceable #5 starter"

with the lackluster and inconsistent offense and defense (and poor track record with pitcher health)… the Cubs need better than a 50% chance their #5 starter will be serviceable. I’ll go with Marshall or Gorzelanny before I leave it to those odds. At least they’re young and have upside. The upside to Carlos Silva is serviceable and way overpaid. I’ll pass.

The downside is dramatic. I see plenty of reasons why he could be even worse than he was in Seattle.

He’s a horrible fit for Wrigley Field. He’s a pitch-to-contact right hander who can’t get lefties out if his job depended on it. The Cubs are too poor of a defensive team to make use of Carlos Silva, even in a limited situation. Reports say he’s down in Venezuela getting smacked around.

Cut him tomorrow and I’m happy… it will be the first thing they’ve done this winter to improve the team. $6 million is a sure thing and I’ll take it over the small chance he could provide even neutral value in either of the next two years.

The wait and see and hope and pray approach doesn’t work for me.

If that means that Silva will come through

with a complete game shutout in September that helps the Cubs reach the playoffs, I guess it’d be worth it.

In related news, Jim Hendry is mentally ill and a danger to society and himself.

Evidence? Here: “…[N]o one could have predicted how it turned out.”

Some people believe climate change is a lie. Others believe ghosts walk among us. There are still those who believe the Earth is flat.

And Hungry Jim Hendry believes no one could have guessed that the Milton Bradley experience would turn out badly.

Please, please please, Tom Ricketts — fire Jim Hendry!

Well, he's right, in a way

Nobody would have thought it was going to be THIS bad.

Nobody would have thought he would do exactly what he has done his entire career?

This is what I don’t get about some of you. What he said about the fans, and his teammates? He’s done similar things every stop he’s been at. Its why there was a large contingent of us saying “this is a bad move, the guy is a cancer”

We weren’t just judging that based on stuff coming out of thin air. The guy threw a water bottle at a fan. He hurt his knee SCREAMING at an umpire. In some regards that’s worse than what he did here.

Let's clarify the injury with the Padres.

Bradley was hurt when manager Bud Black threw him aside during an argument with the 1B umpire. Saying "Bradley hurt himself while arguing’ just isn’t correct.

Black was trying to save Bradley from possible ejection, or worse. Had Black not taken the action he did — perhaps Bradley would have bumped the umpire, leading to a possible suspension. I doubt if Bradley would have ‘hurt’ his knee in an animated discussion with an umpire if the manager doesn’t come racing in to grab him like a WWE participant. Players argue with umps all the time. This injury is Black’s fault — he overreacted, and his actions led to an awkward fall by Bradley.

Perhaps it sounds as if I’m splitting hairs here, and I’m no fan of Bradley, but that’s a shot at Bradley which is not accurate.

I've talked myself in to this.

Granted, it took about 6 strong Seven and Sevens last night, and i’m far higher now than i’d care to admit, but here’s how i talked myself in to this:

On one side, there was the “trade bradley at any cost, cut him, whatever it takes” crew. On the other, the “keep him” guys. I was somewhere in the middle, wishing him gone, but for a healthy return. No handicapping the team financially, no crappy useless players in return for a guy who is, personality deficiency aside, fairly decent at baseball.

I do not believe this trade made the team better. I do not believe the team this morning has a better chance of reaching the playoffs than it did yesterday morning. This was not addition by subtraction, and Silva is not a player that is likely to snap back to being something that he’s rarely shown himself to be – a good pitcher… at least not any more likely than it is that Bradley would snap back to being something he’s rarely show himself to be – a reasonable dude.

All that being said, i got half of what i wanted. We got that crappy player i feared, to the point that many are suggesting simply cutting him. BUT, the team is financially better off. It may be slight ($6 million doesn’t buy what it used to on the FA market), but at least Hendry didn’t take on a Miguel Cabrera contract, right?

Anyways, at first i was skeptical. We don’t need Silva, and the $6 million probably isn’t enough to replace the production of the guy we got rid of. As i said, the team got worse. But then, epiphany! Sure, Hendry didn’t manage to meet both my criteria for a good solution to the Bradley situation… but he half met it! He got that crappy player, but the team’s financial situation actually slightly improved! He’s batting .500! Most of the previously rumored trades wouldn’t have allowed for that! Burell? Please. He’d have been sitting on the bench where Silva will be this season, but he wouldn’t have come with them dolla bills!

Again, i’m really high, so it isn’t impossible that i’ll go back to lamenting the fact that the rotation has lost Harden and added Silva, and the fact that offense has quite significantly fallen off in terms of talent unless Hendry pulls some sort of trade miracle for a CF, but in light of the “batting .500” revelation, i’m willing to withhold judgment and criticism until we see how this plays out.

So far this off season, we’ve ditched:

Miles (a good thing)
Fox (a wash, Grinch’s objections aside)
Bradley (open to interpretation)

And gained:

Silva (crap)
Rule 5’er (eh…)
$6 million (sweet)

The team is worse, but in a better position, now, to make some moves. I can wait and see.

The team may be worse

But who knows how Bradley’s presence affected everyone last year.

Dempster, Johnson and Theriot haven’t had complimentary words for him. If Bradley were on the Cubs this year I would have totally expected to read that he and Theriot got into a huge brawl off the field.

I feel if Bradley had toned down his attitude in half then he would still be with the Cubs.

We can't know how Bradley's bad attitude affected everyone...

… but i know it was nothing like this:

I would have totally expected to read that he and Theriot got into a huge brawl off the field.

He was a loner. He didn’t like to be bugged by the press or the fans. But he wasn’t running around punching dudes. While the trade worked out better than i’d expected, i still fear misinformed fans believing crap like this (as well as the power hitting fallacy) might have been what eventually pressured the Cubs in to trading him for such little return at all.

I suppose the team only has themselves to blame for these wild opinions of MB though, considering how they handled him.

Right.

I don’t think fighting with his teammates was the issue — it was rejecting any overture to be “one of the guys” and contributing to a gloomy atmosphere in the clubhouse.

Reading between lines (and in some of the actual lines, too)

it seemed like Bradley was apathetic to the teammates – it was with the coaches where the real hostility appeared.

That was in response to Theriot's comments on the radio

He was not complimentary at all. Really, if you heard what he said you’d understand where this came from.

Better position to make moves, sure...

But what’s out there? Marlon Byrd? Scott Podsednik? Rick Ankiel? This offseason is just a disaster all around.

How about Joel Pineiro?

Would that make you happy?

Wouldn't be opposed to it...

on a one year deal, if the price were right. Last year just screams contract year though.

he'll get a multiyear deal

someplace else.

He hasn’t yet… they said the same thing about Jeff Weaver coming off being a WS hero… and all he could get was a one-year deal from Seattle. Teams don’t trust pitchers leaving Atlanta or St. Louis. One year might do it, and I wouldn’t be against it. More than one year… I’m not sure about.

Oh c'mon

Jeff Weaver was a free agent after a season wtih a 5+ ERA and a couple of good starts. Pineiro pitched 220 innings, with a 3.5 ERA. There is no way he doesn’t get a multi-year deal.

You never know

I doubt anyone in 1984 thought Bob Denier was going to be a key piece in moving the Cubs from a last place team to a division winner, but he was.

Right.

And how many here thought Jim Edmonds would do anything for the Cubs? (I sure didn’t.)

Grey

might be Gray… who we got in the A’s deal… might be a worthwhile acquisition.

And the Cubs got some money in the Miles deal too.

If the Cubs compound their problems with signing Marlon Byrd to a multi-year deal, I’ll become a Mariners fan.

don't under-estimate the benefit

of getting rid of the paper weight named Aaron Miles. It is hard to think that anyone else in that 25th spot will hit below the Mendoza Line. This team IS better than v2009. I assume there are one or two moves left in Hendry.

So a better bench and a healthy Fonzi, Soto and ARam. I’m looking forward to opening day.

A good analogy for Bradley

I don’t know what most people do here for work but I for one am a manager of a department at my job. I have five people who work with me that I oversee. One of them is lazy, gives an attitude and makes my job harder.

Every day I have to focus a lot of my energy specifically on this one guy to make sure that he finishes his job so I can finish my job. It’s also affected the performance of everyone around him as they get lazier and have more of an attitude and morale goes down. And trust me, I’ve tried everything. Finally he was moved to another area of the company and giving the same headaches to someone else. Productivity has improved for our area and everyone’s attitude has improved with motivation.

A lot of ways I think of Lou and Bradley in the same spot. Perhaps Bradley’s presence really affected Lou’s management of games and how the other players performed. Just not having him around them could make a difference between day and night.

It’s really not that far fetched….

We've seen these metaphors.

Dozens of version of this very one, in fact.

There are two problems with it. First, assuming a baseball clubhouse operates anything like your department is something of a stretch. Second, by most accounts, Bradley wasn’t a clubhouse cancer, he was a clubhouse loner. His problems with fans and the press far outweighed his problems with his teammates. They didn’t seem to like him much, sure, but i suspect you are over estimating his affect on those around him.

I don't personally know what the dynamic in a major league clubhouse is.

But from comments I’ve read from several Cubs, it appears that Bradley DID have such an effect on them.

And comments from other guys made him sound great and fine.

I wouldn’t put too much stock in to the words of players who are simply supporting their teams moves to suspend and / or trade a guy. Fox was traded and said nice things about MB. I wouldn’t put too much weight in that either.

I’m not trying to claim he wasn’t a dick, and i’m not trying to claim that the clubhouse won’t be more pleasant without him. I just don’t get the celebration over the now improved chemistry.

Its not something that we can quantify, and being that baseball is the most individually based sport of the major “team” sports we enjoy, its hard to believe this change alone will account for the X number of wins we need over last year in order to make the playoffs.

I just don’t put the same weight on this stuff as everyone else i guess. All other things even, i’d obviously prefer the nice guy on the team… but all other things aren’t even here. Its a good thing we got that $6 million, because chemistry’s dubious effect on the team aside, the Cubs got worse yesterday.

My point is...

… you almost never hear comments like the ones made by Cubs players about Bradley after he left. Usually they say nothing. That was about as close as I have ever heard a major league player come to saying that a teammate was a bad guy.

Also, Bruce Miles reported that players broke into applause after Hendry announced MB was being sent home.

I agree with you that the $6 million will be useful.

Usually it isn't such a big deal.

With the season effectively over at that point, the center of all north side baseball talk was Bradley. Every question the players were getting was about Bradley. What were they supposed to say, “he’s a great guy and my team shouldn’t have suspended him”?

Other players, both with the cubs and with other teams, have also come to his defense. The fact is, nobody here directly knows what he was like in the clubhouse, nobody here knows what effect his attitude actually had with respect to on field success, and nobody knows how anybody on the team ACTUALLY felt about him. The average quote from an athlete includes about 90% fluff and cliche, and about 10% semi-useful information. I have no doubt that Lou is relieved and that the clubhouse will be looser. I just don’t believe that’s what’ll get the team back to the playoffs.

The ‘addition by subtraction’ folks are placing a lot of hope in something that can’t be measured, explained, or counted upon to affect wins and losses. All the speculation here about how the improved clubhouse chemistry is going to be the redemption of this team in 2010 is likely to leave a lot of folks disappointed.

There's no doubt that...

… improved performance from Soriano, Soto, etc. and a full healthy year from Ramirez will mean much more to this team’s playoff chances than some unmeasured “clubhouse chemistry”.

Nevertheless, a better atmosphere can’t hurt.

I hope (and think) that Soriano, Soto, et al...

will have a better season next year.

As one of the people who didn’t believe that our only option was to dump Bradley, I suspect it’s going to become tiresome how many folks will claim vindication that the reason for their return to success is because Bradley is no longer on the team, despite the fact that there’s probably little correlation, let alone causation.

(The only silver lining is that if I’m faced with that sort of annoying commentary, it’ll at least mean that Soriano, Soto, et al are indeed having better years).

Perhaps

But I was really thinking about the whole “Cubs have to get rid of him” attitude and that’s where the analogy came from. While I’ll never be in a ball-players shoes my job is in the high-pressured TV industry. And when you have someone working with you that holds up getting a show on live TV being finished, it’s hard.

It's all about the money

As I have said from the start to deal Bradley ( and I thought keeping was a better option but I realized it was not going to happen) the Cubs should simply find out who would offer to pick up as much of the contract as possible ( which I actually guessed at 5 million so close). Silva is a warm body , albeit a big one. Is there a remote chance he could be useful, I suppose but I would put that at the level of inviting Rusch or Mike Hampton ( Ok minus the fact Hampton is again out for 2010) to Spring Training. He had one and half good seasons a few years ago and has been the single worst pitcher in the MLB since then and is doing poorly in winter ball. He is window dressing for Hendry but I don’t have a problem with that. Again let’s not pretend that Silva is likely to be any good at all but accept that 6 million in savings was about as good as the Cubs could get.

Silva is a warm body , albeit a big one.

Line of the day.

"Are the #Cubs really worse off with Carlos Silva?"

Yes.

You don't know that yet.

Come back and tell me that after some actual games have been played.

Al...

How about we say we actually think and then admit we’re wrong later, if we have to? I choose not to let fate decide my thinking for me.

The Cubs would be better off cutting Silva and thanking the Mariners for the extra $6 million they can waste on their next free agent boondoggle.

Me, I'd rather see if the man can still pitch first.

On December 19, we have no way of knowing that.

Al...

I don’t think he ever could. I railed against the signing when the Mariners did it based off a good year following a bad year. He’s had as many atrocious seasons as he has had solid or mediocre. He certainly is a horrible fit for the Cubs and Wrigley Field.

I’m no longer giving away my optimism for nothing… they have to earn it. Acquiring Silva and pleading poverty to me ain’t going to cut it.

Well feeding and housing him in Spring Training won't cost THAT much

so let him come there but othewise look forward to having 6 million to spend next year.

here's the problem with this argument Al

we have no way of knowing if Milton might have held a team meeting in which he apologized to everyone, made some friends and had a fantastic season.

History says none of that would have happened. Much like history shows Carlos Silva will AT MOST not be horrendous.

going out and defending Silva with a “lets wait and see what happens” approach seems a bit silly considering your stance on Bradley.

And I’m with you on Bradley, he needed to go, but I’m willing to admit that if Silva is anything but a back of the bullpen arm, we’re most likely in a lot of trouble.

but if this were before the trade and that question were "Are the #Cubs really worse off with Milton Bradley?"

you would say “yes”, wouldn’t you?

And let’s say someone had said to you “You don’t know that yet. Come back and tell me that after some actual games have been played.” What would your response be to that?

He is David Patton at worst.

What’s wrong with sticking him on the end of the Bench?

At worst we are no better, with $6M extra. At best, we got a #5 pitcher with $6M extra.

What's wrong with that

is that takes up a valuable roster spot that could be given to a useful player.

Well since he hasn't thrown one pitch in the 2010 season

let’s keep the “he is worthless” comments down. If he is in the rotation with a ERA north of 6, and burns up our pen every time he pitchs, or gives up a win every time if he pitchs, then I’ll agree. Till then I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt.

I wasn't saying he's worthless

I was responding to your suggestion of sticking him on the end of the bench making him, in effect, less than worthless.

I'm still hopeful for next season not sucking.
Listening to Talking Baseball on ESPN1000

Bruce Levine is saying Hendry made the best of a bad situation. And for like the 10th time, he’s thrown Ankiel’s name into the mix for the Cubs. Not sure if he’s speculating or what …

Who knows?

But I agree with Levine that this was about the best Hendry could have done — save $6 million. I imagine that likely pleased Hendry’s boss, if nothing else.

I hope the Cubs, at least ...

look hard at Ankiel. He’s left handed, could hit fifth or sixth and has some upside. OTOH, I know that he’s coming off an injury, not wonderful in center AND represented by Scott Boras.

What about Brett Gardner?
Is he a middle-order bat?

Also, are the Yankees actually shopping him, or are we just guessing that they will because they got Granderson?

Don't need middle of the order

I think our 3-4-5 hitters are covered. We need a table setter. We need a lead-off hitter.

disagree completely

Ideally, we get an Adam Dunn-type player who can hit between Ramirez and Soriano. That allows Fukudome to lead off in a lineup like this

Kosuke
Theriot
Lee
Ramirez
Dunn like player
Soriano
Soto
Baker/Fontenot

frankly ...

I think that’s what the Cubs would have done with Granderson.

I guess you are right...

I would prefer to see Kosuke in #2 with Theriot hitting like #7 or #8. I would much rather have a prototypical lead-off hitter. But that’s just my thoughts

So ... Podsednik?
Please no.

PLEASE NO.

seriously ...

what about a Podsednik/Johnson platoon, depending on the money? Fuld would be the fifth outfielder …

Actually...

I won’t be adverse to that in CF.

It's an interesting idea

It sends Kosuke back to fifth or sixth, though …

Put Kosuke in five

Then you get:

Pod/Johnson
Theriot
Lee
A-Ram
Kosuke
Sori
Soto
Fotenot/Baker

I could actually live with that line-up

Kosuke

There’s no justification for batting him behind Lee and A-Ram… he bats third in this scenario. Batting him fifth will not work unless Soriano and Soto are on top of their game… and if that’s the case, you can really pick this lineup of a hat and it won’t matter

If you're going to platoon with Johnson...

… Podsednik is not the best choice. Gardner might be.

there's nothing but speculation that says Gardner's available

The Cubs showed interest in Melky.

I guess i could get down...

… with a one year contract. Last season was, by most measurements, his second best season ever. The two before that were atrocious.

That doesn’t happen to 33 year old dudes. I’d be fine with a year, hoping he could play an Edmonds like role. Anything beyond that, no way. We don’t want this guy when he’s 35 or 36.

Pods wants a three-year deal

… according to this, http://chicagocubsonline.com/archives/2009/12/cubsrumors12199.php. Byrd only wants two years, it says. Hmmmm.

Pods wants three years?

What planet is he living on?

Doesn't he know he's not that good anymore?
he was good last year
He had a 98 OPS+

… and a 69% success rate stealing. He was a little below league average. No thanks on Scotty Pods.

yeah, I'm not a big fan

But if he WERE cheap ,,,

Good enough to get a contract: probably

Good enough to get a contract that’s three guaranteed years: DEFINITELY NOT

oh, agreed

I’m just saying he had a decent year. Good was probably too strong.

You see his BABIP?

He was very, very “lucky” at the plate.

One where he's traded for Carlos Lee

and it’s considered a good deal?

pure lunacy.....Pods is lucky to be a ML baseball player

….a weak one dimensional player at best.

DO NOT WANT under any circumstance

I would puke/cry/scream/punch something...

If we signed Pods. He sucks. Can’t field, can’t throw, can’t hit (can slap at the ball), and is a terrible baserunner. I’d much rather have Fuld/Johnson, even though that isn’t an ideal situation either.

"Dunn-like" players

don’t really exist, except for in the form of one man on the Nationals roster. He’s a very unusual type.

Besides the fact that there is only one Dunn, the Cubs don’t need more defensive liabilities.

The Cubs, ideally, would get

a left handed RBI guy to hit fifth. Hence “Dunn-like”. I wasn’t talking defense.

We tried that for two years in a row now.

Neither turned out the way we wanted. Can we go one offseason without getting more Lefthanded?

the stratgy wasn't wrong ...

the implementation was.

What is sad is Dunn was available......instead we got bradley.....
OK

next time, say that. It makes your point more clear and more reasonable.

you're the only one who found it unreasonable
The Yankees have Cabrera, Granderson and Gardner.

One of the Cabrera-Gardner duo seems destined to go.

do we know they're shopping them?
Rumors of Gardner a while back

I’ve heard from many Yankee fans two different stories about him:
1) He’s not given a chance to shine as he has a great future.
2) He’s a bum who should be in AAA

Sounds like Cubs fans with every prospect too :-)
Rumors started in the Winter Meetings once Granderson was acquired.

I think the Yankees would rather move Swisher first, but the Cubs might be able to get Gardner. He’s an upgrade over Fuld, IMO, though I don’t know if he’s an everyday player.

Why would the Yankees trade Gardner over Swisher?

Gardner is under salary control. Sorry, this sounds like speculation on the part of fans and media.

Swisher can hit for power, for one.

Gardner may be no better than a 4th outfielder to the Yankees (he’s currently third on the their CF depth chart and not listed on a corner), and if they can flip him for something, they would be better off.

Swisher is a corner OF who is expendable if the Yankees resign Damon, more than likely, with Cabrera moving to RF.

A Gardner/Johnson platoon might work.
Al

Gardner is Sam Fuld. I like him but we’ve already got him.

Gardner is a better player than Fuld.
not by enough to trade for him

unless we basically give up nothing useful

What about Johnny Damon?

His value is now dropping, quickly. It’s possible he may sign with anybody to make sure he has a gig.

I could see an Ankiel/Johnson platoon.

Wouldn’t necessarily love it, but I could see it happening.

exactly....if you think about it

…there is only upside for the Cubs with Silva. You had to make the move (we have to assume this was one of Hendrys only options) and got cash back for a CF. The expectations for his performance are extremly low. If he loses the weight, gets in to shape and pitches decently this could work out much better than it appears on paper today.

With Reed We Succeed

…just ask Ted Lilly! I really don’t see the harm in letting Reed have the everyday CF job. We’ve seen his solid (sometimes spectacular) defense and he can handle the bat. But I guess we’d still need a lead-off guy, huh?

No, no, no, no

Reed Johnson is not the starting centerfielder for a playoff team.

Why not?
well ...

it’s not impossible that the Cubs make the playoffs with Reed in center. But the following would ALSO have to happen:

1) Reed would have to stay healthy, something he hasn’t done in two years in Chicago.
2) We would have to find a middle order bat (preferably left handed) who can hit fifth or sixth to play second. I don’t want Reed hitting 3-4-5-6.
3) Soriano AND Soto would have to bounce back to 2008 levels.

I agree

but he should be fairly inexpensive and could be platooned, perhaps with the likes of Sam Fuld. I know this isn’t ideal, but it might help save a buck or two so we can find a top shelf setup guy/closer. Reed could hit 1, 2, 7, 8.

I think Reed wants a multiyear deal

Unless my memory is off.

I think you're right

but what’s wrong with 2 years at 2 million per?

he wouldn't take it, for one thing
Also...

… Johnson can’t hit righthanders.

Assuming the money coming along with Silva is $6 million

then the savings is only $2 million not the $6 million that people are mentioning. People seem to be missing the extra $2 million owed Silva to buyout 2012.

Everything I've read...

… says the Mariners are giving the Cubs $9 million.

OK, the latest (non-Muskat) article is reporting the new gain of $6 million for the Cubs
All those in favor of an easy to like 2010 team that gets along, say AYE!
All those in favor of a winning team in 2010 over one that's easy to like, say AYE!
OK, AYE to that too!
How about...

… a winning team AND one that’s easy to like?

odds are winning will lead to likability
other way around
argh

cut myself off

“is what other people would lead you to believe” was supposed to be the text

'09 Cubs were...

Unlikeable and bad, so something’s gotta give.

What about Damon :D

He can lead off and play CF

Let's just leave it as

“He can lead off”

I'd take him over Pods
you'll have to pay a bunch more

just sayin’.

yes

but besides his defense, what really isn’t there to like?

He can lead off and has some power
He has post season experience with both the Sox and Yanks
he could regrow that awesome beard and make it marketable here

he's too expensive
Anything to add to our OBP.

That’d be Onfield Beard Percentage, friends. And i believe its 30x more important than any “chemistry” we hope to achieve.

$ is the first and most prominent reason...

But his power is also questionable. His splits show he hit 17 of his 24 HR were at the little league field the Yankees call home. Home OPS: .915. Road OPS: .795.

And that is all with All-Stars hitting in front of and behind him. Also behind him: the ability to play CF daily.

If Damon would take a 2 year deal at $6M per, I could live with his bad defense. Anything more is an overpayment.

I am down with the beard, though.

Also behind him: the ability to play CF daily the OF.

fixed

I was wondering about Damon also...

Anyone think he’s got enough left in the tank for another run in center?

No.
In depth response there Al

The insightful explantion is very enlightening :P

Simple and easy. The best answer I would so

LOL

Well, you asked if anyone thought Damon had anything left. My answer is “no”. Others may disagree.

You think not?

In a smaller outfield at Wrigley? He wanted 26 mil for 2. The Yanks said no. He said 20 mil. They said no. 2 years, 12 mil — I think he could provide enough output to cancel out defensive problems.

If his price continues to plummet, I’d really consider him as a viable option.

damon can barely play LF
No.

See my post above, though that has more to do with his bat and contract demands.

2006 is the last year he was a regular in CF… so no, I don’t think he has enough left in the tank. Particularly at the price he wants.

Terrible defensive CF'er.
Help a brutha understand the contract math on Silva/Bradley please

In reading the Cubs.com article, Silva is owed $25M and Bradley $21M. They gave us $6M. Isn’t our net only $2M? Why do we all keep saying we gained $6M? Is it because of Silva’s Buyout option? I’m stumped.

The net is $6 million

They’re covering the difference and giving $3 million each year on top of that.

Thanks --you're right

Mid article it states that after taking both contracts into account, $6M was added. Thank you!

Matt Capps on radio ...

“I want to be in a winning environment.” Guess the Nats are out. But, “Just as good a chance of me being a Cub as anywhere else.”

I read the Rockies are also interested in Capps.

But he wouldn’t be the closer there, either.

Capps' wife wants to come to Chicago

Matt says.

That could give the 2010 Cub pitching staff...

… three members of the 2009 Pirates staff.

sounds worse when you say it like that

:)

Well, look at it this way.

Maybe we got all the good ones.

If we are picking players based on their wives...

… than i’d like to fully throw my support behind Podsednik after all.

HELLLLOOOOOOO!

Can we Bring back DeRosa then

His wife is hot .

Peppermint Patty, is that you>

Crikey.

The $ amount

that is getting tossed about is a bit off. The Cubs got 9 million 3 million of which doesn’t apply to our payroll because it cancelled out the difference in the contracts. So that gave us 6 million in payroll space split between two years. On top of that there is a 11 or so option for 2012 that I cannot imagine the Cubs ever triggering. So instead they will have to pay Silva a 2 million dollar buyout. So in total the Cubs saved 4 million spread between two years. Not quite as great as I thought yesterday but I guess that was as good as Hendry could do.

Hendry's biggest mistake

aside from signing Bradley in the first place, was suspending him for the final 15 games. This effectively killed any leverage he might have had in a trade. Every other GM knew that the Cubs painted themselves into a corner. That is why Tampa refused to absorb much of the 2011 season, and why the Cubs inevitably had to take Silva back.

What could Hendry have done? Put MB on the DL for the rest of the season. The guy had pulled himself out of a game not long before, and his history of injuries wouldn’t have raised even one eye brow had the DL move.

I used to defend and support Hendry, especially after some really good moves in 2003 and 2004.

However, I can’t support him anymore, and I agree Ricketts has him on a very short leash.

You are about to recieve...

… an onslaught of “the rest of the league already knew we hated him, so it didn’t matter!!!” comments.

You could try to convince those people that the suspension was an unnecessary move (we paid the guy anyways, as what MB “did” wasn’t a suspend-able offense, so really it wasn’t as much a suspension as a time out) that only further signaled our desperation to get rid of him, but they won’t listen. You could try to compare it to what the team did to Sammy’s value in his last days, but it will fall on deaf ears.

Some people are of the belief that MB was SUCH a bad dude that getting him out of Wrigley was worth tanking his value, even though at the point that he was suspended, there was literally no chance the team was going anywhere anyways. There was no season to save, no final playoff push to make. It was a pointless move that could have been done differently any number of ways (and in doing so, may have gotten us, say, $8 million instead of $6), but it is what it is. The PR points the team scored justified it all to the guys in charge, i suppose, and a good number of fans seem to agree.

Oh well.

No need for an onslaught

The league already knew it was a disaster.

And no the Cubs couldn’t stash him on the DL. Putting a player on the DL in September would have raised flags. With the expanded rosters, DL moves in September are rare.

Alfonso Soriano went on the DL last September.

Bradley had known knee issues. They could have done it.

But much like the issue with Sori

The player has some say in whether they go on the DL.

So the Cubs couldn’t just “stash” MB on the DL. If they tried, you can GUARANTEE MB would have come out and said something to the effect of: “uh… I can play… they don’t want me around. Oh, and you all hate me!”

If the player feels like they are healthy, the union could file a grievance.

So, for MB, the DL was not an option, IMO.

(PS: some/much of this is response to the general topic rather than just Al in particular.)

There are shades of gray.

This isn’t a “everything is great” or “its literally impossible” and you can only choose one sort of situation. Each step, each issue, each story piled on a little more. That suspension only made what was already bad, worse. It was unnecessary.

Silva Bells

The great thing about Silva is no one has ANY real expectations for him to contribute much of anything, so anything we get from him will…what, make it seem better than it is?

More than I fault Hendry for signing Bradley at that contract, I think some blame can be place in Hendry shedding two popular players in Wood and DeRosa and one effective player in Marquis, and then putting ALL the onus of taking us to the next level on the shoulders of MB. There was no other significant signing to take the pressure off of Bradley, unlike how the Mariners have acquired him.

+1

Bradley won’t be the focus in Seattle, he’ll share it with Cliff Lee and other newcomers.

Like Corey Patterson?
True

Bradley can’t be the focus. He does not have mental capacity to handle this. He is NOT a leader.

Say what you want about losing Wood and DeRosa, but those two were always taking the heat and questions from the press. Not many did that last year. So Bradley got added attention.

Has anyone actually looked at

Marlon Byrd’s stats beyond his 20 bombs last year?

His walk rate dropped from 10.2% to 5.5%, killing his OBP in the process 50 some points.

Despite a decent smattering of bombs and doubles, he posted his lowest OPS since 2006. His serviciable OPS’s between .808 and .842 all were in the bandbox that is The Ballpark in Arlignton. In fact, his slugging all but disappeared on the road last year (.538 at home, .419 on the road). He hit 14 of his 20 bombs at home.

His K rate went up, though its around his career average. Contact rate dropped.

Oh, and he’s turned 33 next August.

I'm fine with the notion of withholding ultimate judgement on the deal....

until we see the entirety of the Cubs offseason moves.

But the whole conversation would be much more palatable if we could at least dispense with this wishful nonsense where we can’t admit that all signs point to Silva sucking horribly. Could he be next year’s NL Cy Young? Sure, I suppose it’s theoretically possible. But we have a large amount of statistical evidence from which we can infer that Silva is not a good pitcher. Consoling ourselves in an argument that maybe Silva is a diamond under all that coal is frustratingly silly and flies in the face of actual evidence. We don’t need to play all the games next year to evaluate what his Silva’s past performance suggests.

Obviously if Silva does pitch for us, I hope he finds some magic spark. But I’m not going to use that hope as some sort of argument for why this deal has or has not worked out well for the Cubs. Evaluate it on its actual terms.

Ankiel, Pods, Byrd
None give the Cubs anymore wins
Fuld starts in 2010

too funny

Ha…you say lets get the guy in shape…but if he doesnt have the pride or work ethic to do it…How are you going to make him..i mean the guy gets paid 30 million to pitch ,and now your telling me we need to send coaches down there because hes to F n lazy to stay in shape..I dont want to hear about this guys craptastic numbers when he was with the twins either…because last time i checked we were not going to be playing to 2005 season this year…talking about this dude coming back getting into form…what a joke.I just dont get it..hendry ive stuck by you,when a lot of people have trashed you,but this move makes no sense!! This guy sucked last year hes going to suck this year i dontr need to wait to see how this plays out because it wont..he dont even make the roster.bet money on that…Anyway im done and as a cubs fan im not happy…stupid ass moves and bad contracts all the time,,, You are not getting any of money this year. so have fun paying this F n train wreck but im not. FUCK!

Byrd, Ankiel, Pods

“F” all of these guys. Use the extra 5 mil we picked up to offer Holiday more than the Cards. Move Sori to RF ( I know he will suck there but he also is terrible in LF. At least he has the arm to play RF.) Sign Reed J. for a year to platoon with Fukudome in CF. Keep Fuld as a 5th OF’er and late inning defensive replacement. I know this won’t happen but wouldn’t it be nice to see Ricketts step up to the plate?

eric hanna

is that you?

It seems that Sori can't handle change very well.

He needs 24 hours notice to play, remember.

Move him out of the leadoff spot and he bitched. Moved from 2B, he threatend to quit the Mats.
Move to CF by the Cubs, hit .200 until he got his way.

That said, I completely agree with what you said. He has the arm, but will suck the same in RF as he does in LF. He makes me wish for the DH in the NL. It would be nice to get a slugger in the OF because Dome is not one. I like him as a CF bat better.

At the end of games under your plan, we could still have Fuld, RJ, and Dome in the OF. That is of Sori is ok with that.

He has the arm, but will suck the same in RF as he does in LF

you forget that wrigley’s RF is harder to defend than LF

Then he will be worse in RF, which is saying something....
I know of only one guy on here who thinks he is a good LF.

I cringe everytime a ball is hit to LF.

$140 million isn't stepping up?

I love all these people who somehow think the Cubs should have an unlimited salary.

They have spent the money, especially compared to how it used to be.

It is just a matter of how well they spend the money. Hendry has issues with this sometimes.

first time MB has a monster game and Silva has a bad one

BCB will be flooded with people complaining about the trade, just watch,.,

There are maybe 5 people here who would do that.

The same ones who wanted him to stay in the first place.

not true

either you are trying to take a jab at a few of us here, or you have not read enough of some of the posters here.

Both, i'd guess.
So you think more than 5 would be crying for Bradley back?
wanting Bradley back (or not)...

…will have more to do with how Byrd/Pods/Damon/Reed/Fuld/Bret/Melky/Sosa do than with how Silva does.

I don't care if he hits .400

I would never want him back. If some of the people who wanted him gone change their mind only to rip Hendry, that is stupid.

Posters should know right now that Silva sucks. It was the price to pay to get rid of the jerk. At least we got some financial relief from it.

You should be pretty happy with the deal. We didn’t release him and made some money back in the deal rather than pay him to play elsewhere.

Do you not believe that some, maybe not you Andrew, but others like Drew or Tim will be letting us know that Bradley is having a great year? I hope he does, I hope he gets his life straight. But do it in Seattle, nice and far away from Chicago.

actually you continue to be wrong

I was a supporter of a Cub who was known for his offense, and I knew not to expect him to be a gold glover. Why you continue to make blatant ignorant and incorrect posts about how i love MB i do not understand.

My love for MB does not equal your love to hate JH. I have told you this many times, and each time i do, you pull a BLou and ignore the facts.

I do not hate JH. Just do not think he is right guy for the job.

MB was a known asshole from the get go. If you did not see this coming you are as bad as Hendry.

Why would anybody NOT want to know updates on how Bradley does in Seattle?

His success or failure there does, in a small way, reflect on Hendry.

Yes, i’m sure we’ll get updates. I look forward to them.

I don’t see your point.

How long will you continue to misrepresent others' viewpoints?

I haven’t seen anyone who simply wanted Bradley to stay. I for one didn’t want to trade Bradley for garbage if there was any chance at reconcilliation between him the team and his teammates.

We won't

have to wait long for Silva to have a bad game. He seems to have just about cornered the market on bad outings…

He sucks bad, he will blow a game quick

Still not worth Bradley…..

Even if Bradley has a great year, does anyone truly see him doing the same thing for the Cubs?

Reed

in left, Fuld in CF and Fukdome is RF is a pretty damn good OF.

Defensively, maybe.

Though we don’t really have enough data to figure out where fuld is defensively.

Offensively? That’s a terrible outfield.

not to mention

with a brick wall, i would be worried for Reed/Fuld who never give up on a ball. I like them both as platoon/bench role players not for a starter all season long.

Getting rid of Milton meant eating a shit sandwich

And the form of that shit sandwich is Carlos Silva, who is a very bad and awful and wretched and terrible pitcher of many times magnitude.

What will happen is this….the Cubs will bury Silva on the disabled list with some trumped up injury in 2010.

Again with the predicitons. Do you feel some sort of obligation to always tell us "what's going to happen"?

Because your track record with predicting what happens is really really bad.

he is Nostrwrongamus
Sandy Alerson FTW
If it were me...

…then I’d see about swinging a deal for Brent Gardner in New York. The Yankees are in the market for bullpen arms. Not sure therefore what we could do, but Gardner would be a good reasonable addition. He can play good defense, runs well and has some upside potential with the bat. Not a star in the making by any stretch, but VASTLY superior to any of these other brain-dead options being proposed.

Let's be honest

Carlos Silva is bad. No, Carlos Silva is horrific as a major league pitcher. He’s give-up-well-over-a-hit-per-inning bad. In fact, when the best thing you can really say about his ability at this stage of his career is that he doesn’t walk many guys, that’s not exactly a ringing endorsement for him helping this club.

Let’s not fool ourselves here. Chances are beyond good that Silva doesn’t pitch more than 50 non-mopup innings for the Cubs in 2010. Not effective innings mind you, just more than 50 innings where he’s not thrown out there to do anything but get you to the ninth-inning of a blowout. I don’t think there is any reason to even remotely consider that he’ll do more. He’s really that bad.

And if that’s what he’s going to do, they’re better off cutting him and letting Parisi do it. There’s a chance he’ll give you some value in the future.

Bad contract

Bradley is past tense for the Cubs. Silva is the reality for now. There is nothing to do except hope that Silva contributes. They should give him a chance because there is currently a position open in the rotation.

A pessimistic outlook is about having a roster spot taken by somebody who both can’t pitch in the majors and gets $15 million of Cub money over 2 years. Patton was a blocker but didn’t make that much.

This is still a team relying on players, who underperformed last year, to perform better this coming season.

I don’t think we will ever know how much responsibility Hendry should take for misfires. Ricketts and company should do what they think is necessary to avoid more misfires.
   

Why all this stressing over Silva?

The deal wasn’t for him. It was for $6 million to spend on somebody who will help us.

If we release Silva tomorrow, we’re still ahead.

…because with every bad inning he pitches, the Cubs have to make up that value somewhere… and that eats into the $6 million in savings from the deal. If they release him tomorrow, they’re doing the right thing. If they spend that money on a multi-year deal for Marlon Byrd, then it’s a wash, if we’re lucky. I want Jim Hendry to cut Silva today and save our next competent and intelligent GM the hassle of doing it… and not commit any of those “savings” past this year.

If he wants to keep his job (1. higher someone smarter to help him understand when a smarter GM is screwing him and 2. stop doing deals with the Mariners.), he’ll take Silva and the $9 million, add in whatever value he needs to (some extra cash or players) and turn him into something valuable. So, he can then turn around and say, “look what I got for Bradley.” Tough luck doing that since even horrendous GMs won’t think Silva is worth $15 million for 2 years. But if he could pull it off, then I’d be impressed by Mr. Hendry. And it’s been a long time since I could say that.

(it's not 6 million)

(its 5 million)

nope...

it’s $6 million.

nope.

Go to Cott’s and look up the numbers yourself.

Also, you're mistaken about Silva's contract.

Silva is owed 11.5 million for 2010 and 2011. That is 23 million. He has an option for 2012, which is 2 million. That money is guaranteed. The total is 25 million.

The mariners are sending over 9 million. 25 minus 9 equals 16. Therefore, silva isn’t getting paid 15 over 2 years by the cubs. He’s getting 16 million.

Believe whatever you want.

It’s $6 million. I prefer to believe the reporters who have all reported this amount, rather than you.

Please look at Cott's Contract website

Or Heyman’s article. Both list that Bradley was set to make 21 mil.

The 6 million figure is wrong. Instead of brushing off what I’m telling you, look into the facts themselves.

Great.

So I should believe you instead of multiple published reports?

Tell me another funny story.

No, you should believe facts

and realize that errors can be made. You’ve chosen to ignore that Heyman in his article said that Bradley was owed 21 m. Look it up yourself. I’m not making up these numbers. Look at their contracts. I’m not making this up. This is easily verifiable. Bradley makes 21 mil. Silva makes 23 mil plus a 2 mil buyout. That equals 25 million dollars.

You don’t need to be rude to me for pointing out a mistake.

Here’s a published report from seattle that verifies its 5 Mil.

Speaking of math, the math in that article is wrong.
The money remaining on both contracts is similar. Bradley has $22 million left on his contract (not $21 million as earlier reported) — $9 million in 2010, $13 million in 2011. Silva has $25 million remaining — $11.5 million in ’10 and ’11, with a $2 million buyout on a 2012 option. The Chicago Tribune reported that the Mariners will send $9 million to the Cubs — that accounts for the $3 million difference in salary, plus another $5 million.

Note, it says Bradley is due $22m. Silva is due $25m. Cubs are getting $9m, and there’s $3m difference in salary.

Voila, $6 million. I will try to get independent confirmation of this.

Stone

is a very good writer… but wouldn’t be the first time he’s made a typo. Yet another reason why you should use multiple sources before you come online and tell someone they’re wrong.

Just going solely off your quote block there...

I’m confused:

The Chicago Tribune reported that the Mariners will send $9 million to the Cubs — that accounts for the $3 million difference in salary, plus another $5 million.

5+3 is not 9.

Was that your point? Or am I being obtuse?

That was my point, actually.
Btw...

How did Bradley end up with $22 million next year? I was pretty positive that it was a $4mil signing bonus, $5 mil for the first year, $9mil for the second, and $12mil for the third (with 4+5+9+12=$30mil).

How’s that extra million get in there? (I’m not disagreeing with your numbers, I’m just wondering how it ended up having an extra million. Was there an incentive that I missed?)

I remember hearing about some discrepancy between numbers reported by various sources.

However, the $22m figure appears to be correct.

Do you know the source on it?
Thanks.

I’m sure it’ll all make sense to me once we get further along.

I know that Carrie Muskat’s article over at Cubs.com lists Bradley’s salary as $21million as well, which only added to my confusion (seemed like no one would make up their mind about it. :)). And the official press release didn’t specify the monetary details.

I am more focused on CF

whatever we get from silva is a bonus. Hendry got some payroll flexibility here so make more moves. dont forget the heilman and miles trade also freed up some money. now i know Church has been discussed alot here, but is there anything out there to back up Cub interest in him? i think he’d be a nice addition to the outfield. I would also prefer Ankiel, but really all I have heard is Byrd. Anything else out there? please?

I just wish we really had Felix Pie right now

He would fit so perfectly in CF. That trade for Olsen then swap for Heilman today just makes me feel sick..

Am I bad at Math?

I keep seeing well, they got 6 million from the Mariners. If Bradley’s contract is worth 21 million and Silva contract was worth 25 million, and the cubs get an extra 6 million does that not mean that cubs affectively have 2 million in additional revenue vice the 6 million I keep hearing about. I guess they could choose to gamble all of the 6 million this year knowing that Lee and Lilly are coming off the books next year.

they got 9 mill

but part of that is used to offset the salaries

What I read on Cubs.com

is that they got Silva and 6 million. I have yet to see an article that states they got Silva and 9 million.

Hey guys, first post from Mike Fontenot and Ryan Theriot country........

been following the Cubs for over 30 years and I think one thing is being missed in all this discussion………..even if SIlva absolutely sucks and is as bad a clubhouse cancer as that other idiot is (I don’t even want to say his name) we only have to deal with him on the field every 5 or 6 days MAX. That in itself makes the deal worthwhile to me, although I was screaming like a banshee last year for a one year deal for Adam Dunn….his stick woulda looked damn good crushing balls out onto Sheffield.

On the CF situation, Hendry needs to get someone there who’s a legitimate threat on the basepaths. Pods would have been a good choice a few years ago but I think anything more than a one year incentive laden deal is foolish. Better option would be to trade for someone up and coming like Nyjer Morgan or it he really wants to make a splash try to put something together with Cleveland for Grady Sizemore. Guy has 3 years left on his deal and makes 4.6 million in 2009, $5.6 million in 1010 and $7.5 million in 2011. You’d have to give up a decent amount of players and prospects but IMO it would be well worth it. Of course there are some other young guys out there as well who are very good base stealers, not sure what Boston would ask for Jacoby Elsbury but he would be a great fit too.

do you seriously think

Cleveland is going to trade Grady Sizemore?

I've seen alot of guys who I thought would never be traded get traded........

Their team is in disarray and they have a history of being a Hendry trading partner.
Anything is possible in these days and times………………probable, no but maybe.

Collin Cowherd said it best, “what prospect ever won the World Series?”.

The window is closing on this group of Cubs, either they need to try to add the pieces needed to get over the hump or tear it down and start over again.
You don’t seriously think we got any closer in this offseason to the Phillies (or Yankees or Red Sox for that matter) do you?

You either playing for a championship or playing as an also ran…………..FACT.

Silva the closer

I mentioned this in an earlier post but the more I think of it the more I like it. Who are closers anyway? Once effective starters, injured starters for the most part. Silva has the intimidation factor, the pace and the control. Where else could you build this guys value more than in the closer roll. I would start here and only here. Beyond this, I am not too freightened by the rest of the staff. Middle relef looks pretty good. Marmol needs to prove he is a team player IMHO. Last year he pitched pretty bad stomping his feet all the way until he was able to close. Not cool. Guzman needs to learn to respect the manager, which I hope he does because these two are a great 7th and 8th inning duo. Throw in Caridad and Grabow…we look pretty good late in the game. Random.. Hope Marshal will start. Expect Wells to continue his quality starts and sign Tejada moving theRiot to second. We need POP. I will say it again. We need POP. If last year is any indication this offense can go flat so quickly and for so long. Screw D. At this point in the progression of this roster the D gets filled by callups late in the game. Sorry for the long post and probably wacky thought process.

Silva has the intimidation factor?

lol.

i believe he can turn into fat bastard at will, i call that intimidating

im sure

this bradley thing did not impress the new boss but i still like hendry. he seems at his best when he has money to spend. who would,nt. i agree though that his ass is in the fire if the cubs dont do postseason. i think the cubs would just move him into another position rather than fire him.

Why is everyone on this site bad at math?

silva was owed 23 million plus a 2 million buyout on his option. for 2012. The buyout is guaranteed. This means silva is owed 25 million dollars.

Bradley is owed 21 million. The difference between their salaries is 4 million dollars.

The mariners are sending 9 million dollars. 9 – 4 = 5 million dollars. The cubs are getting five million dollars net. Not six.

Bradley is owed $22 million, not $21 million.

Every reporter who has reported this has cited those numbers, as well as the $6 million figure. It’s $6 million, no matter how bad we are at math.

The reporters aren't doing the math correctly, then.

Bradly was signed for 3 years/$30M (2009-11)

He was given a 4 million signing bonus.

He was paid 5 million salary in 09. He’s owed 9 million in 2010 and 12 million in 2011. 4 Mil signing bonus, plus 5 mil in 09, 9 mil in 2010, and 12 million in 2011 = 30 million dollars. This information is available at Cott’s baseball contracts if you’d like to see it yourself.

9 + 12 = 21 million dollars.

Silva is owed 11.5 million is 2010, 11.5 million in 2011, and has a 2 million buyout for 2012. The buyout is guaranteed. This equals 25 million dollars.

25 owed to Silva minus 21 owed to Bradley is a difference in 4 million dollars.

The Mariners are sending 9 million, 5.5 million in 2010. 9 million minus 4 equals 5 million dollars.

See above.

Every reporter has reported $6 million. I prefer to believe those people, who have actually got the figure from Cubs management.

It's incorrect.

Please do the research and look it up yourself. A simple google search will bring up the contract information. Go here: Look at it yourself.This is the definitive source for contract information and used by almost every other baseball blog on the internet. You may prefer to believe an inaccurate report because it looks better for the cubs, but it’s wrong.

I think there was some confusion in calculating how much Silva is owed (with the buyout) and also keep in mind that none of Bradley’s incentives (except for the vested option) have kicked in, and most likely will not kick it. Therefore, they should not be added to the value of Bradley’s contract for our discussion purposes, as it is not worth that much yet.

Bradley is owed 21 million. Silva is owed 25 million. The mariners are sending over 9 million. These are facts.

http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/

I repeat.

I should believe you instead of multiple published reports? Nope.

here's a "published report"

Laying out the the differences in the contract

See above.

The math in that article is incorrect.

Apologies for being rude, but I knew I was right.

I wouldn't trust a baseball reporter to be good at arithmetic

If they could do math, there are better paying, more secure careers than journalism. Most sports reporters aren’t even much at reporting and they get paid for that.

Also, Heyman says 21 mil

so, every reporter hasn’t reported the erroneous figures.

Does the $1.0 million disparity matter that much?
No, it doesn't, I suppose.

However, I have received confirmation from a reliable source that the net gain for the Cubs is, in fact, $6 million.

was that from "Deep Pockets"? ;-)
LOL

Good nickname.

Based on the circumstance,

Hendry did as well as he could cleaning up his mess. I can’t believe that he got anyone to eat any of that contract with the way things ended here. As Al pointed out, we can cut Silva if it isn’t working and the Cubs will essentially lose $15 million instead of $21 on MB.

Besides that, not much to get excited about with the Cubs this off season because Hendry has spent all his time trying to get rid of his mistake. I guess we can just hope for a lot of Cubs to bounce back…

That is the bottom line - the well was so poisoned on Bradley that a $6M cost reduction was probably the best possible outcome

I do hope that no one on the team get fixed on Silva because he is still being paid a lot of money. My guess is that the best possible 2010 scenarion for Silva is 25-26 starts, 150-160 innings, and an ERA of 4.50-5.00. If Gorzo or Marshall are better, they should be the #5 starter, with Silva buried in the bullpen, waived, or given a last chance to redeem himself in Des Moines.

Agreed,

just happy to get past the MB mess and start enjoying Cubs baseball again. I’ll be honest, I found it hard to root for him. By the end of the year, the chirping hand gesture drove me nuts.

cutting Silva

what i don’t understand is if the Cubs weren’t willing to cut Bradley, why would they be willing to cut Silva?

because cutting bradley would have gotten the cubs nothing in return
what am i missing here...

cutting silva would get us nothing in return

we'd still have the 6 mill seattle sent

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