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Defending First Place: Cubs vs. Astros Preview, Monday 7/27, 7:05 CT

The Cubs inhabit first place by themselves today for the first time in 2009. And, the schedule, for once, seems to favor them -- they'll play the Astros at home, while the Cardinals host the team with the NL's best record, the Dodgers, who St. Louis has not yet faced this year. LA has the 2nd-best road record in baseball. Only the Phillies have been better away from home. Meanwhile, the Brewers, now in fourth place, host the Nationals -- that might be a get-well potion for them.

So, there's a real chance that the Cubs could extend the lead -- especially since Houston is outplaying its Pythagorean win projection by four games, a fairly large number at this stage of the season. They're 50-48 despite being outscored by 28 runs. Such a differential is rarely sustainable; the most recent example of this was the 2005 Washington Nationals, who were 55-44 and in first place on July 24, 2005, despite being outscored by 20 runs on that date. They finished at .500.

Koyie Hill may not be hitting, but he's been playing excellent defense and calling good games for his pitchers and truly enjoying his time in the spotlight:

"It's a ton of fun and I'm having a blast," Hill said. "I come to the ballpark every day excited I get to play baseball."

Good for him, and good for the Cubs, although they could probably use another "real" catcher if Geovany Soto is going to be out for any extended length of time. The triple Hill hit yesterday was the first of his career. The Cubs are 22-13 in games Hill has started this year.

Star-divide

Today's Starting Pitchers
Carlos Zambrano
Carlos Zambrano
Cubs
vs. Wandy Rodriguez
Wandy Rodriguez
Astros
7-4 W-L 10-6
3.48 ERA 2.72
95 SO 117
50 BB 42
7 HR 13
vs. Hou -- vs. Cubs

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2009 - Carlos Zambrano 7-4 24 18 0 0 0 0 113.2 104 49 44 7 50 95 3.48 1.35


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2009 - Wandy Rodriguez 10-6 21 20 1 1 0 0 125.2 113 45 38 13 42 117 2.72 1.23

Soft-tossing lefty Wandy Rodriguez usually drives Cubs hitters nuts. He has pitched twice against them already this year, getting two no-decisions in games the Astros won. One of those was against Carlos Zambrano on June 10 in Houston; Z threw eight good innings but Angel Guzman lost the game in the 9th. Derrek Lee (12-for-27, .444, 3 doubles, 2 HR) and Ryan Theriot (10-for-21, .476, 4 doubles, 1 HR) hit him well.

Z also has two good outings vs. Houston this year -- the June 10 game linked above and six one-run innings in a 4-2 Cubs win at Wrigley Field on April 6. Carlos Lee is still Z's nemesis: 19-for-52 (.365), 5 doubles, 4 HR. Z won't get to face Lance Berkman, who is on the DL.

Cable-only today in Chicago and Houston, and on EI and MLB.TV. For other games today see the MLB.com Mediacenter.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

SB Nation game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Astros site The Crawfish Boxes.

Overflow comment threads will post today at 8 pm, 9 pm and 9:45 pm CDT.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

0 recs  |  173 comments

Comments

Lineup

rejo, riot, lee, rami, milt, sori, baker, hill, z.

Let’s build a 1st place lead!!!!

DLee back in the lineup....good news.
Agreed. Best news I've gotten all day.
DLee

27ABs | 12 H | 3 2B | 2 HR | 8 RBI | 6 BB | 5 K | .444 AVG vs Wandy

Light Him Up!!!
Rodriguez

Light em up!

I will not be replaced!

That's for damn sure!
Amazing.
And... the guy hitting in front of DLee

Riot
21 ABs | 10 H| 4 2B | 1 HR | 2 BB | 0 K | .476 vs Wandy

hee hee.

that bodes well. :)

and Milton...not so much

12 ABs | 2 H | 2 K | .167 vs Wandy

as long as he works the count and hustles

not worried about him hitting tonight. stuff takes care of itself.

he's never drawn a walk against Wandy either.
If he decides to actually swing the bat tonight

It could be a big night for him. A red hot Soriano is batting behind him, so he should see some strikes.

On the other hand… a red hot Soriano has nobody protecting him. Maybe time to flip spots in the order.

Good Lord

Ryan Theriot looks like a midget there.

It's called reality.
what you cant see is that

theriot jumped and his feet are currently two feet off of the ground.

'Strohs beer, refreshing 'Strohs beer.

Drink ’em up Cubbies!

Do they still make Stroh's?
Unfortunately, no.
Sure they do....

My Dad’s a loyal drinker, despite how much I make fun of him for it…

Where? I live in Michigan and haven't seen it on the shelves in years...
Indiana

30 packs for 11.99

Really? Fireworks and Strohs! I knew Indiana was good for something ;)
LOL

Except that stupid rule that you can’t buy beer on Sundays…

Philistines!

In Michigan, no beer, wine or liquor sales on Sunday until noon. As if those attending church would be tempted to skip church and buy spirits instead… well, come to think about it…

Got em in Minnesota as well
Figures. A beer born in Detroit is no longer available in the state (or at least any part where I've noticed)
As of yesterday... I changed beers and started drinking Old Style

I will not switch back, as long as the Cubs are in 1st.

even if the cubs arent 12-12 with RISP?
They better not be 2-13 again. That's for sure.
They BETTER not.

Or ELSE.

Or what?
Or they'll be scolded on the internet by SackMan.
yet again :-(
If you have

a better half, they might have something to say about that. Old Style, well how shall I politely say, oh never mind. Boy is the wind blowing out tonight?

I'll just sleep facing the other direction.

Sacrifice.

The answer my friend, is blowin' in the wind...
You have

enough Style and believe me you will be a blowin. But blow with the wind, hate the kick back.

Old Style still tastes good to me!
At the ballpark, most ANY beer tastes good.
I would second that.

I can’t stand Old Style, but at Wrigley, i drink it and like it. its totally gotta just be a mental thing, right? or do they brew wrigley beer someplace special and put a little something extra in during the brewing process?

you, sir

are a team player

Water..sparkling water some say comes all the way from....God's country.

Double Kreusned. I live down in Missouri and I sure wish I could drink Old Style…you can buy it here but only in cans (blasphemy!) and it’s so old I’m always disappointed…specially when I go back to my parents in Rockford and buy bottles, tasting the fresh stuff. Nothing like it to me.

Headed to the park....

..I am fired up to see the First Place Cubs!!

I'm pleased with the job Koyie Hill has done this year!
Me too

That the Cubs are 22-13 in games Hill has started this year speaks well of his game calling. I’m VERY concerned about Soto, however. He was absolutely killing us at the plate for most of the first half. I mean DFA bad.

Please (please) Geo…….get back in shape and show us that you’re not another Cubs ROY flash in the pan.

im hoping they have him on a diet and workout program down in arizona

maybe they had woody go down there, cuz he isnt doing much lately

Lilly's Surgery

Was a success, according to Twittermeyer.
No word if Lilly performed the surgery himself.

well of course he did......
blindfolded
while cloning a Unicorn
with a ballpoint pen.
A leaking ballpoint pen
Only a leather strap in his mouth to bite on...pain killers are for Rush Limbaugh and mere mortals
word is the surgery also gave ted lilly super powers

well… even more superpowers

Yes in fact

he has just authored his first super power comic book. He did this while he corrected his knee and save a child from a burning building.

only 1 child?

hes slacking

He went back in time to do it...

And, he’ll go back for more.

I'm going to take my comp to a nice little place here on campus

and watch the game by myself while checking in on BCB. I can’t wait. :)

What

campus??

I'm working at Stanford for a couple more weeks.
Oh, that's cool

Enjoy your nice little evening (late afternoon, I guess) ahead.

I'm pretty stoked for it. :)
there are worse places to be hanging out than Palo Alto in late July...very nice!
:)

So very true.

Let's Do It Cubbies!
Houston has good pitching

and right now Wandy is the best of the lot. Cubs better be patient and make him throw lots of pitches to get to the bullpen.

Wandy has been brutal at Wrigley Field, career-wise.

1-3 in 5 starts, 8.25 ERA. 24.0 IP, 36 hits, 22 R (all ER), 5 HR, 10 BB, 15 K.

Let’s hope it continues.

When you said "brutal"

I thought you meant the opposite, glad to see I was wrong. :)

5 starts with only 24 IP?

More of that please!

lets make it 6 starts with 24.1 IP

muwahaha

Wow...

…didn’t know he was that bad here. Let’s hit him early and often.

The last few years he was brutal on the road and great at home. He's been a little more consistent this year.
He's sure had a great year as a whole, so I'm sure hoping the trend against the Cubs continues.
Completely OT

But if you ever wanted to see a professional basketball player have a mental breakdown on the internet. Starbury has you covered.

Wow

I watched all of it

Who’s sadder, Marbury or me? (hint: him)

Hopefully the Cubs can get to Wandy tonight

He sucks at Wrigley, but seems to be Cy Wandy this season so who knows. Our offense has been really good lately so hopefully that keeps up.

A win tonight would be good...

We never seem to hit this clown though…

I know a guy who could hit clowns....

did you leave the word "on" out?
I'm pretty sure he meant "hit"

as in “bang”

"pow"?

I might hit the one on the right.
final answer?
Only if Bill didn't hit it yet.

No sloppy seconds.

I think everyone in that pic is on the left.
"You'd better put some ice on that."
Yeah but he'd hit Clara Peller on a bad hair day....

If she still has hair

It's the numbers

They are bad! !!!!

Caption:

Can I pretty please play right field so I can get 4 ABs a game?

do it, manny

that’s tough to say.

Lineup anyone?
rejo, riot, lee, rami, milt, sori, baker, hill, z.
Al mentioned

That the cubs have five games “in hand” compared to st. Louis. Does anyone know what date their games played will be equal? Have all the rain outs been rescheduled? Thx!

I've wondered that myself, I know one makeup game is very late in the season...

Which leads me to wonder if they have any games that will only be madeup if they are needed. I know St. Louis has 5 off days in August compared to 2 for us (hope that’s right)…if that is right , then they would only be 2 games behind starting Sept.

Reds-Yanks cookin up a trade?

For Bronson Arroyo

is he their

“Wang replacement”?

Oh no...

SWL is gonna find a pic for that one in T minus 10

Bill Gibson's mom is HOT
+1

I’d totally hit that

She can't decide which wiener to choose...
"Mrs. Gibson says Skinless wieners are very easy to digest"

I guess that IS what she said!

That's definitely a classic
Hoping for a great night of baseball

dodgers better hold up their end

Time to prove we are contenders...

…by beating a quality ballclub and extending our lead in the central. GO CUBS GO!

Let's do this
I don't mean to be a big whiner

can we please!! put subject lines on pictures? Especially giant phallic pictures?

Phhht.

I don't know why

but I feel guilty

Mark Wahlberg plays for the Braves?
if you are using firefox,

just install the add on AdBlock Plus. you can right-click on the image and block it via many different options.

And I have blocked some of them

but I don’t want to block everything… i just want to be able to hide them. Because my screen is small and big pictures in a thread kill my ability to read the text around them.

But really, putting a subject line isn’t that difficult or unreasonble is it? If it is, I’ll stop asking for it and just ad-block everyone, I guess.

Gimmicky broadcast by ESPN tonight

Hershieser and Phillips from the 1st and 3rd base dugouts…Weak!!

Should be an interesting series, though.
Absolutely

no need for gimmicks

That won't stop ESPN

That whole network is a gimmick

I thought that was pretty cool

when they talked about it last night.

If it works, great. If it sucks… then the game should be pretty good.

Scooter says...

A fastball is a pitch thrown REEEEEEEEEALLLY FAST!!!!!!!

Phillips would suck in a dugout, in the bleachers, on a plane, on a train...
Run Differential

As recently as 2007, the Diamondbacks won 90 games despite being outscored by by 20 runs over the course of the season.

It is sustainable if you win a lot of 1 and 2 run games.

But they we're exposed for the fraud they were in the playoffs....

eventually.

Made it to the NLCS...
Go Cubs Go!!!
I am shocked manny even decided to play with Chris Carpenter on the mound.

It is common knowledge with Manny that if there is a dominant pitcher and it is not july or an important game hell come up with a pulled muscle during BP.

LOL.

He bounced into a 5-4-3 DP first time up.

I know I wrote that after his DP.

 I thought something was going to happen with Albert and manny when they ran into each other. I thought Manny was pissed but on replay he was actually making sure he was alright. How awesome would that have been if manny and albert got into something in the 1st inning of the series.

lotsa love for Dero
Much as I love DeRo and what a competitor he is...on and off the field...

He gets no love from me until the season is over. Wait…gotta be a better way to put that…

Let's do this Cubs!!!
shouldn't have cut that off
8 more holes of golf to go

hope they go quick so i can watch us pound wandy

It's in the Hole!!!!!!!!
Cinderella story, tears in his eyes I guess...

Big hitter the Lama, long…

well...

i just gave up after 12 lol….im awful and the cubs are more important anyways

so do you guys think milton bradley can keep up what he’s been doing?

he hasnt been doing much
.292, 1 hr, 2 rbi, 5 runs in last 14 days. I'm sure his obp is good with the walks, didn't look that up.

So, much better lately, but not spectacular. He should easily be able to keep that up, and that will continue to bost the offense.

shame he isnt hitting for power
you mean

hitting .417/.563/.667 over the last 7 days?

That would be awesome.

You're right, all that 14 day prodcuction has been in the last week except for 1 run.

He has been doing better than I gave him credit for. Wow.

I'd even take his last 28 days number

.283 .472 .415

mr. eric hannah jr.?
Other than walking he sure can keep up...

I’ve heard a lot of people criticizing him taking so many walks lately, and surely in a few situations I wish he had let loose. That said I’d like to see him get two more walks tonight, giving Sori at least two opportunities to move him around.

All he's doing is clogging up the base baths!! :)
I guess you could consider him a dirty player at times...never thought he needed a bath on the bases tho lol
Criticizing his walks?

Did you get an audience with Dusty while he was in town?

If I had it could have explained him actually having some fire yesterday....

Always pissed me off he never seemed to do that here.

2-0 in St. Louis

Derosa looks like a douche in a Cardinals uni

As much as I like and respect DeRosa

I sure agree he looks strange in a Cards uniform. With his off season wrist surgery, he might be gotten at a better price at the end of the season. I’d sure like to have him back for 2010.

I'm excited for some baseball

The Cards just took a 2-0 lead though. Ugh

the Chosen One has an RBI

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