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Maybe We're Looking At The Wrong Third Baseman: Blum Beats Cubs Again, 2-1

With all the discussion of "Who should the Cubs acquire to fill in for Aramis Ramirez" focusing on Mark DeRosa, among others, lately, maybe the answer was right in front of the Cubs' faces the last two days.

This isn't a replay: Geoff Blum drove in the winning run in a 2-1 Astros win over the Cubs. Yes, he did it last night, too. This afternoon it took until the bottom of the 13th inning instead of the bottom of the ninth. Blum likes these sorts of heroics in Houston -- you may remember that he won game 3 of the 2005 World Series for the White Sox with a 14th inning home run, the only hit he had that entire postseason.

Blum isn't really a "Cub-killer", either, though it feels that way after the last two days; the definition of such is a guy who doesn't do much against anyone else, but when it comes to beating the Cubs, he has a knack for key hits or hits much better against the Cubs than the rest of the league. Blum, a .251/.311/.387 lifetime hitter coming into today's game, has a .229/.305/.345 mark vs. the Cubs in 223 career at-bats, not exactly the guy you'd expect to win two games in the way he did today. I'm only half-serious when I say "Get Blum", but if he were a Cub, at the very least he wouldn't be able to lose any games for the Cubs.

He couldn't be any worse than Aaron Miles, could he? Miles didn't start today but wound up 0-for-3 anyway, his average right at the Mendoza line at .200 now. It appears that the shoulder issue that he claims has been bothering him since spring training wasn't fixed by the two weeks on the DL. Frankly, I'd rather have him back on the DL and Jake Fox back. Or acquire Blum. Or anyone. Something has to jump-start this offense, because it has now ruined two outstanding starting pitching performances in a row. The Cubs entered today's game ranked fourth in the NL in team ERA at 3.91, and if the Reds, at 3.85, give up some runs to the Nats tonight, the Cubs could come home with an even higher ranking. The Cubs allowed Houston only five runs in 31 innings in the series, yet won only one of the three games. On the entire road trip -- eight games -- the Cubs allowed 21 runs, less than three per game, but went 4-4.

Ryan Dempster gave the Astros a run in the first inning and then nothing else; he didn't walk anyone and got his ERA under 4.00 (3.87) for the first time all year. Carlos Marmol and Kevin Gregg threw two shutout innings each and then Jose Ascanio chipped in with one before he was victimized by Blum.

The Brewers cooperated by losing today, so the Cubs remain only 2.5 games behind them, and still only one in the loss column. They will host the Twins tomorrow, and Minnesota lost again on the road to Oakland this afternoon to run their road record to 9-20.

Finally, I wanted to call everyone's attention to this si.com article which is a discussion between Bill James and Joe Posnanski on the value of walks. We all saw how the patience of Cub hitters last year helped lead to their highest run total in decades. Maybe they need to do the same thing again; more baserunners has to lead to more scoring. The Cubs drew five walks today (one intentional), yet their only run scored on a solo homer. Get baserunners... and eventually some of them will score.

Right?

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Comments

Was at the game last night

The Cubs had Wandy on the ropes multiple times but couldn’t come up with the timely hit.

I just hate

to waste these good pitching performances. We’re OK if we keep it up but I fear starting to hit and pitching suffers at the same time. LET’S GET SOME RUNS!

This is just brutal to watch

When you have Scales, Miles, and Blanco in the lineup at the same time, with Soriano’s and Bradley’s struggles it is just plain bad. How in the world did the Cubs score 7 runs on Tuesday? The way this lineup is contstructed I really can’t see any improvement. They have been is such a long funk I can’t see the light at the end of the tunnel. They are stuck with what they got. Cubs need more than Blum or some other role player they need a legitimate hitter, and I am sure Lou and Jimbo are saying they are already here in Bradley,Soto and Soriano.
 6 hits in 14 innings today, Your kidding me.

Well I would still rather have lights out pitching

and total crap hitting than the other way round. I believe hitters will wake up and bad pitching is forever but Cubs
hitters are sure in a deep slumber.

Disgusting to watch

This game was really awful. They get shut out by Russ Ortiz of all people? They just keep wasting and wasting pitching. Its unforgiveable.

And I don’t blame Pinella, Hendry or Aram’s injury. This is all on the players that are out there today. They just aren’t getting the job done. Plain and simple. I don’t have an ideas on how to fix it but it is particularly ugly.

I'm not asking for Ichiro, but

how about someone who can hit a fly ball or a chipshot onto the infield when it’s first and third and nobody out? Against Russ Ortiz or Wandy-Rod (for God’s sake). Can we find a couple of those. Please? Can we afford not to have Jake Fox right now?

All kidding aside, we do seem to have a lack of contact hitters on this team. I’m sure it is driving Lou insane (or into a funk).

We have a couple of contact hitters

the problem in that inning is that Theriot was swinging from his heels on ball four and Dome is starting his twirling circus again.

We needed a GB to the right side or a fly out, if you are looking for a productive out. We got neither. When we actually put wood on the ball and GOT the GB, it was the third out. Brutal AB’s by the top of the order in a game situation. Brutal.

I think you hit the nail on the head

We have the hitters, at least we had guys up in that inning that should be able to make contact. But they seem to lack a basic situational-hitting clue right now. Whatever plan we are going to the plate with, it ain’t the right one..

Matt Murton

Just saying he was good for contact. Got ragged on for little power but he was a good contact hitter.

Matt Murton was not clutch, though.
Maybe

In 2006, he had 508 PAs, which is about half of his career.

Batting with RiSP: 299/.389/.417
Batting with 2 outs and RiSP: .283/.358/.400

In 2007, with limited playing time, the stats were not nearly as good.

So we bring him back

Let him play full time and he is pretty clutch. Works for me.

yep he was good for grounding into DPs left and right thanks to his "contact"
A double-play from Theriot in the 6th would have scored a run
Murton was often good for a sacrifice

and I think he could actually bunt. However I would be perfectly happy if the Cubs called up Fuld instead. He has speed
( not as much as he used to but enough) knows how to bunt etc. What fun that might be. Too bad he is not a crappy infielder.

Most of the right players are there

But they’re not doing their jobs.

They better start soon. You can’t guarantee the Brewers and Cardinals will be skidding forever.

Yeah, they don't play the Rockies all year lol
I'm all for more walks

Better patience translating into more baserunners, higher pitch counts for the opposing teams leading to see their bullpen earlier and more frequently. And we all remember how much we enjoyed walked in runs earlier in the year.
However, I don’t think this team will have that sort of patience as long as they aren’t hitting. Right now they’re all pressing, trying to win games instead of getting on base or moving runners over.

The answer is simple

Every hitter has to take steroids before and after every game.

It's disgusting to watch.

I don’t know how long this amazing pitching streak is going to last, and we haven’t been able to take advantage of it at all. Ugh.

Soriano, Bradley, Fukudome, Soto: you better start hitting the damn ball and driving in runs.

Didn't you post this

twice in the game threads?

Not enough, huh?

today

it’s an aaugh-worthy thread.

Al has asked for no profanity

This is as close as we can get to being honest.

I was surprised Dome...

wasn’t lifted for Johnson or Soto when they brought in the LHP with runners on first and third. It actually would have been an ideal spot for Fox.

Last night Lou was quick to throw Dome in against a RHP; seemed like the game-changer when we couldn’t score with runners on 1st and 3rd and nobody out.

Wow.

I just keep waiting for things to get better (since I am of the belief that management is handcuffed from making any moves this year – with the possible exception of something like a cheap-to-acquire bullpen arm), but the offense is too consistent these days.

I would like to see more inconsistency from the offense soon — like timely hitting, some power, four or five games in a row with 5+ runs on the board instead of 6-8 games in a row where each time a Cubs player crosses home plate makes you want to hold a parade. The offense is just way too consistent and predictable these days.

The last time I saw anything like this was the McGriff year, where 4-6 guys in the lineup were batting sub .250, but the team was holding-on because of the strength of the pitching. Eventually, just adding a sub-.290 McGriff didn’t prove enough to overcome the problem. This year, I’ll be shocked if more than one Cub finishes over .290.

The offense either needs to just get better, or Hendry (if even ALLOWED) needs to suck-up the pride and admit he goofed while there’s still time left to correct the problems on offense. Miles, Scales, Bradley,…the list goes on and on. And as a guy who likes Soriano, even I think the cold spells are getting a little too extended to excuse the next time he has a three-game explosion at the plate.

Something’s gotta give here — there’s an AWFUL lot of salary right now going to players whose numbers could be equalled by someone much, much less expensive.

Are you sure?

“I would like to see more inconsistency from the offense soon…”

They’re not inconsistent enough for you?

Sox just blew a 3-1 lead

3-3 in the 9th. Milw is licking their chops.

well thats no good

I have Jenks on my fantasy team lol

This AL central isn’t that hot other than Detroit it seems…maybe we can win a few series vs those teams. Maybe Bradley can actually hit AL pitching?

Stat-wise

we used to need to score 4+ runs per game to win. The problem is now that we are giving up 4.1 runs per game. That’s a .500 ball club. Now we need to score more, on average.

After today’s game, we are averaging 4.3 runs scored per game and giving up 4.1 RPG. That ain’t gonna get it done. Last year we averaged giving up 4.16 so the pitching is there, not the offense.

If you're interested in Posnanski's walk article...

…check out a similar one about walks on his blog.

KC beat writers rule!

probably my favorite Missouri based writer

he always does good work

I think he lives on the Kansas side.
but he writes for the KC Star

which is on the Missouri side. Either way he is way better than the crap that STL turns out.

I'm just giving you crap.
i know

we can share the go to writer for everything Mizzou and kU. Since the Star sends him to write about both

Where's SWL?

My disdain for Miles may be growing larger than that of Bradley’s.

Its about time

Though its okay to hate both.

I'm annoyed with Bradley

But Pepe just isn’t very good at baseball. Bradley just sucks at staying healthy.

More numbers

I think this tells where we are getting killed.

When we give up 3 runs or less, our record is 17-10. When we score 3 runs or less, we are 3-19. The close, low scoring games are our demise.

if you give up 3 runs or less

you should be better than 17-10 IMO

Agree

that’s where the team is failing. We waste good pitching with lousy offense. And the games where we are not scoring more than 3, we are losing. You would think that overall, both records should be close to equal.

As I brought up in

the game threads, unfortunately, the Cubs are .001 percentage points of being worst in MLB with RISP.

This scenario occurred to the White Sox in 2006. It lasted the entire season.

How is it possible that this trend will continue much longer?!

Also, I heard Kap on the CSN Sportsnight Show today. He has heard from Crane Kenny not to expect any “significant” player acquisitions due to the bs ownership issue. As per usual, us fans will be the ones suffering this year because of Zell.

if the pitching stays ok and the hitting keeps sucking

Just who do we add to the offense and where? This is whats so frustrating. We have guys that SHOULD be able to do the job but just aren’t.

Forget adding

Shake it up a bit. Sit Soriano. Sit Theriot. Sit Geo for a week. Send Miles and/or Scales down, call up Fox, and have him bat clean-up. Throw RJ out there against righties and lefties. Intersperse your good hitters with your crap for a couple of games. Have Piniella hit Lilly in the face with a pie. Freaking anything except this same old tired crap that Just. Isn’t. Working.

I love all of that

I hope every bit happens tomorrow.

And that they catch the Lilly face smash on camera!

I’m not convinced anyone in either Chicago or Iowa or Tennessee for that matter is going to spark this team. Where is Fox going to play defensively?

3B

He’s been practicing!

I was going to ask that.

Although I guess we could do it for the interleague series’.

If you sit Sori, Reed can go in for him. If you sit Riot, Blanco can go in for him. You can’t send Miles back down, so Scales has to go.

That means that at some point, you have this kind of lineup:

Dome (who else is going to hit first)
Johnson
Lee
Bradley
Fox (DH)
Fontenot
Soto
Blanco
Miles

I’m not entirely sure that’s significantly better than any other lineup we’ve put out there. If you put Hoff in for Bradley or Lee, I think you get the same net product.

Reed's lead off before

He could do it instead of Dome… esp if we’re going against a LHP

alright

so you switch Dome and Johnson. But either way, one of them is exposed to pitching they don’t hit well. Fonty’s still at third.

I mean, I’m not opposed to it, because the “normal” way isn’t working either, but this doesn’t fill me with any more confidence than the regular lineup.

Drop Bradley to 8th, too

Break up that weak-sauce middle-infield tandem.

ok

so now we have

Johnson
Dome
Lee
Fox
Fontenot
Soto
Blanco
Bradley
Miles

What's that look like?

Speed, speed, power, power, contact, contact, blech, on-base, blech

Tell MB to keep the bat on his damned shoulder, and you could probably score more than 2 runs in 23 innings with that line-up.

And I still say Ted needs to get a pie to the face.

you wanna know what I wanna know?

where the hell is Ryan Freel?

Hanging with Farney, naturally

Is he on the 25-man roster, still?

Farney

or Freel?

On the injury updates page, it says:

Freel, Ryan (CF) 06/04 15-day DL Mid-June Strained left hamstring Worked out at Cubs’ Arizona facility on June 1.

Center field???

Oh, why not?

Riiiight – power numbers. That’s why not.

Freel has played the outfield before

he’s a true utility man, he just isn’t very good anymore. Which naturally meant Hendry had to have him

On the DL

Hammy pull.

(Dangit Prince, thats not a meal!)

Good spot for him.
We played the Astros and missed Oswalt

and still only scored 2 runs in 23 innings.

I didn't expect too much vs. Wandy

Lefties with decent command and off-speed stuff give us fits. I still expected more than one run.

Russ Ortiz was washed-up 2 years ago – I guess that stint in the bullpen did all sorts of good things for his confidence, but he still shut us down. That’s. Not. Good.

Ortiz now has an 18 IP scoreless streak

You’re welcome, Russ.

Give a game

It doesn’t fill me with a whole lot of confidence either… but something needs to be done. Or we’re going to be the Giants: killer pitching and can’t buy a run.

How many more W's

would the team have now with DeRo and A-Ram playing for them?

5? 6?

1st PLACE BABY!

Maybe one or two with A-Ram

Probably none with DeRo.

Sorry, E. This is much, much bigger than DeRo.

I think you might agree that

DeRo may have saved a game or two with his glove, maybe.

Maybe, maybe

I’m not sure either one of them saves a net of even one game at this point, however, considering how profound the offensive slump has been.

The game where Fonty made a bad throw to the plate

which was the winning run is one in recent memory. I have a feeling DeRo makes that play.

I’m not going to get on the topic of who we have or don’t have. It’s all moot. If the guys we have were hitting, we wouldn’t even see it in these discussions.

I know you hate to admit that letting DeRo go was a mistake to the point that you refuse to believe he would contribute at all

but DeRosa would be second on the team in homers, and first (by a mile) in RBIs if he was putting up the numbers he is in Cleveland.

You really don’t think that production would have won ANY more games? Despite the number of one run losses we have? You need to look past your pre-dispositions

while I valued Mark DeRosa as much as the next guy

I don’t think you can just say “well, he’s done this with Cleveland, so you can pick up those stats and plunk them down with the Cubs, and he’s be awesome.”

It’s possible he could have done well. It’s possible he would have been better at third than Fonty. On the other hand, it’s also possible that he could have choked like he did in the 2007 playoffs.

It doesn’t matter anyway. We have the here and now, and not Mark DeRosa.

Another funny thing

as much as it seems we wait for the long ball to win games, Sori leads the team with 14, your lead off guy, and the next hitters close to him are Theriot, Fonty and Lee with 6. Are you kidding me?

the hitting has been so awful

What do you expect? If they hit more homers they would probably have scored more runs by now. But homers aren’t the solution just the simple things like being able to hit sac flys or get hits in general are the problems with this team.

I agree

but we don’t hit HR’s either. Other than Sori, NO ONE has double digits yet!

And Sori's your team RBI leader with 27!
As streaky as he is, and we all know it

he’s the only one hitting the baseball to this point. Your lead off man is your HR and RBI leader. And Theriot leads in total hits.

Soriano's batting average is .237 and he's the only one hitting the baseball?
He's the only one driving in runs

how’s that?

If memory serves

his BA with RISP is pretty awful. Not that anyone elses is better.

True, but if your leadoff guy is your RBI leader, isn't that saying something

about the rest of the lineup?

Saying something alright

mostly “blech”.

Other than Derrek, everyone sucks.

We need another Peanuts graphic

I’m pretty sure there’s a picture of Snoopy spitting out a ball saying “Blech”

heh-heh

well, I found this:

Wasn't able to find that one

But this struck me as appropriate:

“Where’d all my run support go?”

I found this one, but it's on a coffee cup.

Here are some others we could use.

For a walk-off home run (this is the only size I could find this):

If Lou does something strange (I used this today when he sent in Miles today to bat):

If we strike out looking:

I got something going on

with the top one, but haven’t been able to use it yet.

We haven't been able to use that one since June last year.

Or April this year.

And this one for a rain delay

No offense to anyone...

…but I think these Peanuts graphics are plain stupid.

I'm gonna chalk this up to an 'age' thing and move on

Schultz was never my favorite, but he did love the game.

That's worse than hating Lance Berkman
nothing is worse than hating The Great Faker, aka Fat Elvis

what he did in that AB against Remlinger several years ago will go down in the annals of cowardice, sleaziness, and all-around big-pile-of-crappiness.

Yep

That’s what I’m talkin’ bout when I say I don’t like ol’ Lancie

I don't remember this.

Please tell me what happened.

2004 in a game in Chicago

He pretented to be really hurt when Remlinger threw high and inside.

Academy award for acting.

Sounds like someone in Atlanta we saw earlier this year, only worse.

That was Yunel Escobar

who acted like he was hit in the face despite the ball clearly hitting the bat and not him.

For a while, he was the only thing separating Randy Wells from a perfect game.

And let me guess.

The ball didn’t come close to hitting him.

There are lots of people that aren't going to find funny what others do

But I’m someone if I notice it’s on will watch the Charlie Brown Christmas special.

in the end

they’re all silly.

And what's the point of being grown up if you can't be childish now and then
You know it's bad when Allie is saying that
That is sad

Beat a dead Horse, DeRosa has 40 RBI’s

Irrelevant

I think the Indians might be leading the AL in baserunners. He has more opportunities to drive in runs.

Seriously, enough pining for this guy. He’s not the answer. The answer is on the team already, but they’re not doing what they’re supposed to do.

Sad, but true

that’s why our RISP is so crappy. We may not get as many on base, but we aren’t driving them in at all. Seems lately we’ll have a good game with RISP and the rest all suck.

"He has more opportunities to drive in runs."

But everyone on the cubs has had plenty of opportunities…

we've had plenty of guys on base. We aren't driving them in

therefore it’s not irrelevant.

Reds lose 3-2

Nats score two in the 8th. Pathetic to care but every loss helps.

Not pathetic to care.

Pathetic that the Reds lost to the Nats. They almost lost to them last night, too, after a two hour rain delay the Nats scored two runs in the 9th, but lost in extras.

No one is going to lose EVERY game
Reds and Cubs have similar no punch offenses
Red's offense is much better than the Cubs

Right now at least. Votto will likely be back before A-Ram.

Hard to say.

Votto’s problem is really hard to fix.

What is wrong with Votto

Concussed?

no one knows

Could be anything from just physical concussion stuff to much more serious stuff like drugs? No one really knows.

Anxiety

and some kind of inner ear thing.

The Reds’ best pitcher is on the shelf too.

Mr.Cueto begs to differ with that statement

I think Volquez got injured because his hair weighed him down too much.

much better? They've scored 10 more runs but have a lower ba, opb, slg %

Reds: 256 runs 248/323/398 reds

Cubs: 246 runs .250/330/409 cubs

oh yeah because of the rainouts the reds have played 2 more games. I'd say they are pretty much even.
Don't rag on the Nats too much.

Cubs will probably end up going 3-3 against them.

Agreed!

Wouldn’t it be great to have said, “Wow, we had a GREAT ROAD TRIP!” sigh…

actually this road trip was ALOT better than the last one :)
You're lucky you added that smiley at the end lol
Sad

but true.

Should have walked Blum too.

When they walked Berkman to get to Blum I had a bad feeling. I was hoping they would walk Blum too in order to get to Pudge, especially after being beat by Blum last night. And Pudge has been aweful at the plate. If you’re conceding the game to a base hit with two outs anyhow, why not?

Pence was already at 2nd when they walked Berkman, which was the right call

30 out of 30 managers choose to face Blum over Rodriguez in that spot. And another walk means a walk, wild pitch, passed ball, etc. wins the game.

Wasn't Pudge 0 for the series?

I’d take my chances.

Thankfully, we are STILL in this thing

If the hitting woes continue, then we are toast and we’ll know why we didn’t make the post season. Eventually, these guys are going to start hitting, right? RIght? Bueller? Anyone…?

I don't know

Cubs with Miles, Blanco, Scales, K. Hill getting starts, that is a weak bunch. I can see this team struggling to score runs all year. Thinking Ramy is the all to end all, is wishful thinking. Hendry is stuck, he spent all the money in the piggy bank, so this is the team.

this is the million dollar question

once Aram comes back things should be a little better. These games against the AL teams come pretty huge. A change of pace maybe things will change. I’ve been a fan for 26 years and I don’t remember a Cub team that had this much trouble putting up even a few runs.

And ARam most likely isn't going to be the 2nd coming of Ted Williams

when he comes back. His first 2 or 3 weeks are going to be like Spring Training again.

I'll take Aram-spring training level over Blanco/Scales
A big ten four on that!
Spring Training recovering from an injury, on top of it
Freedom!!!!!!!!

exams are done, hurray!

Congrats

So now what do you do ?

eh I guess wait til the Fall

LOL

Gawd....

does their offense suck. This is so depressing.

They would have to get better to suck
Cubs and Sox offensive woes.

I heard Comcast Cubs Expert Todd Hollandsworth on the Score. Hollandsworth said that the Cubs & Sox offenses are very similar. I hadn’t thought of that before Hollandsworth’s comment and I haven’t seen an examination of the stats, but it does now appear to me that they are quite similar. And that’s not a good thing.

They are when it comes to runs scored

They have scored one more than us before play today. They have given up 44 more than us, so that shows the pitching we have and they don’t.

Big games.

That pitching run difference has one game the Sox gave up 20 runs. That one game skews the numbers.

I forgot about that one

so they are closer to each other than the numbers say. I don’t watch any of their games, so I don’t have a feel for the team at all.

Judging from what I've seen, I'd say that in general so far...

The Cubs starters have done better than the Sox.
The Sox BP has been better.

I think it's safe to say Cubs and Sox fans

both wish it was 2008 again.

Yeah, IF...

… the Sox had Carlos Quentin and Joe Crede healthy in the playoffs then yes.

I know it’s a cliche but there is a lot of baseball left to be played. If I were betting, the Cubs have a better chance. I don’t think either the Brewers or the Cardinals are all that. The Tigers are playing very well and if their pitching continues (Verlander & Jackson) they’ll be really tough for the Sox to pass. Fortunately for the Cubs I don’t think they’ll face those two.

Bullpen

I have said it time after time after time after time after time after time since the offseason that bullpen would be the death of us. Yet everyone keeps blaming it soley on the offense. They find a way to lose the game for us almost every game. Marmol’s arm is gonna freaking fall off if we don’t quit pitching every damn day or getting him like he’s coming into a game. He can’t do it alone. Ok I feel better now. I will now proceed to climbing off the ledge and being a lifelong Cub fan again even though I’m disgusted!

bullpen?

Just how long is our bullpen supposed to hold off teams until the offense scores?

your referring to

just tonight I’m referring to the season as a whole. Aramis will be back with a vengeance and Soto has began to hit. That will allow us to move our 2b back to 2b. I think our offense will be ok eventually.

This bullpen has been horrible all year long and will continue to do so. I believe without a shadow of a doubt if we don’t find Marmol some help he will be under going some sorta medical repaid surgery on his pitching arm soon. If I’m wrong so be it but I will stand by that opinion!

I think the bullpen has improved lately

They’ve been working with 0 margin of error which makes it tough but I think there is alot more hope that the bullpen is somewhat improved compared to the constantly struggling offense.

The bullpen has been much better of late

and the extra inning games are putting a lot more pressure on them. The lack of offense is the problem for last few weeks.

Not looking at any numbers

but I don’t think any team has a stellar bullpen. Ours has been pretty inconsistant generally, but the last couple of weeks I can’t really fault them.

How many games are we going to go into late innings with one or two runs on the board? That has been our demise lately. If the bullpen only gives up one run in the last 3 innings and extra innings, that’s a good thing. We have to be able to put runs on the score sheet. Not RUN, but RUNS.

Isn't that

kinda like their job??

Sure, it's their job

it’s also the hitters todrive guys in. You tell me who’s doing their job lately?

The big 4

Lilly, Z, Dempster, Wells

Have all been awesome.

And we get Richie back on Saturday

5 1/2 starting pitchers is a damned fine thing to have.

Yep

Zambrano should bat clean up.

No he should bat third

TED should bat clean up.

Or Lilly 3rd

so that Z can hit the sac flies to knock him in after he hits his 3Bs

Hell even Dempster got a hit today
incorrect...

Lilly should bat 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, AND the 10th, yes Ted gets an extra AB spot.

I personally

think if you look at the last couple of weeks…next Tuesday as the outlier…the bullpen has been pretty good with the exception of Marmol. Guzman seems to be emerging and Ascanio seems to be pretty decent. We have jettisoned Cotts, added Marshall, etc.

For the most part this season, the offense has not give the pitching staff any type of breathing room. Imagine how mentally taxing it is too constantly have to pitch in 1 run games or tied games.

Marmol’s arm is gonna freaking fall off if we don’t quit pitching every damn day or getting him like he’s coming into a game. He can’t do it alone.

Uh. The bullpen (or the rest of it) has had to bail him out more than once already.

I remain unconvinced that this is an overuse thing. He only had two days of rest this time, and he still struggled with command today.

I wonder if Carlos has some sort of physical thing

that’s bothering him. Some sort of discomfort or something. He doesn’t seem to get locked in like he used to. Or, we all know about Z’s arm slot issue, maybe Marmol has a mechanics issue? I’m just trying to think of some other reasons.

When you

Can’t even throw your fastball for a strike…it is probably mechanics..at least that is what I would wager.

Marmol and Z are similar

When they don’t feel they’re getting the ball across, they drop their shoulder and try to muscle it in there. Zambrano is slowly coming to the realization that that doesn’t work most of the time, where someone’s going to have to drill it into Marmol’s head eventually.

I've asked those who watch

if Marmol’s arm has dropped. Thing is, he’s still hitting 94, 95 mph. I don’t think that it can be THAT much mechanics. He just can’t get it over the plate.

Frankly, he got lucky tonight, especially for the last few batters he faced in the second inning he pitched.

He is missing wide left or wide right

with his fastball. That leads me to believe he is flying open and/or his release point is all jacked up. But I am not pitching coach and my last official pitch was when I was 11 years old.

He does not exactly have textbook mechanics to begin with so I am not surprised that from time to time he struggles with command

Maybe I need

to watch a coupla games. Use the work laptop. :D

He went through this last year

for a few weeks and then he righted the ship.

Everything pitching is being magnified this year cause the offense has struggled so mightly.

That's what I've noticed, too.

He does fly open, which leads to the arm doing one of two things:

1. Trying to catch up with the body and missing wide left.
2. Staying behind the body and missing wide right.

He looked like Dontrelle Willis to me last time I watched him pitch

Arms and legs going everywhere with no idea of where the ball was going.

Word of advice:

Don’t start your argument with ranting about how long and how many times you’ve been saying this.

It’s annoying.

I don't believe that the walks will come back

until they start to hit again. Right now, nobody in the lineup is striking fear in the opposing pitchers. They are pounding the zone and daring us to hit the ball.

I will repost something that I said during the 8 game losing streaks…they have to start hitting for more power as well…not homeruns per say…but more doubles power. It is hard to score runs or have big innings when you have to string together three hits in an inning to plate one run. We have also seen where sometimes three hits is not enough to plate the run either.

Part of that is our inability

to steal and goes first to third. How many bases have we stolen in the last 20 games? have we had more than one SB in a game lately? Our offense has totally dried up, no steals, no doubles, only solo HR’s, yadda yadda. It’s getting old. We have no room for error for our starters or relievers.

Yes...

Team Speed is an issue. I would certainly like to see some more hit and runs, double steals, anything to get the infield moving around and opening more holes for the hitters. Of course, for some of this to work successfully it depends on the ability of our hitters put the ball in play and to also hit to the opposite field something that I don’t think we have done particular well this year.

I certainly would like to see this more for the bottom of the order when runners are on. Those guys (Scales, Blanco, Miles) are not going to get a lot of ringing hits so they need those holes.

We only have 25 SB's as a team

we aren’t forcing the defense to make plays, either. We aren’t making the pitcher work or take notice of us on the basepaths. Situational hitting is poor. Houston got their first run on a sac fly. If we do that in the 6th? it may have been a different outcome. It’s not like we need to bat around in an inning to get back into the game, all we needed today was a ground ball to the right side or a sac fly.

As a subscriber to EI

I watch a lot of baseball…I see teams fail with the runner on third with less than 2 outs a lot…but it sure seem like we are failing all of the time this year.

It sure seems like it.

To add insult to injury regarding stolen bases, we have also been caught 15 times. That means 37.5% we make an out. I don’t know what the league average is, but wow, that seems a lot to me.

Theriot

Theroit started off his career with a bunch in a row, but ever since then he’s been pretty awful. He’s really not a great base stealer. Soriano has bad legs. I really don’t know who else we have that could steal bases on a regular basis. This just isn’t part of this team. They are supposed to put up numbers like they did last year or at least come close, so far not so good on that front.

You are correct

this team is not built with any speed. And our speed guys are hurt or not getting on base.

We aren’t hitting dingers or playing small ball. There you have it so far this year.

I hope the starters can hang in there until some semblance of offense returns. They have been outstanding this season.

"He’s really not a great base stealer."

And the rest of the league knows it. Pudge, Quintero, and the entire Astros pitching staff tried to pick Theriot off multiple times. That CS may have actually been an SB, but the catcher knew to look for it, and was on his feet and throwing the moment the ball was in his mitt.

Soriano's leg injuries are REALLY frustrating

when you think about it. A major reason we gave him that truckload of money was to be one of the few guys in baseball with 40/40 ability….and about a month into his 8 yr contract his leg issues began. Now he’s no longer a leadoff hitter because of his speed, but simply because he’s comfortable leading off (translation: he likes leading off because he has no pressure with no one on base!)

With his bad legs at #1, it’s like having Jack Cust leadoff. And we’re stuck wtih him for 5 more years. Ugh.

Yeah..

We don’t have too many trailblazers on our team. We have some guys who have decent speed and can steal a base from time to time but nobody who is a legit threat. Soriano will probably never steal 20 bases again. Theriot tends to pick the wrong time to steal. Johnson is okay. Dome is probably the one guy who could steal a little bit more but because he is hitting in the third hole they probably don’t want him taking the chance of getting caught with Lee and Bradley coming to the dish. However, at this point, it should be all hands on deck.

I agree

if your RBI guys aren’t getting hits and driving in those runs, you have to get them over to second and third somehow and hope for a sac fly or another productive out to get them plated.

the cubs have

historically been, a slow team. i started following in the late 60’s. rarely has speed been a key component.

i’m not sure speed is highly valued or well-taught in the system.

hopefully i’m wrong. and/or hopefully this changes.

Speed would matter less

if we weren’t idiots on the bases.

Smart baserunning is more important that speed, IMHO.

So we're 0 for 2

Woo hoo!

Isn't being a bad baserunner required to be a Cub?

Doesn’t it seem like historically smart players look like complete dunces running the bases once they put that Cub uniform on? It seems like we lead the league in baserunning gaffes every year. Why is this?

So...I looked at our Situtional Stats for this year

with runners on third and less than 2 outs. We are dead last when it comes to that run scoring. We also are just about at leage average for the number of PAs in that situation. We are also near dead last with advancing the runner to third with no outs in the inning.

Here is the linky if you care

I will take your word for it

Don’t need the link, my eyes have seen enough.

And for comparision

Last year, the did lead the league in the runner scoring from third stat and were near the top of advancing runners to third with no outs.

However, in fairness, three playoff teams were near the bottom in the category last year. It is just magnified on our team this year since the current offensive climate is bleak and any run we can get is uber important

Does that link (or BRef in general)

have a break down of how runs come? It feels like we’ve scored a lot of runs on HRs, but BRef is hard on my eye.

That particular

stat does not indicate in how the runner got home. I am not enough of a stat geek to know if such a stat exists.

Well, time to tie on the old feed bag.

Have a good night whomever is still out here. We’ll go get’em tomorrow!

Farnsworth, DeRosa & Eyre

In out of town news Mark DeRosa scores the winning run for the Indians of Dr. Tightpants while Scott Eyre gets the win for the Phillies over the Mets. This is all as I would like it but unlike everyone who pines for DeRosa I am still MORE upset about how the Cubs treated Eyre. Eyre is having a great year just as he had a great season for the Phillies last year after being dumped by Lou. He is the ultimate LOOGY and Manual has used him very sparingly. This year he has only given up an earned one in one appearance ( though he did give up 4 runs in that game). Can you imagine how valuable Eyre would have been both last year and this if he had not been sent to the doghouse ? A effective lefty I mean why would we want one of those.The Cubs didn’t trade him for players or to save salary , they dumped him more or less in favor of Howry. Of all the roster decisions I still find this the most senseless and worthless.

Eyre was wasted b/c Lou doesn't know how to use a LOOGY
alright

but how long are we going to pine for traded players? Someone said that they thought McGhee was someone to miss.

Fine. DeRosa could have stayed. Fine, Eyre was misused. It doesn’t MATTER. They’re GONE.

Yes

People need to realize that there is no savior who is going to ride in and fix this team. Either the players they got start producing or they don’t. It is just that simple.

absolutely

This team SHOULD be able to score 3 or 4 runs a game on a consistent basis. I’d take even that.

Eyre matters to me

because he is the prime example of Lou’s mismanagement . We lost several games this year because of his clueless use of the bullpen . I mean maybe shaking up the batting order or a different pinch hitter might help here and there but really only so much he can do re hitting but I replay those bullpen foul ups over and over. We did not TRADE Eyre. we DUMPED him because Lou did not trust him but trusted Howry. The Cubs won 97 games so it got glossed over but there ARE things we have & had control over . Those who do not remember their past are condemned to repeat it and I don’t think Lou remembers much.

and I say again

it doesn’t matter.

Do you really think that Scott Eyre would have given us what we needed for wins? The man is a LOOGY anyway. He’d only have been coming on for ONE batter.

Fine. He’s an example of Lou’s mismanagement. We have examples of that ON THE FREAKIN’ ROSTER. Eyre is gone. It’s over.

Besides

even if we had him, he still wouldn’t be used, or used as a proper LOOGY. So you’d be screaming at Lou for misusing him again.

even if he WAS used

as a proper LOOGY, it’s unlikely that it would make THAT much of a difference…

Yes I do think he would make a difference

but yes it would probably require Lou to know how to use a LOOGY. You really think we would not have won some more games if we did not have a real LOOGY instead of Cotts ? If Lou did not overuse Marmol ? Eyre is both an example of what was done wrong in the past but also of what continues to be done wrong ( at least up until this past week when Lou was forcecd by circumstance to let the dog pound pitch in a crucial game). If our hitters wake up but Lou falls back to using Marmol and Gregg only it won’t get any better.

You really think we would not have won some more games if we did not have a real LOOGY instead of Cotts ?

I’m trying to remember how many games Cotts actually gave up the winning runs on. I can only think of two, which doesn’t mean that there aren’t more, that’s just what I can remember.

Can you guarantee that Scott Eyre wouldn’t have given up those runs? EVERY reliever gets lit up from time to time.

I remain unconvinced that Marmol’s problems are overuse. He’s still throwing 95 mph; overuse would prevent him from doing that. Maybe his mechanics are screwed up, maybe his confidence is low. Hopefully yesterday helped with that, but he STILL threw a lot of balls.

Cotts did not really give up winning runs

but it was a domino effect. He would come in , WALK BATTERS be totally useless and then Lou would have to go
deeper into the pen. I think Eyre’s record since he left the Cubs speaks for itself. Use him to get one or maybe two outs and he is TERRIFIC especially with a manager who TRUSTS him.

Marmol has clearly been abused and it just sends him spiralling down.

I like McGehee
That's fine, but he wouldn't be the difference between

The Cubs being 29-28 and, say, 34-23. Someone earlier today was making a big deal out of it.

Blums not any better

than my man Wilson Betemit…. and Betemit is much younger, why love for Blum but none for Betemit???

I was half joking about Blum.

The guy isn’t really that good, but he seems to have a knack for hitting in clutch situations. (Yes, I know. No numbers back this up. Don’t start quoting me numbers.)

From the CNNSI article

Joe Morgan is only 5’7"? No wonder he talks such trash – Napoleon syndrome, anyone?

is that a real 5'7"

or a Fontenot 5’7"?

It's baseball

Obviously, a Fontenot 5’7"

So thats what?

5’3"?

No 5'3" is Pedroia
At least the BoSox have the sense

to put their small undertalented scrappy IF at his correct position.

Oh, I'm sorry

I was just polishing my MVP trophy.

Pretty sure we’ll never see Riot in the remake of that spot.

if we do

i’ll eat my shoe.

and I will

eat my hat…

Hell, I'll buy a new hat

And eat it.

I will build an alter to Theriot....out of shrimp...

in my stomach.

Will that require surgery?
Joe Morgan might be a lot of things, but he happens to also be one of the all-time greats to ever play the game

One of the most dynamic leadoff man the game ever saw. Got on base, ran exceptionally well and stole bases, and had pop. Also was a very good 2nd baseman. A vital cog to the Big Red Machine dynasty teams.

He was a great player

But he’s a crap analyst.

Thats prolly one of the nicer things someone has said about him as an analyst
An arm worse than Theriot
SI Power Rankings. Cubs at #11
Awesome Teds in baseball history: Hall of Famers Williams and Lyons. Awesomely named Teds in baseball history: Savage and Power. Awesome, and awesomely named Teds this season: Lilly. At least for the fans over at Bleeding Cubbie Blue, who have adopted “Lillyisms” to salute their new hero. The blog Bleeding Cubbie Blue has a poll asking fans to rate Lilly and eight percent think he’s a “god among men,” but only six percent think he’s merely “awesome.” With 64 percent, the leading response is “words have not been invented to describe his badassness.” All this for a 7-4 pitcher with a 3.00 ERA. I can think of a few words to describe him so far: good. Above-average. Consistent. Impressive. And some words for all his new fans out there: relax. It’s early. And: Zambrano’s better. Great name, though.
Link?

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/ted_keith/06/11/power.rankings/index.html

"New Fans"???????

Ha. I fell for Ted at the 2007 Convention before he ever threw a pitch for the Cubs and I had not even followed his career much.
He was on a panel of new players and when they asked them which current player they most like to be play with , he flashed his little smirk and said “Greg Maddux” . So basically he had me at hello.

Yeah

the “new fans” killed me too.

We’ve been Tedheads for years now.

exactly

he’s been my favorite pitcher for a while now

I know this link is in the Lillyism post

But thought I’d post it for anyone who hasn’t checked it out. I loved todays post.

http://tedlillyfanclub.blogspot.com/

I won't shed a tear

when SI is reduced to nothing but paper shreds and circuit board bits. They know not the power they tempt.

They just don't get it

but Ted will make sure they do in the future.

They will loathe the day

they decided to question the awesomeness of Theodore “Ted” Roosevelt Lilly III.

They didn't get the name of this site right, either.
Well...I will exit with

this…every team loses 60 and wins 60. Lets hope some of these frustrating loses are part of the 60 bucket.

Unfortunately, I think these are the definition of the middle ground...

I feel like that everyone wins 60 and losses 60 is a toss-away statement to begin with. But any game that goes extra-innings is, by definition, a winnable game.

One fellow

I would love to see some how matriculate to the Cubs would be Dusty Baker’s favorite… Jerry Hairston.

I didn’t like Hairston when he was here. But since then he’s become an offensively productive, defensively versatile player. I have no idea what his contract situation might be, but he would really fill our needs.

Too bad Blum and Hairston are both in the NL Central.

Hairston has been brutal at 3rd...5 errors in 19 games
Walks

Looking at numbers in aggregate, and that was after 54 games played, they were way off on hits and not that far off on walks. When there are more hits there are more walks too. There would be more intentional walks, rattled or compromising opposing pitchers, and fewer Cubs flailing away like fools, etc.

Soriano should sit for a while. Bring Fox back up and play him. Keep throwing Bradley out there, if he can play, and hope he comes around. As suggested, look for a 2nd baseman or a SS where Theriot can move to 2B. Leave Fontenot at 3rd till Ramirez is back.

Never liked losing in extra innings. If you’re going to lose, lose in 9. Hard to worry about D when there is no offense going.

Disappointing.

Soriano, Bradley and Soto continue to do nothing

I am so beyond disgusted with Alfonso Soriano wearing a Cub fan. What else can be said about Soriano? 5 1/2 more years of this hack.

Can somebody draw up divorce papers between the Cubs and Milton Bradley? Can the marriage still be anulled? Ugh.

Geovany Soto? Send him to Triple A, banish him to the DL, do SOMETHING with him.

Soriano had 5 dingers in May but still...

…OPS of .657, not a good month in that regard but still useful power. Hopefully he’ll come out of the slump soon.

excellent typo

A fan as what, a hat, cape, shoes?

Soriano – to enjoy his hot streaks, we’re lucky enough to endure the periods when his bat is shut off.

The Bradley experiment is short lived anyway and a dollar amount well below market. He will either hit as the RF’er or as the PH or he will rot on the bench.

I thought Soto was out of options, so AAA may not work. I don’t care if Soto hits for power, but some hits would be nice.

Maybe he skins them

like in Men in Black. He’s wearing a Cubs fan suit.

What do you make of this Johnny?

This? Why I could make a hat, or a brooch, a pterodactyl…

Yep I'd send Soto to Triple A to work on his hitting

Since May 12, Soto is hitting .308/.422/.500 with all three of his season HR, 10 walks, and 11 RBI.

With our lack of offense, I want Hill whose 4 for his last 29 in there every day.

I understand you have Sori hate, but why the Soto hate? Is a players w/ the first letter of their last name as S.

I hadn't seen his last couple of weeks broken out.

That’s great – Soto doesn’t need to be the 2008 Soto, but he can’t produce like a #8 hitter on this team and needs to be more of a #6 the way this team is rostered.

I totally agree

He’s @ .218 which looks bad, but if you consider he ended April @ .109. To get up to .218 he had to have been hitting pretty good.

Thanks for the Si article link!

I enjoyed the whole thing but especially the comment addressing what appears to be the inconsistent view that walks are bad for pitchers and also bad for hitters. Well, maybe that’s actually consistent for those (Dusty, etc…) who would like walks prohibited by rule change (and in tat same rule change allow the stealing of first base). Also appreciated the comment that at the MLB level it’s reflective of the hitter and his skills.

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