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Cubs Sale Update: Target Date Now July ... Or August ... Or ...

The Cubs sale to a group headed by Tom Ricketts could now be finished by July, according to the Sports Business Journal:

JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Bank of America are set to commit to the deal as soon as the end of this week, the sources said. That commitment would allow Ricketts to submit his $900 million bid to the court that’s overseeing the bankruptcy filing of current Cubs owner Tribune Co. The court likely then would take 30 to 45 days to process the offer, one source said, leaving a potential closing ready by July.

MLB at that point could wait until its August owners meeting to approve the deal or could call a special owners meeting to address the sale earlier.

We're getting closer -- as ever, we await further developments.

0 recs  |  98 comments

Comments

July would be an interesting timing ...

To what degree do you think resolving ownership will effect Hendry’s ability/willingness to pickup someone before the the trade deadline? I don’t think it will have much impact on 3-month rent-a-player situation, but I do think it will stifle any longer term, bigger deal, like the Harden move last year.

Impossible to tell this early.

When they say July, they probably mean September.

Didn't Hendry leave himself a slight cushion to acquire a player anyway?
before or after

eating Gaudin and Vizcaino’s contracts?

With Vizcaino signing with Cleveland...

… net cost to the Cubs for those two contracts is about $5 million.

how much was allocated for a move?

I know it would not be exact, but rough estimate (mentioned before) I believe was 5-10 area IIRC

Somewhere around there.

The Cubs are paying $1.6 million of Gaudin’s deal and (approximately) $3 million to Vizcaino. That was budgeted before the season started — in fact, Vizcaino’s salary was taken on as part of the Marquis deal, so had likely been accounted for before that.

Neither of those deals should affect anything in the future.

Correct.

That was money spent already.

Isn't the difference between...

Wood and Gregg’s salaries around 5 million? Pretty poor allocation by Hendry.

viz was a trade-off

with marquis’ contract.

nothing ever happens in a vacuum. this leads to that, and order occuring isn’t always order preferred.

i remember that an aerosmith album

was supposed to come out in “late-May/early-June”. It came out just in time for Christmas.

mlb trade rumors thinks there is a chance that

it may take until december for sale to get done

I'd agree with this.

I doubt we will see any official transfer of ownership before the season ends.

if that is true,

putting myself in Rickett’s shoes, I’d hope the team doesn’t make WS this year. You would want the big event for when you finally get the team. Wonder if that will have any affect on how Kenney/Hendry make decisions the rest of 09.

If he's a real fan, he wants them to win it all

Whether he owns them or not

And if he's a real business man...

… he wants the millions in revenue (apparel sales, sponsorship, increased gate) that would surely follow a WS win… the purchase of this team is highly leveraged against credit, and the sooner he can start seeing a return, the better.

Think about the post WS Red Sox… you think dude would be upset with all those extra hats being sold?

Andrew I think you make a good point.
his point is spot on

the additional sales in DVDs, CD, Shirts, etc, plus the ticket sales (and an increase in ticket prices could be justified with a WS win)

I don't think I agree ...

I can’t believe he is buying because he is a shrewd businessman and thinks owning the Cubs is a wise investment. It simply is not.

If he’s buying because he is a fan, and he wants them to win WS, would he still want to but after they won? I don’t know the answer, but I have to think Ricketts is like every other owner, he is in it for the personal satisfaction, ego, and well – glory of winning. Getting the team AFTER a WS win might be personally satisfying as a fan, but I think would diminish his ability to put his personal stamp on the team.

Disagree.

He can still do that and, if successful, can have many more WS for himself.

he could, but

I believe the Cubs as a perennial playoff team greatly enhances the value and attractiveness of the club to a prospective owner.

But, I also believe if the Cubs won last year, the value of the team would have diminished, because the magic of the 1st time in … years would be gone.

So, back to the post, in my opinion the sooner Ricketts gets control the sooner all the obstacles for the organization moving together for the common goal will removed.

Ending the so-called "Curse of the Bambino"..

..hasn’t hurt the Bosox all that much. They still sell-out every game, and their value, according to Forbes, continues to grow.

So, by your logic...

… Ricketts is / should be rooting AGAINST the Cubs this season?

well,

he should be rooting for a quicker selling pace so he can be part of the sucess this year.

That said, if the sale really is pushed to Dec, then yes, if you are buying the team so that you can put your stamp on it, then he would hope that they do not win the series this year.

Even if he took over tomorrow...

… he isn’t really part of the success this year, since the team has pretty much been put together by the current ownership & management.

What if he ...

- authorized a blockbuster end of July deal?

- articulated an ownership vision and direction for club that has been lacking for ……. ever?

- brought in new upper level mgmt?

There is ample time for Ricketts to have a big influence this year — Look at Rocky Wirtz, made more moves in his first week than his dad did the last twenty years.

I cannot imagine...

… a new owner sweeping out baseball management that has put together a contending team, in the middle of a season. That makes no logical sense.

What does make logical sense is for this deal to be completed after the season is over.

Agree with the likelihood of after the season ...

but restate my belief that it would be a bad outcome for the 09 team.

Chinese Democracy?

Wait, wrong band.

Smile

was supposed to come out in 1967. Brian Wilson finished it in 2004.

Hey, as long as the Rickets have the

bank commitments and submit the bid, the remainder is probably bankruptcy formality.

As long as the paperwork is filed, all will happen in due course. I would also assume, if it’s not happening already, the Rickets would be asked to share opinions on any moves that would increase payroll.

I've got to believe that Ricketts will want to pare payroll at some point

The Ricketts family is taking on a large debt load folks. Hence why I think the Cubs best hurry up and win now because I have a strong suspicion that Hendry (or his successor) will be under orders to reduce the payroll from it’s current level of near $140 million.

Thank you.

Without your invaluable behind the scenes knowledge, I don’t know how I’d be able to follow this team.

Nice!
Fine

The envisioned debt service on the Ricketts purchase will be $25 to $35 million per year. That’s an expense the Tribune Company never had to deal with. Plus the Ricketts are spending nearly $1 billion overall on the purchase of the franchise. They aren’t buying the Cubs to bleed money. A $140 million payroll under the circumstances seems out of line. So yes, I think Hendry or his successor will be under directive to get the Cub payroll down.

But hey, if you want to partake in that infamous excercise of some Cub fans who fantasty that every small market team on the planet can’t wait to hand over to the Cubs its most prized possessions in return for us taking on yet another big salary and sending them a bag of magic beans, then go for it. In my opinion Hendry’s mid-season moves will be restricted to relative low dollar investments.

I think we should trade

Aaron Miles for Babe Ruth. Cause I sure don’t want to trade Bobby Scales!

Good Grief...
1. The envisioned debt service on the Ricketts purchase will be $25 to $35 million per year. That’s an expense the Tribune Company never had to deal with.

Both Correct – however, the Cubs under the Tribune were never able to fully enjoy the gravy either. With the TV/Radio deals handcuffed with Tribune owned WGN, the team never received full market value. I also assume the Tribune took money back as the team was an operating subsidiary of a publicly traded company. Not having to tithe profits back to the corporate parent frees up something. I don’t pretend to believe the debt services is irrelevant, but also believe other revenues will open and other costs will evaporate. I’m not stating it will erase the debt service, but it should negate it’s full impact.

2. They aren’t buying the Cubs to bleed money.

I don’t know why they are buying the team. Is it a short or long term investment? Pure passion for baseball? I don’t know they are buying the team to generate cash either.

3. A $140 million payroll under the circumstances seems out of line.

Compared to what? Revenue, product on the field? How would we know? There are too many circumstances we don’t know to formulate an educated opinion on what the right payroll range should be.

4. But hey, if you want to partake in that infamous excercise of some Cub fans…

Not even close to what was I wrote, but your opinion on this mid-season is reasonable.

the Ricketts are not exactly hurting for $$$

they sold a very small portion of TD Ameritrade to come up with almost half of the offer for the Cubs in cash. The Ricketts family still controls about 17.7 percent of Ameritrade’s stock.

Per Wikipedia (not always 100% right, but can give a little insight)

Thomas S. Ricketts
Education University of Chicago, A.B. 1988, M.B.A. 1993
Occupation Director, TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation
Chairman and CEO, Incapital LLC.
Salary $171,212 as Director of TD Ameritrade
? as CEO of Incapital
Spouse(s) Cecelia Ricketts
Parents J. Joseph Ricketts

The wealth profile of the Ricketts is irrelevant

The Ricketts are purchasing the Cubs, partly to preside over a model franchise that wins ballgames but also driven by profit motive. They aren’t buying the Cubs as philanthropic endeavor. They are going to want a positive return on investment over time, to include eventually operating with a positive cash flow each year. A nearly $1 billion pricetag combined with a sizeable annual debt service is going to put definite pressure on payroll. The Cubs are already maximizing many revenue sources and it will take time to create new ones (like the talked about network, museum, etc.) Hence why I strongly believe a $140 million payroll is unsustainable and that Hendry or his successor will be under directive to get that number down.

Also, at some point Ricketts will have to come up with a plan for renovation of Wrigley or construction of a new ballpark. That’s going to cost hundreds of millions of dollars that will have to be paid for and financed as well.

The total family assets is very relevant and

you are stating as facts datails nobody outside the organization and at the front of the transcation know. Please stick to facts.

true

Joe Ricketts alone has a net worth of approx 1.3 Billion. That would seem kinda important to me when looking at the finances of the team and prospective new ownership.

This whole site is speculation by amateurs

You should treat it as such.

The wealth profile of the Ricketts is relevant

Since the owner needs to have a positive portfolio to be allowed to make decisions about bettering the on field quality, renovations to Wrigley and anythign else that the owner(s) decide they want to do.

The wealth profile of the Ricketts is irrelevant

The Ricketts are purchasing the Cubs, partly to preside over a model franchise that wins ballgames but also driven by profit motive. They aren’t buying the Cubs as philanthropic endeavor. They are going to want a positive return on investment over time, to include eventually operating with a positive cash flow each year. A nearly $1 billion pricetag combined with a sizeable annual debt service is going to put definite pressure on payroll. The Cubs are already maximizing many revenue sources and it will take time to create new ones (like the talked about network, museum, etc.)

Marc Cuban for prime example has gone on record of saying that you cannot own a team and expect to make money, it is a hobby. You hope to break even, and must have revenue coming from elsewhere. I tend to believe a multi billionaires opinion about this (especially when he owns a team as well) in comparision to the opinions here, not out of disrespet to anyone here, but based on the facts that Cuban is speaking from experience.

You are posting as if you have direct insight to their financial forcast, and what their drive toown the Cubs happens to be. Can you please direct me to where you get this information and knowledge?

If you are speculating, sure that is fine, but make sure you do not state your speculations as fact. Misleading people is what can cause problems, and loss of respect towards your post.

expect to hear

that you can go pound sand.

anything less and I might be saddened
even if it's

“get stuffed”? I realize that’s not the classic, but it’s got a good VORP and SLG.

how would a get stuffed vs a pound sand

affect the KOWZR?

well

I’m not sure. They describe two different activities, I think they should have their own individual sub-stats.

TPS — Told to Pound Sand
vs
TGS — Told to Get Stuffed.

However, I think they both probably have about the same effect — it’s the equivalent of taking a base via a wild pitch vs taking a base via a passed ball.

so its the BCB version

of a dropped third strike, safe at first

I'd be sadden also

Here’s a question. Do you think in his real life he tells people to pound sand?

Maddie...

this IS his real life.

does he walk with bags of sand in his pockets

and when he says it, he hands the bags out?

I should think

he’d need a wheelbarrow.

you realize

this is all the more reason to keep people like Bobby Scales around, right? Sean Marshall is cost controlled. Riot, Fontenot, Scales, Wells, Soto, all are cost controlled.

It’s possible to put a team together that’s less expensive AND can win.

However, I would expect that the Ricketts know the status of all the Cubs’ players contracts — probably far better than any of us — and are probably in a position to tread water for a few years, to see what happens with Harden, Lee, Rami, Bradley, Dome and Soriano.

and no money to resign Harden

our supposed savior . ( sorry couldn’t resist)

only if he moves to the pen

sarcasm

heh

I should hope we re-sign Harden. I’d do a two year, incentives-laden deal, with the incentives based around his playing time, so that if he should get injured, we don’t take too much of a bath.

Harden’s not the savior, but he’s certainly been helpful.

Are you kidding?

The family’s wealth is totally relevant to both the teams’ purchase and the subsequent payroll and ball park improvements. First, if they don’t have the cash and assets up front – especially in this economy – they don’t even get to buy the team. Second, if they don’t maintain a certain level of cash flow, the ball park doesn’t get improved and they will have to reduce payroll growth.

....and i don't think any of us know.....

a. if he plans on spending more or less than now

how much will be on ‘the big club’ and how much will be on

                                                    1 scouting

                                                     2 development

                                                     3 branding

i hope that the big club is moderately downsized with more spent on scouting and development. if you have a better system, you don’t have to overspend for guys like soriano and marquis.

Yep

Hopefully Tom Ricketts will insist upon smart front office management. Each year Jim Hendry has had to make very expensive forays into free agency….Lilly, Marquis, Jones, Soriano, Kosuke, Bradley. That’s totally unsustainable, even if you are somebody like the NY Yankees. Even the Yankees have built success around a model that includes a strong farm system that routinenly pumps out top talent to either plug n’ play or trade away for other needed pieces.

Here, I agree with you.
this is correct

and I agree

Obviously, the Cubs are not going to be able to sink large chunks of money into

expensive free agents every year. Only the Yankees and Mets can sustain that type of behavior. i highly doubt that the Ricketts have purchased the team to suck profits out of it and turn it into a perennial loser. I agree that the payroll may not increase much in the near future, I do not expect to see any significant dropoffs.

The Ricketts seem to be intelligent enough individuals to explore new revenue streams to tackle projects such as the Wrigley renovation without gutting the core of the roster.

seems like this has been pushed back several times

i’m not holding my breath. just hoping that continued negotiations don’t affect Hendry making any moves he’d like to—don’t think it will.

Does this mean it is too late for me to invest ?

I was just trying to finalize my $25 million for my non voting, non profit sharing piece. I took all my spare change to
TD bank and got over $400. Add that to my unemployment and I am getting close.

can I throw in a few bucks to help with that?
what is the going rate

on ‘pounded sand’?

If they're going to wait till July...

…or August, which probably really means September, they may as well push it back to the off-season to avoid the distraction to the team.

but when you do that

now you’re talking about it happening for real in December or January — and deals need to be made in the offseason.

Get the damned thing done. I don’t think the team cares THAT much.

but if they do it in December or January

you are disrupting the Christmas Holiday, New Years, my BDay and the Cubs convention. February is no good also due to Valentines Day and pitchers and catchers reporting.

that's why you get it done

now. It’s not like the bankruptcy of Tribune is allowing the Cubs to renegotiate contracts with the players. I don’t see why doing it as fast as possible would bother them.

either i missed your sarcasm

or you missed mine.

oh Drew, whatever will we do with you :=)

uh

I missed yours. :D

Drew, Drew, Drew

why in Gods name would my Bday be a reason to not close the sale….you goofball

hey

I think Cubbie Tim Day should be a national holiday, is what I think.

I wonder if $900M is set in stone?

It seems just about every other asset in this country has nose-dived in value over the past year. I remember $1 billion being floated around a while back, and to think that figure dropped by 10%, it doesn’t seem too far fetched for the value to have dropped even more.

I would presume

that there are signed documents stipulating that the offer can’t drop.

A few things...

… responding to posts above. First off, as has been said, we’re all speculating. With that in mind, the Cubs front office likely has known for some time the willingness of Ricketts in terms of spending. It was surmised that all potential owners were informed of the Jake Peavy ongoings. Ricketts likely has also indicated to Hendry and Crane Kenney what he forsees the budget being under his ownership. Many believe that Hendry’s jettisoning off DeRosa and Marquis to make room for Bradley was a sign of Ricketts’ budgetary preferences. If this is the case, this deal being finalized likely won’t have a major impact because Hendry has been working under Ricketts’ marching orders.

One final thing… BLou raised some interesting points. Some may be wrong, but they were conversation worthy and added to the debate. Yet some people were automatically dismissive and chided his posts. Why not argue the points and leave the histrionics out of it? Its like everyone wants to take the opportunity to bash the author, even when the comments are valid and worthy of discussion. Seems silly to me.

I thought that the responses to BLou were appropriate. He made the point

that he thought that the Cubs were going to reduce payroll after the sale. Several posters took the opposite view and some agreed with him. He made the point that the Cubs would not be jumping into FA as much as they had in the past and I, among others agreed with him. There was some superfluous discussion about ponding sand, but the points and counter-points were made and supported. I think you doth protest too much. You seem to feel the need to champion his cause, but I think he can stand up for himself.

this was appropriate?
Without your invaluable behind the scenes knowledge, I don’t know how I’d be able to follow this team.

Had anyone else said this, it would not have elicited the response. I don’t recall making comments in regards to BLou’s general presence and subsequent responses (at least not in the last 6 months) and I’d hardly say that my response here was championing his cause. I am, however, trying to champion the cause of good discourse and in general hoping this a place that doesn’t get bogged down in middle school type antics.

so this was appropriate?

But hey, if you want to partake in that infamous excercise of some Cub fans who fantasty that every small market team on the planet can’t wait to hand over to the Cubs its most prized possessions in return for us taking on yet another big salary and sending them a bag of magic beans, then go for it. In my opinion Hendry’s mid-season moves will be restricted to relative low dollar investments.

for the most part...

… ya, I think that was fine. What’s wrong with it?

Whether BLou’s comments are appropriate or not, I don’t see the point of responding in kind. I’m not stupid, I know that many of BLou’s comments are not appropriate. I think people would be best advised just ignoring them. I think that if someone posts something stupid why not just go after the merit (or lack there of) of the argument? I just don’t get responding to a poster’s comment with a personal attack, especially when the comment is at least worthy of debate (right or wrong).

In other words...fight fire by watching it burn.

What’s wrong with it?

It’s dismissive, arrogant and douchey.

BlueMike reaps what he sows.

but you're missing the point

Comments like that lead to the further deterioration of this blog. He reaps what he sows? What does that mean? That whenever he posts something it should be a race to see who can first throw a personal jab? Boy that sure helps elevate the discourse around here.

I don’t agree with his phraseology of the above comment, its not how I would have written it. That aside, its a point worth discussing. I don’t care who BLou or BlueMike is. I’ve been posting here since day one and I know that he and others can be childish and inane. But I think that when people respond in kind it detracts from what makes this a good place to talk Cubs baseball.

Not at all.

BLou makes this a less welcoming place to be. His dismissive and constantly repetitive statements demean Cubs fans and puts people off.

On the rare occasion when he has something to say, when anyone tries to discuss it with him like an adult, he just adds fuel to the fire by telling them to pound sand, get stuffed, or accuses them of being a sock puppet or “just another misguided cubs fan”.

It’s disrespectful. He gets what he deserves.

I guess what I'm asking...

… is whats the benefit of disrespecting him back? Yes, he makes it a less welcoming place, so wouldn’t those instances of his being that kind of guy just be even less notable if people just ignored him like the child they feel that he is being? When people give him “what he deserves” it just further brings down the discourse here, IMO. It just seems to me that whenever he posts something its just a matter of time before someone posts something childish in response, whether its in response to a legit post or not, like they’re going to get some extra BCB frequent flyer points.

I'm not going to sit here

and tell you that every interaction I have with him is something I’m proud of. Nevertheless, bullies cannot be ignored — they must be confronted and defeated.

last year a bunch of us tried to ignore him

what happened? He got more and more vicious, calling a few people on here names which (Al correct me if I am wrong) got him banned for about third time.

So although I agree w/ you. It’s not that hasn’t been tried.

Fourth time, actually.
Specific to this thread, you are probably correct.

I was being snarky and taunting my friend for his style. He’s been beating the drum on his read on how the debt load will, not may have a negative impact on the team financials. His first comment in this post was slanted more toward may, but my tolerance for his delivery is pretty short these days.

Am I always an ass, I don’t believe so, but could be wrong (and we’re not going to ask my wife to vote).

His assumptions on how the sale and financing by the new buyer will have a noticable, negative, impact on the running of the club and how the current organization has maximized available revenue sources are valid opinions. However, when reminded none of us know enough to state these as fact, we are sent to our rooms as pollyanna fans of happy thoughts.

I did intend to engage Mike in the discussion on guess versus fact and utilized a sharp poke to bring him out swinging. I did not intend to offend others.

it was a 'personal attack'

unless there really are some Cub fans (that are part of this discussion) who fantasty that every small market team on the planet can’t wait to hand over to the Cubs its most prized possessions in return for us taking on yet another big salary and sending them a bag of magic beans,

can't we all just ..

get along?

It's funny the "institutions" bankrolling

Ricketts’ financing got a collective $65B in TARP money. Wow… it’s amazing they could loan a piddly $450M (0.7% of the taxpayers money given to them) to an excellent financial risk like Ricketts’. <—- Insert Sarcasm Meter Here.

So now they’re ready to go to the courts, another months+ wait. Hopefully MLB will call a special vote instead of waiting until their August-scheduled meeting. Could it be that this will finally be over before 2 1/2 years?!

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